Fantasy Football Week 4 Preview (and Picks)

Colin Kaepernick and Eric Reid kneel during the National Anthem on September 12, 2016
(photo via Getty Images)

Last week was an entertaining week in the National Football League, but the biggest news story had little to do with football. After President Trump went on a Twitter rant regarding NFL players kneeling for the National Anthem (saying they should be "FIRED" if they kneel), that story (along with a separate Trump tweet about Steph Curry being uninvited to the White House) overshadowed every other sports news story last weekend. Many NFL teams responded with statements condemning Trump's tweets, and every team made some kind of statement on the field during (or before) the National Anthem. Some teams featured numerous players kneeling, some teams stood arm in arm, and some teams didn't even come out for the National Anthem.

Naturally, all of the statements made last weekend caused much conversation on the inter-webs. I am far from a political person. I don't really lean either way, and I usually don't have many conversations regarding politics. However, Trump's statements brought politics into sports, and after seeing many different takes from other people regarding this situation, I thought I would share some of my thoughts (I also shared some of my thoughts Monday on HAC 3 Strikes, the sports podcast I co-host).

First off, I'm going to say things that many others have already said. In my opinion, the best analysis of this issue came from Fox Sports analyst Nick Wright. I highly suggest hearing what he had to say. I completely agree with what he said, and I think he summed it up better than I will here.

Personally, I don't care whether someone stands, kneels, or sits for the National Anthem. I think they have the right to do so, and I don't think it disrespects the flag. However, I understand that many people have strong feelings associated with the Anthem, often because they (or people they know) serve or have served in the military. I have a lot of respect for people who are willing to risk their lives for their country. That takes a lot of courage, courage I'm not sure I possess.

Something else that takes a lot of courage is standing up for something you believe in, even if it may cost you your job. That's what Colin Kaepernick did by protesting during the National Anthem, and that's why he is a hero in my mind. He sacrificed his NFL career to bring awareness to racial injustice. I find it befuddling that he is still a free agent, especially now that many other players have also protested, but I've already voiced my feelings on Kaepernick's continued unemployment.

I also find it befuddling when people say that, by kneeling during the National Anthem, players are disrespecting the flag and disrespecting the military. First of all, these players are protesting the innocent killings of black men at the hands of police. They are protesting police brutality and racial injustice. They are not protesting the flag or the military, and many of them have explicitly stated that they are not trying to disrespect the military (many members of the military have even supported them). That seems to have gotten a bit lost in all of this, as many people (both in the media and in general) continue to frame it as a protest against the National Anthem.

Another argument people use against these protests is that military personnel risk their lives for the flag, so people should stand and respect it. Well, actually, soldiers risk their lives so people can continue to have the freedoms afforded to them in America, including the freedom to peacefully protest. What makes this country great isn't a piece of cloth. It's a piece of paper. And the first addition made to that piece of paper gives people the right to speak freely and peacefully protest. That is exactly what these players are doing, and they are doing it to bring awareness to a worthy cause.

I've also seen/heard people (in response to the protests) say, "If you don't like it here, then leave." When I see/hear that, I think, "Or you could leave, and move to some dictatorship where everyone is forced to stand for the National Anthem." But in all seriousness, that's one of the problems in this country. Privileged people don't know what less privileged people go through, and some of those privileged people (usually white men, who are the most privileged) just want the less privileged to pipe down. To make progress, people like that need to get on board and support the less privileged in their quest for justice.

One final thing. Remember the real reason for these protests. Innocent black men are getting shot by police for no reason. Racial injustice is happening every day. The United States is closer to equality than many other countries, but we still have a long way to go before everyone is equal. People of color are still mistreated in this country, and change needs to happen. These protests are a way for NFL players to bring awareness to inequality, because in order for change to happen, people must be aware of the atrocities occurring.

That's all I have to say about the protest controversy. You may not agree with me, but that's okay. We live in a country where people have many different beliefs and opinions. That doesn't mean we can't still get along.

Now for what you came for. It's time for my picks (which will probably be mostly wrong) and fantasy players I like this week (which will probably be even wronger).

Picks

Record
Last Week: 8-7   vs. Spread: 5-10   O/U: 9-6
Season: 26-17   vs. Spread: 19-24-1   O/U: 20-22-2

(Home Teams Listed Last) (All Times Eastern Standard)

Sunday
Saints 34, Dolphins 24 (London, 9:30 AM, Fox)  Line: NO -3   O/U: 50.5
Bills 21, Falcons 30 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: ATL -8   O/U: 48.5
Bengals 24, Browns 23 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: CIN -3   O/U: 41.5
Rams 30, Cowboys 27 (1:00 PM, Fox)  Line: DAL -6.5   O/U: 48.5
Lions 35, Vikings 14 (1:00 PM, Fox)  Line: MIN -2   O/U: 42.5
Panthers 28, Patriots 42 (1:00 PM, Fox)  Line: NE -9.5   O/U: 49
Jaguars 20, Jets 9 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: JAX -3   O/U: 38.5
Steelers 32, Ravens 20 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: PIT -3   O/U: 42.5
Titans 34, Texans 28 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: TEN -2.5   O/U: 44
49ers 24, Cardinals 30 (4:05 PM, Fox)  Line: ARI -6.5   O/U: 44.5
Eagles 32, Chargers 35 (4:05 PM, Fox)  Line: LAC -2.5   O/U: 47.5
Giants 28, Buccaneers 21 (4:05 PM, Fox)  Line: TB -3   O/U: 44.5
Raiders 27, Broncos 20 (4:25 PM, CBS)  Line: DEN -3   O/U: 45.5
Colts 7, Seahawks 24 (8:30 PM, NBC)  Line: SEA -13   O/U: 41.5
Monday
Washington 32, Chiefs 28 (8:30 PM, ESPN)  Line: KC -7   O/U: 49

Fantasy

(Players Listed In No Particular Order)

Quarterback
Andy Dalton, Bengals (@ Browns)
Dalton has been mostly "Bad Andy" so far this season, but he showed some "Good Andy" last week in Green Bay, throwing for 212 yards and two touchdowns. Cleveland allowed Jacoby Brissett, who was a third-string quarterback a little over a month ago, to throw for 259 yards and a touchdown (and run for two more) last Sunday, so we may see some more "Good Andy" this Sunday.

Deshone Kizer, Browns (vs. Bengals)
On the other side, we have Kizer, who once again struggled with interceptions last weekend (he had three), but also threw for two touchdowns and ran for another. The running ability continues to make Kizer an appealing value play in fantasy, and he'll find the endzone at least once in what should be a competitive game this weekend.

Russell Wilson, Seahawks (vs. Colts)
After throwing for a total of 356 yards and one touchdown in the first two weeks of the season, DangeRuss went off for 373 yards and four touchdowns last week against Tennessee. I expect more of the same Sunday night against a Colts defense that ranks 29th in the NFL in pass defense.

Phillip Rivers, Chargers (vs. Eagles)
Phil Rivers had a rough game last week against Kansas City, throwing three picks and no touchdown passes, but he should have a sunnier day this week against Philadelphia. The Eagles rank near the bottom of the league in pass defense, and L.A. will be motivated, looking to get its first win.

Deshaun Watson, Texans (vs. Titans)
First off, I would like to recognize what Deshaun Watson did this week. The rookie quarterback donated his first game check to three NRG Stadium cafeteria workers who were affected by Hurricane Harvey. Well done, sir. On the field, Watson threw for 301 yards and two touchdowns (along with two picks) last week in New England, and now he faces a team that gave up 373 passing yards and four touchdowns to Russell Wilson last week.

Running Back
Jacquizz Rodgers, Buccaneers (vs. Giants)
After rushing 19 times for 67 yards and a touchdown against Chicago, Pop Quizz only had five carries for 15 yards in a loss to Minnesota. I'll chalk that up to the Bucs playing from behind most of the game and re-establish faith in Jacquizz this week against the Giants, who are last in the NFL in rushing defense.

Dalvin Cook, Vikings (vs. Lions)
Cook, the rookie back out of Florida State, has had a solid start to his NFL career. Last week against Tampa, he had 169 all-purpose yards and a touchdown. The Vikes will continue leaning heavily on him with Case Keenum at quarterback, and he should find success again Sunday against Detroit.

Wendell Smallwood, Eagles (@ Chargers)
With Darren Sproles out for the season after tearing his ACL, Smallwood looks to be the replacement. Last week, he had 12 carries for 71 yards (and one catch for nine yards). Those stats should go up this week. The Chargers rank 31st in the NFL this season in rushing defense.

Christian McCaffrey, Panthers (@ Patriots)
McCaffrey gets on this list for a second straight week, even though Kelvin Benjamin looks fine after leaving with an injury last Sunday. The rookie out of Stanford had 101 yards receiving (on nine catches) last week in a loss to New Orleans, and now he faces New England, which has had some troubles on defense this season.

Javorius Allen, Ravens (vs. Steelers)
Allen is also on here for the second straight week. He didn't do much in London last week (eight carries for 15 yards and five catches for 13 yards), but, to be fair, none of the Ravens did much in a 44-7 loss to Jacksonville. Things should go better for Baltimore's most involved back Sunday against Pittsburgh, which had trouble stopping Bears running back Jordan Howard last week.

Wide Receiver
DeVante Parker, Dolphins (vs. Saints)
Parker gets listed here as "the number one receiver who's playing New Orleans this week". Last week against the Jets, Parker caught eight passes for 76 yards and a touchdown. In each of the first three weeks, a player has gone off for at least 100 yards receiving against the Saints. If anybody's going to do it in Miami, it will be Parker.

Mohamed Sanu, Falcons (vs. Bills)
Sanu has seen nearly as many targets (21) as Julio Jones (26) through the first three weeks, and Jones is questionable for Sunday. Even if Jones plays, Matt Ryan will target Sanu a decent amount against Buffalo. In the first three games, Sanu has been targeted nine time, six times, and six times (respectively).

Cooper Kupp, Rams (@ Cowboys)
My favorite rookie slot receiver whose first and last name start with the same sound has been a bit quiet, especially last week in a barn-burner with San Francisco, where he was only targeted twice (catching both passes). However, he was targeted six times in each of the two previous games, and the Cowboys gave up 325 yards through the air to Arizona Monday night.

Kelvin Benjamin, Panthers (@ Patriots)
I was feeling really good about Benjamin last week (playing the Saints with Greg Olsen out), and then he left early with an injury. I'm going back to the well this week, as he is expected to play against New England's porous pass defense.

Rishard Matthews, Titans (@ Texans)
With first round pick Corey Davis out last week, Matthews was targeted ten times, catching six passes for 87 yards and a touchdown. Davis is out again this week, and Houston gave up 378 passing yards and five touchdowns last Sunday (it was to Tom Brady, but still).

Tight End
David Njoku, Browns (vs. Bengals)
Below the cream of the crop, there looks to be slim pickings at tight end. Taking a chance on someone like Njoku, who has scored a touchdown in two straight games, may turn out to be a good move. I know it's not smart to trust touchdown-dependent players, but I'm trusting Njoku to score again this week.

Charles Clay, Bills (@ Falcons)
Clay is no stranger to this list, and for good reason. He's scored two touchdowns in the first three weeks, and he's second on the team in targets (behind running back LeSean McCoy). Clay should be able to find some room Sunday in Atlanta.


Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Jets (vs. Jaguars)
Our old friend ASJ has resurfaced in New York. In his first start of the season last week in Miami, Seferian-Jenkins caught five passes on six targets. Ignore the fact the Jacksonville leads the league in pass defense. ASJ looks to have a strong role in the Jets offense, and he could rack up some fantasy points on Sunday.


Cameron Brate, Buccaneers (vs. Giants)
Yes, the Bucs have rookie O.J. Howard, but Brate is the tight end who's seen the most action. He caught four passes and scored a touchdown last week, and this week he faces a Giants defense that's given up at least one tight end touchdown in each of its first three games.


Evan Engram, Giants (@ Buccaneers)
Speaking of the Giants and tight ends, the rookie out of Ole Miss has seen seven targets in each of the last two games, and Tampa gave up 369 passing yards to Case Keenum last week. Engram (unlike some of the other guys on this list) is a strong tight end play on Sunday.


Defense
Cincinnati Bengals (@ Browns)
The Bengals defense has been a top ten unit in the NFL so far this season, and after having to deal with Aaron Rodgers and the dangerous Packers offense last week, Cincy gets Deshone Kizer and the turnover-prone Browns offense. Cleveland has given the ball away nine times in three games.


Jacksonville Jaguars (@ Jets)
Surprisingly, the Jets won last weekend, and they've now scored 20 points in two straight games. But it's not a good thing when scoring 20 points in two straight games is considered a pleasant surprise. Plus, Jacksonville ranks second in the NFL so far this season in total defense.


Cleveland Browns (vs. Bengals)
I should probably stop putting the Cleveland defense on this list. It had trouble containing Jacoby Brissett and the Colts last week, and will be without talented linebacker Jamie Collins this week. But number one overall pick Myles Garrett may debut this week (he's questionable), and the Bengals offense, unlike the defense, has not been great.


Arizona Cardinals (vs. 49ers)
Kyle Shanahan's offense actually scored 39 points on the Rams last Thursday night, but the team had only scored 12 combined points in the two games prior. Arizona has a top ten defense in the NFL so far this season.


Detroit Lions (@ Vikings)
Somehow, Case Keenum threw for 369 yards three touchdowns last week, but I wouldn't expect an encore this week. Detroit ranks second in the NFL in takeaways (eight), so expect at least one turnover on Sunday against Keenum and company.

Stats and information via ESPN.com

Lines and Over/Unders as of Saturday Morning


To stay up to date on the newest Head in the Game articles (and general sports commentary), follow @headingameblog on Twitter (you can also find me on Twitter @G_Tingley)

Week 5 College Football Picks

Saquon Barkley leads the Heisman race through 4 weeks 
(photo via roarlionsroar.com)

We're over a quarter of the way through the college football season, so it seems like a reasonable time to take a look at the current leaders in the Heisman race.

Saquon Barkley, Junior RB, Penn State 
66 carries, 518 yards rushing, 4 TD; 23 catches, 335 yards, 2 TD
Barkley has looked like the clear-cut best player in college football so far this season, and he looks like one of the premier talents in the 2018 NFL draft class. He carried the Nittany Lions in a nail-biting win over Iowa last Saturday night, rushing for 211 yards (on 28 carries) and a touchdown, and catching 12 passes for 94 yards. Barkley contributed over half of Penn State's 579 yards of offense in its 21-19 win in Iowa City. I tweeted last Saturday night that I call him "Deceptiquon Barkley", because he's a machine, he's deceptive, and he transforms an offense. The corny nickname may be questionable, but I don't think there's any question that he is a deceptive, transformative machine.

Baker Mayfield, Senior QB, Oklahoma
76-101, 1329 yards passing, 13 TD, 0 INT; 21 carries, 17 yards rushing
Baker's feeling quite confident these days. Two weeks after sticking an Oklahoma flag in the middle of Ohio Stadium following a big win over the Buckeyes, The Bake Man was trash-talking Baylor players before the game, saying, "You forgot who daddy is! I'm gonna have to spank you today!" Those words almost came back to bite him, but the Sooners escaped with a 49-41 win, and Mayfield continued his quest for the Heisman with 283 yards passing and four total touchdowns.

Rashaad Penny, Senior RB, San Diego State
91 carries, 716 yards rushing, 7 TD; 12 catches, 87 yards receiving, 1 TD
After losing running back Donnell Pumphrey to the NFL, San Diego State hasn't missed a beat, thanks to Rashaad Penny. Penny is a big reason the Aztecs are 4-0. He has scored at least one touchdown in each game, and his lowest rush yardage total is 128. Last week against Air Force, Penny ran for 128 yards and three touchdowns to lead SDSU past the Falcons 28-24.

Lamar Jackson, Junior QB, Louisville
94-149, 1387 yards passing, 10 TD, 3 INT; 65 carries, 337 yards rushing, 4 TD
Based solely on statistics, Lamar Jackson would be higher on this list. But since the Heisman also often depends on the quality of the team (and because it's hard for Jackson to replicate last season), it doesn't look like there will be a repeat. Lamar has still been spectacular, but Louisville isn't a Playoff contender, and voters are interested in something new.

Sam Darnold, Sophomore QB, USC
98-146, 1225 yards passing, 9 TD, 7 INT; 15 carries, 0 yards rushing, 1 TD
I'm not counting out my preseason Heisman pick just yet, but statistically, he has not been as impressive as others. However, he is still very talented, and his team is still unbeaten. Darnold will have to cut down on the interceptions and avoid an upset loss that has almost victimized USC multiple times.

Play of Week 4: "Highsman"

On a 3rd and 8 midway through the fourth quarter, Saquon Barkley took a carry to the right side. He cleared Iowa defensive back Joshua Jackson with a hurdle, then was hit by Amani Hooker as he was coming down. However, he was still able to land on his feet and run for the first down.

(Mis)Play of Week 4: "Kentugly"

Kentucky had lost its last 30 games to Florida going into last Saturday, but it looked like the Wildcats might finally break the Gators' streak. They were up 27-21 with less than a minute left to play. Florida had 3rd and 1 from the Kentucky five yard line with 49 seconds left. For some reason, Kentucky decided to bring the all-out blitz. It was literally all-out, as nobody was even covering Florida receiver Freddie Swain, who caught an easy pass from Luke Del Rio to tie it up. The extra point put the Gators up one, and a 56-yard Kentucky field goal attempt as time expired fell short, extending Florida's run over the Wildcats to 31 games in a row.

Picks:

Record
Last Week 15-5   vs. Spread: 9-11   O/U: 8-12
Season: 60-14   vs. Spread: 23-29   O/U: 26-26

(Home Teams Listed Last)

Friday
#14 Miami 32, Duke 24 (7:00 PM, ESPN)
Line: MIAMI -6.5   O/U: 55
Both the Blue Devils (4-0) and the Hurricanes (2-0) are unbeaten, and people shouldn't count out a Duke team that has beaten Northwestern, Baylor, and North Carolina. This will be Miami's toughest test to date (the Canes have played Bethune-Cookman and Toledo). Duke sophomore quarterback Daniel Jones has thrown for 904 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions through four games, while Miami junior Malik Rosier has thrown for 550 yards, six TDs and one pick in two games. The host Blue Devils could make this close, but I think Miami's talent prevails in the end.

#5 USC 45, #16 Washington State 35 (10:30 PM, ESPN)
Line: USC -5   O/U: 60
We have a rare Friday night meeting of ranked teams this week when Sam Darnold (1225 passing yards, 9 TD, 7 INT) and the Trojans travel to Pullman, Washington, to face Luke Falk (1378 yards passing, 14 TD, 1 INT) and the Cougars. It will likely be a shootout between two teams that average around 500 yards a game. WSU will give Southern Cal a game, but I think Darnold and the Trojans will emerge victorious.

Saturday
Northwestern 10, #10 Wisconsin 28 (Noon, ABC)
Line: WIS -15   O/U: 48
In a weekend chock full of conference openers, the 2-1 Northwestern Wildcats travel to Madison to play the Badgers. Wisconsin loves to run the ball, and freshman Jonathan Taylor has shouldered much of the load, running for 438 yards and five touchdowns, which both rank in the top 20 in the nation. The highlight for Taylor came two weeks ago against Florida Atlantic, when he ran for 223 yards and three touchdowns. The Wildcats will have trouble with Taylor and the Badger offense Saturday, as well as the Wisky defense, which ranks seventh in the nation in yards allowed per game.


#18 South Florida 56, East Carolina 21 (Noon, CBSSN)
Line: USF -21.5   O/U: 75
After letting San Jose State and Stony Brook hang with them the first two weeks, the Bulls dominated wire-to-wire against Illinois and Temple. It should be more of the same for South Florida this week against 1-3 East Carolina. The USF defense ranks 13th in the country in yards allowed per game (264) and 22nd in points allowed per game (17.3). The Bulls should stomp the Pirates on Saturday. 


Vanderbilt 17, #21 Florida 20 (Noon, ESPN)
Line: FLA -9   O/U: 40.5
Vandy was feeling pretty good going into a big game against Alabama last week, but the Commodores got rolled by the Tide (59-0). Meanwhile, Florida once again won in the final seconds. The Gator offense continues to be a problem (quarterback Felipe Franks was benched last week for Luke Del Rio), but Vanderbilt's offense has done less (in terms of yards per game). Expect another defensive struggle and another tight Florida victory.

Indiana 14, #4 Penn State 38 (3:30 PM, BTN)
Line: PSU -18.5   O/U: 63
Penn State just barely escaped with a win over Iowa last Saturday night, winning on a walk-off touchdown. There shouldn't be as much sweating when the Nittany Lions host Indiana this weekend. The Hoosiers, who hung in with Ohio State and easily beat Virginia and Georgia Southern, aren't pushovers, but it'll be hard to stick with the talented Lions in Happy Valley.


#7 Georgia 28, Tennessee 21 (3:30 PM, CBS)
Line: UGA -8   O/U: 47
This weekend's SEC slate contains several games that could be close, including this one between the 4-0 Bulldogs and 3-1 Volunteers. Georgia blew out Mississippi State last week (31-3), while Tennessee followed up a heartbreaking loss to Florida with a 17-13 win over winless UMass. I expect the Vols to play better at home against Georgia, but I think the Bulldogs improve to 5-0.


Murray State 10, #17 Louisville 62 (3:30 PM, ACCN)
Line: LOU -48.5   O/U: 63.5
L-Jack and the Cardinals bounced back from the Clemson loss with 42-3 thrashing of Kent State last week, and another thrashing is in order this Saturday against FCS Murray State. The Racers are 1-3, having lost their last three games.


Miami (OH) 13, #22 Notre Dame 35 (5:00 PM, NBCSN)
Line: ND -21   O/U: 53.5
Both of these teams are coming off wins over Michigan schools last weekend. The RedHawks beat Central Michigan 31-14, while the Fighting Irish handled Michigan State 38-18. After accumulating 502 total yards and four touchdowns in the first two games, ND quarterback Brandon Wimbush has 528 total yards and six touchdowns (mostly on the ground) in the last two games. The Irish should roll.


#24 Mississippi State 12, #13 Auburn 24 (6:00 PM, ESPN)
Line: AUB -8.5   O/U: 51
In the weekend's second matchup of ranked teams, Mississippi State will try to forget about last week's ugly loss to Georgia when it heads to Alabama Saturday evening to face the 3-1 Tigers. Both teams rank in the top ten in college football in yards allowed per game (Auburn is 4th, MSU is 10th), so expect a defensive battle. I think the Bulldogs suffer a second loss in a row to a ranked SEC foe.


Troy 14, #25 LSU 35 (7:00 PM, ESPNU)
Line: LSU -20.5   O/U: 48.5
LSU is still hanging in the top 25. The Tigers beat Syracuse last weekend, 35-26. This week they host a Troy team that is 3-1. But those three wins came against Alcorn State, New Mexico State and Akron, and the NMSU and Akron games were close. LSU should dispatch of the Trojans Saturday night.


#11 Ohio State 60, Rutgers 24 (7:30 PM, BTN)
Line: OSU -29   O/U: 52
Once again, I forgot the Ohio State game when I posted this. And once again, it's pretty much a foregone conclusion that the Buckeyes will win this game against 1-3 Rutgers. It'll be a reunion on both sides, as Rutgers head coach Chris Ash used to coach at OSU and Ohio State defensive coordinator Greg Schiano used to head the Scarlet Knights.

#2 Clemson 32, #12 Virginia Tech 17 (8:00 PM, ABC)
Line: CLEM -7   O/U: 50.5
Saturday night's primetime game pits two of the best defenses in the country against each other. Clemson's defense ranks third in the nation in yards allowed per game (227) and points allowed per game (9.3). Va Tech ranks 28th (311) and sixth (10.3) in those categories. Statistically, Clemson has a slight edge (both offensively and defensively), and I think the edge on the field will be a little wider.


#6 Washington 52, Oregon State 19 (8:00 PM, PAC12N)
Line: WASH -26.5   O/U: 59.5
Washington passed its first real test of the season with flying colors, beating Colorado 37-10 last week. Meanwhile, Oregon State got beaten up by the Cougars' in-state rival, Washington State, 52-23. The 1-3 Beavers, who have given up 58 points, 32 points, 48 points, and 52 points in their first four games (respectively), won't be able to stop a Washington team that has scored 44.5 points per game (11th-most in the country).


#15 Oklahoma State 56, Texas Tech 45 (8:00 PM, Fox)
Line: OKST -10   O/U: 84.5
Speaking of high-scoring offenses, we get a couple of stereotypical Big 12 teams (lots of offense, not a lot of defense) in Lubbock Saturday night. Mason Rudolph and Oklahoma State have averaged 580 yards per game (fourth in the nation), while Texas Tech's Air Raid offense had garnered 587 yards per game (third in the nation). Texas Tech may test Oklahoma State, but the Cowboys are better than the Red Raiders, and I think they'll bounce back from a rough loss to TCU last week.


Ole Miss 12, #1 Alabama 40 (9:00 PM, ESPN)
Line: ALA -27.5   O/U: 58
The number one team in the country gets a 9:00 PM start time this week against 2-1 Ole Miss, but the Tide could play at 9:00 AM, 2:00 AM, or on military time, and it wouldn't really matter. The Rebels are coming off a 27-16 loss to California two weeks ago, while Alabama is coming off of a thumping of Vanderbilt last week. The Crimson Tide rank 28th in the country in yards per game (483) and tied for seventh in yards allowed per game (248). The Tide should roll again.


Northern Illinois 7, #19 San Diego State 21 (10:30 PM, CBSSN)
Line: SDSU -10   O/U: 49
Rashaad Penny and the Aztecs host the Northern Illinois Huskies late Saturday night. San Diego State got a scare from Air Force last week, and Northern Illinois upset Nebraska, but SDSU is definitely the better team (the quality of its competition has been better, and UNI is 2-1, having lost to Boston College). It might be low-scoring, but Penny and the Aztecs should cruise.

Stats, Information, Lines, and Over/Unders via ESPN.com

Spreads and Over/Unders are as of Friday Afternoon



To stay up to date on the newest Head in the Game articles (and general sports commentary), follow @headingameblog on Twitter (you can also find me on Twitter @G_Tingley)

Fantasy Football Week 3 Preview (and Picks)

Injuries and ideal matchups open up opportunities for less-heralded players to shine. That's sort of the theme of my list this week, as I have players who have received opportunities due to injuries (Jay Cutler, Rashard Higgins, most of the tight ends), players who have broken out and become a big part of the offense (Javorius Allen, Jermaine Kearse), and players who might breakout due to great matchups this weekend (whoever's playing the Jets, whoever's playing the Saints). Remember, I'm not telling you to start these guys over more established players. These are sleepers and players you may be on the fence about this week. They could surprise.

Picks

Record
Last Week: 10-5   vs. Spread: 7-8   O/U: 7-7-1
Season: 18-11   vs. Spread: 14-14-1   O/U: 11-16-2

(Home Team Listed Last)

Sunday
Ravens 27, Jaguars 14 (London, 9:30 AM)  Line: BAL -3.5  O/U: 39.5 
Broncos 20, Bills 13 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: DEN -3  O/U: 39
Steelers 32, Bears 10 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: PIT -7.5  O/U: 44
Falcons 38, Lions 32 (1:00 PM, Fox)  Line: ATL -3  O/U: 51
Browns 20, Colts 17 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: CLE -1.5  O/U: 42.5
Buccaneers 24, Vikings 7 (1:00 PM, Fox)  Line: TB -2.5  O/U: 39
Texans 21, Patriots 45 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: NE -14  O/U: 44
Dolphins 28, Jets 20 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: MIA -6  O/U: 43
Giants 17, Eagles 24 (1:00 PM, Fox)  Line: PHI -6  O/U: 42.5
Saints 34, Panthers 28 (1:00 PM, Fox)  Line: CAR -5.5  O/U: 46
Seahawks 10, Titans 17 (4:05 PM, Fox)  Line: TEN -2.5  O/U: 41
Bengals 14, Packers 35 (4:25 PM, CBS)  Line: GB -7.5  O/U: 46.5
Chiefs 24, Chargers 20 (4:25 PM, CBS)  Line: KC -3  O/U: 47.5
Raiders 30, Washington 23 (8:30 PM, NBC)  Line: OAK -3  O/U: 55
Monday
Cowboys 28, Cardinals 13 (8:30 PM, ESPN)  Line: DAL -3  O/U: 46.5

(Players listed in no particular order)

Quarterback
Deshone Kizer, Browns (@ Colts)
Wait, let me explain. I know Kizer struggled mightily last week in Baltimore (he threw three picks and missed part of the game with migraines), and I know a rookie quarterback playing for the Browns can be hard to trust. However, Kizer gets the Colts defense, which gave up over 300 yards to Jared Goff and Carson Palmer. Plus, Kizer's running ability helps too. Expect the rookie out of Notre Dame to bounce back Sunday.

Matthew Stafford, Lions (vs. Falcons)
Matt Stafford has started the season off strong, throwing four touchdown passes against Arizona and two touchdown passes against the Giants last Monday night. Plus, the Falcons will be without pass-rusher Vic Beasley Jr. The odds are in Stafford's favor for another multi-touchdown performance this week in what will probably be a shootout against Atlanta.

Jay Cutler, Dolphins (@ Jets)
This may seem like another questionable person to list here, but Cutler threw for 230 yards and a touchdown last week in San Diego, and this week he gets the Jets, who have given up five passing touchdowns through two weeks. Cutler, like Kizer, could be a solid under-the-radar play Sunday.


Cam Newton, Panthers (vs. Saints)
Cam doesn't look like vintage Cam so far this season, and that shoulder injury may be affecting him. Regardless, he slots into the "QB vs. the Saints" play of the week. New Orleans ranks last in the league in pass defense (once again).

Carson Wentz Eagles (vs. Giants)
It doesn't look like Wentz is going to fall into any kind of sophomore slump, as he has thrown for 640 yards and four touchdowns through two games. The Giants aren't a pushover defensively, but 0-2 New York may have trouble with Wentz. Carson has thrown for over 300 yards and two touchdowns in each of the first two games, and I expect him to make it three in a row.

Running Back
Javorius Allen, Ravens (@ Jaguars)
Allen has played a substantial role in the Baltimore offense so far this season. After taking 21 carries for 71 yards in the opener against Cincinnati, Allen had 14 carries for 66 yards last week against Cleveland. But what makes him appealing is his role in the passing game (he had five catches for 35 yards and a score last week). With Terrance West questionable for Sunday's game, Allen should get plenty of opportunities against Jacksonville. He'll be in my lineup.

Jay Ajayi, Dolphins (@ Jets)
Ajayi went off for 122 yards on 28 carries in Miami's season opener in San Diego last weekend, and now he gets the Jets, who rank 30th in the league in rush defense. New York has also given up four rushing touchdowns in two games. Ajayi will once again get plenty of work, and he should find plenty of running room (and the endzone).

Theo Riddick, Lions (vs. Falcons)
Riddick shares carries with Ameer Abdullah (in fact, Abdullah has received more carries), but Theo is clearly the go-to back in the passing game. Like I said, I expect this game to be a shootout, making Riddick a good flex option (or daily fantasy play) this week, especially in PPR leagues.

LeGarrette Blount, Eagles (vs.Giants)
Guess who leads the Eagles in rushing yards so far this season? Blount? Nope. Darren Sproles? Wrong. Wendell Smallwood? No sir. The Philadelphia Eagles' leading rusher is quarterback Carson Wentz, who has eight carries for 61 yards. So why did I list Blount here? After getting 14 carries in Week 1, Blount got zero last week against Kansas City. That was because the Eagles decided to go up-tempo. He should play a larger role this week against a Giants team that has given up 267 rushing yards so far this season.

Christian McCaffrey, Panthers (vs. Saints)
McCaffrey hasn't done a whole lot thus far, but he has played a role in both the rushing game and the passing game for Carolina. He'll probably play an even more significant role in the passing game now that tight end Greg Olsen is sidelined, and he plays the Saints defense this week.

Wide Receiver
Kelvin Benjamin, Panthers (vs. Saints)
After catching just one pass in the season opener, Benjamin had six catches for 77 yards last week. Like McCaffrey, he should see even more action with Greg Olson out. I don't need to speak further about the New Orleans defense (but I will). In Week 1, Adam Thielen had 157 yards receiving against it, and last week, Gronk had 116 yards receiving against it.

Jermaine Kearse, Jets (vs. Dolphins)
That's right, a Jets player has made it onto the list. The former Seahawk is clearly the number one receiver in New York, and quarterback Josh McCown doesn't have many other receiving options. After catching seven passes (for 59 yards) against the Bills, Kearse found the endzone twice last week in Oakland. If the Jets score a passing touchdown, Kearse will probably be on the receiving end.

Golden Tate, Lions (vs. Falcons)
After ten catches (on 12 targets) for 107 yards in Week 1, Tate only had four catches (on four targets) Monday night against New York. I expect more targets this week. Matt Stafford will probably throw at least two touchdown passes this week, and although that could be to any of a number of people (Theo Riddick, Ameer Abdullah, Marvin Jones Jr., Kenny Golladay, Eric Ebron), Tate has the best odds, since he is the number one receiver.

Devante Adams, Packers (vs. Bengals)
After three catches for 47 yards in the first week of the season, Aaron Rodgers' favorite target broke out for 99 yards and a touchdown (on nine catches) last week. Adams will see plenty of targets (he's been targeted 17 times through two games), and although Cincinnati's problems are on offense, not defense, the defense may have problems against Green Bay.

Rashard Higgins, Browns (@ Colts)
The man they call "Hollywood Higgins" was called up from the practice squad last week, and responded with a very strong game (seven catches, 95 yards) against Baltimore. With Corey Coleman on IR, Sammie Coates doubtful to play, and Kenny Britt struggling, Higgins may be Cleveland's leading receiver again, this time against a defense that isn't nearly as good as Baltimore's.

Tight End
Eric Ebron, Lions (vs. Falcons)
Take your pick of Lion pass-catchers. At least one will probably go off this week against Atlanta. Last Monday against New York, Ebron led the team with five catches (for 42 yards and a touchdown). Ebron has a decent chance of finding the endzone again Sunday.

Jack Doyle, Colts (vs. Browns)
Jack Doyle has been Indianapolis's leading receiver (10 catches, 120 yards) so far with Jacoby Brissett at quarterback, and this week he faces the Browns, who have given up 14 catches, 131 yards, and two touchdowns to tight ends so far this season.

Ed Dickson, Panthers (vs. Saints)
I list Dickson here solely because of Greg Olsen's injury (and the Saints defense). Ed had two catches for 26 yards last week, and he is now the starting tight end. In a game against New Orleans, Dickson may be a solid option for those in desperate need of a tight end.


Zach Miller, Bears (vs. Steelers)
Miller lands on here once again after catching six passes for 42 yards last week. He is seeing ample targets with Cameron Meredith and Kevin White out (he saw nine last week), so he continues to be a solid option or those in need of a tight end (especially in PPR leagues).


Benjamin Watson, Ravens (@ Jaguars)
I listed Nick Boyle as the Ravens tight end that would go off last week against Cleveland. Instead, it was the veteran Ben Watson. Watson had eight catches for 91 yards against the Browns, and is Baltimore's leading receiver so far, even though he didn't catch a pass in the first game. In an offense short on receiving options, he makes a solid option.


Defense
Cleveland Browns (@ Colts)
I'm putting faith in Cleveland again. They didn't come through for me last week (although much of the blame goes to the offense, which had five turnovers). This week the Browns get Jacoby Brissett and the Colts, who have averaged just 11 points and 273 total yards per game.


Baltimore Ravens (@ Jaguars)
The only real threat Jacksonville has on offense right now is running back Leonard Fournette, as Blake Bortles continues to be Blake Bortles (he threw two interceptions last week). Baltimore has already forced ten turnovers through the first two games, which is not good news for Bortles and company.


Green Bay Packers (vs. Bengals)
The Packers aren't an elite defense by any means, but if Cincinnati's offense plays like it has in the first two games, it won't matter. Andy Dalton has been all Bad Andy so far, throwing four interceptions. The offense as a whole hasn't scored a touchdown yet.


Dallas Cowboys (@ Cardinals)
Monday night, Dallas gets a Cardinal offense that has a questionable offensive line and no David Johnson. Carson Palmer has thrown four interceptions, and Arizona only scored 16 points against a below-average Colts defense last week.


Philadelphia Eagles (vs. Giants)
Ben McAdoo's offense has struggled so far, scoring a total of 13 points in two losses. Philly's defense has held its first two opponents to 17 points and 20 points, respectively, and has turned the ball over four times, turning one of those turnovers into a touchdown.

Stats and information via ESPN.com

Lines and Over/Unders as of Saturday Afternoon


To stay up to date on the newest Head in the Game articles (and general sports commentary), follow @headingameblog on Twitter (you can also find me on Twitter @G_Tingley)

Week 4 College Football Picks

Nick Fitzgerald and Mississippi State head to Georgia this weekend in a Bulldog battle

After a weekend that had some excitement, this week in college football looks kind of anti-climactic. Only two games feature a battle of ranked teams, and none of those teams reside in the top five. When it comes to college football, though, expect the unexpected. Teams such as Purdue, N.C. State, Vanderbilt, Cal, Iowa, and Colorado should not be taken lightly. If any team does, the result could be a big upset and a weekend that is more entertaining than it first appears.

Play of Week 3: "Hail Tyrie"

A battle between two defensive teams ended in a pretty offensive way last Saturday. With the game tied at 20 and nine seconds on the clock, Florida quarterback Felipe Franks took a snap from his own 37 yard line. He evaded pressure and steped up to the line of scrimmage to launch a pass right into the arms of receiver Tyrie Cleveland, who brought it down in the endzone with triple zeros on the clock.

(Mis)Play of Week 3: "O-H No"

(Interception is at 1:09 in video)

Miami (Ohio) lead in-state rival Cincinnati 17-14 with just over a minute remaining in regulation. All the RedHawks needed was a first down. They faced third and seven from their own seven. Quarterback Gus Ragland dropped back and tried to force the ball in between two defenders. That was a bad idea, as Cincinnati's Malik Clements intercepted the pass and galloped into the endzone, putting the Bearcats up for good.

Picks:

Record
Last Week: 17-4   vs. Spread: 9-10   O/U: 10-9
Season: 45-9   vs. Spread: 14-18   O/U: 18-14

(Home Teams Listed Last)

UNLV 14, #10 Ohio State 58 (Noon, BTN)
Line: OSU -40.5   Over/Under: 65.5
The Rebels of Nevada Las Vegas are 1-1 on the season, having lost to Howard and beaten Idaho. The Buckeyes got back on track after an ugly loss to Oklahoma, routing Army 38-7. Freshman running back J.K. Dobbins has been the most electrifying player for Ohio State so far, turning 55 carries into 425 yards and three touchdowns. OSU (which, after a court settlement, can still be used to refer to both Ohio State and Oklahoma State) should cruise.

NC State 32, #12 Florida State 35 (Noon, ABC/ESPN2)
Line: FSU -12.5   O/U: 51.5
N.C. State was a preseason sleeper in the eyes of many. ESPN analyst Cole Cubelic even had the Wolfpack in his projected top four. Well, North Carolina State isn't going to make the playoff after falling to South Carolina in their season opener, but the Wolf Pack could still make things interesting in Tallahassee on Saturday. The Seminoles haven't played since September 2 and will be breaking in a new quarterback. I think they'll still hold on, but it'll be close. 

Kent State 10, #19 Louisville 61 (Noon, ACCN)
Line: LOU -44   O/U: 56
Louisville couldn't keep up with Clemson in last Saturday night's highly-anticipated matchup, so the Cardinals can take out their frustration on Kent State this Saturday. The Golden Flashes also lost to Clemson (56-3), and last week they got shutout by Marshall. Lamar Jackson and company should fly back into the win column.

Old Dominion 3, #13 Virginia Tech 38 (2:00 PM, ACCN)
Line: VT -28   O/U: 52.5
The Hokies have looked very good thus far, getting off to a 3-0 start that included a win over West Virginia. Both teams are coming off games against Carolina teams, albeit with much different results. Virginia Tech beat up on East Carolina 64-17, while Old Dominion fell to North Carolina 53-23. That adds up to a rout for VT this weekend.

#1 Alabama 42, Vanderbilt 28 (3:30 PM, CBS)
Line: ALA -18.5   O/U: 43
This game could be an intriguing one. Vanderbilt is 3-0 after an upset of Kansas State last week, and the Tide have to go to Nashville for a battle with the hot Commodores. I think Vandy will put up a spirited effort, but Alabama is ranked number one for a reason.

Boston College 7, #2 Clemson 55 (3:30 PM, ESPN2)
Line: CLEM -34   O/U: 52.5
Clemson looks like a real threat to defend its National Title, especially after handling Louisville last weekend. While the Tigers have won their last two games (both against ranked teams), the Eagles have been beaten pretty handily in their last two (both to unranked teams). Boston College stands no chance against Clemson's vicious defense and improving offense in Death Valley.

#5 USC 38, California 31 (3:30 PM, ABC)
Line: USC -17   O/U: 64.5
Here's another game that could prove to be interesting. Cal is 3-0 and gets to host in-state rival Southern Cal Saturday afternoon. I still think the Trojans are a Playoff contender, but they needed overtime to get rid of Texas last week. It could come down to the wire, but I think Sam Darnold and the Trojans prove too much for the Bears in the end.

#16 TCU 45, #6 Oklahoma State 62 (3:30 PM, ESPN)
Line: OKST -13.5   O/U: 71
Finally, we reach the first of this weekend's two ranked matchups. Expect lots of offense in this one (Oklahoma State and TCU rank fourth and 16th, respectively, in total offense), but don't necessarily expect it to be close. I think Oklahoma State is a lot better than TCU, and that starts with quarterback Mason Rudolph, who has thrown for 1,135 yards and 11 touchdowns.

Toledo 17, #14 Miami 35 (3:30 PM, ACCN)
Line: MIAMI -13.5   O/U: 61.5
Miami can't take Toledo for granted this weekend. First off, the Hurricanes haven't played in three weeks (because of the natural disaster they are named after), and Toledo is a strong MAC team led by senior quarterback Logan Woodside (1004 yards passing, 8 TD) and a three-headed running back monster that has the Rockets ranked 25th in the nation in rushing yards. In the end, though, I think the talented Canes (at home) will prove too much.

#8 Michigan 32, Purdue 24 (4:00 PM, Fox)
Line: MICH -10.5   O/U: 50
So, I guess Purdue is actually pretty good this year. Credit goes to new head coach Jeff Brohm, who has the Boilermakers at 2-1 (that one loss being a close affair with Louisville). After allowing Air Force to hang around for much of last week's game, the Wolverines must be leery of Purdue. Jim Harbaugh's boys should come out on top, but Purdue will make them sweat.

Nevada 14, #18 Washington State 45 (6:00 PM, PAC12N)
Line: WSU -28   O/U: 67.5
Washington State hasn't started 4-0 since 2001, and Mike Leach should get the Cougars there this weekend against winless Nevada. Washington State (unsurprisingly) ranks in the top ten in the country in passing offense, led by senior quarterback Luke Falk (900 yards passing, 9 TD). Meanwhile, Nevada ranks outside the top 100 in passing defense.

#3 Oklahoma 52, Baylor 21 (6:30 PM, FS1)
Line: OKLA -27.5   O/U: 63
These are two teams going in opposite directions. Baylor, a Big 12 champion not too long ago, has started 0-3 (losing to juggernauts Liberty, UTSA, and Duke), while Playoff contender Oklahoma followed up a statement win on the road against Ohio State with a thrashing of Tulane last weekend. Sooner quarterback Baker Mayfield has thrown for 1,046 yards and ten touchdowns. Baylor gave up 447 yards and three touchdowns to Liberty quarterback Stephen Calvert in Week 1. This won't end well for the Bears.

#17 Mississippi State 20, #11 Georgia 17 (7:00 PM, ESPN)
Line: UGA -4.5   O/U: 48
Two teams chasing Alabama in the SEC face off in this weekend's marquee game. Mississippi State impressed in a 37-7 rout of LSU last week, while Georgia beat up on Samford a week after squeaking by Notre Dame. Both teams have relied on good defense and balanced offensive attacks, and I could see ether team winning the Battle of the Bulldogs. I'll go with dual-threat quarterback Nick Fitzgerald and Mississippi State.

#22 San Diego State 27, Air Force 21 (7:00 PM, CBSSN)
Line: SDSU -3   O/U: 47
Another team that impressed last weekend was the Aztecs of San Diego State, who upset Stanford. Air Force, which hung with Michigan last week, will prove a tough opponent, but I think SDSU will prevail on the shoulders of the defense and running back Rashaad Penny (who leads the nation in rushing yards).

Syracuse 13, #25 LSU 32 (7:00 PM, ESPN2)
Line: LSU -21   O/U: 56.5
LSU will look to bounce back after an embarrassing loss to Mississippi State last weekend. LSU isn't as good as people thought, and the Tigers may not even be good enough to be ranked. But they are better than 2-1 Syracuse, and they shouldn't have too much trouble with the Orange.

#4 Penn State 30, Iowa 31 (7:30 PM, ABC)
Line: PSU -13   O/U: 52
Like I said, we could see at least one shocking upset this weekend. This is the one I'm predicting. Yes, Penn State is a National Championship threat with a bearish defense and Heisman Trophy favorite Saquon Barkley in the backfield, but the Hawkeyes have looked good too, and they pulled off some upsets last season (against Michigan and Nebraska). I think Kirk Ferentz's squad finds a way Saturday night in Iowa City.

#15 Auburn 29, Missouri 10 (7:30 PM, ESPNU)
Line: AUB -17.5   O/U: 60
A week after losing by a touchdown (and two-point conversion) to Clemson, Auburn let Mercer hang around in an eventual 24-10 win. While the Tiger offense has been stagnant at times, the defense has been stout. That doesn't bode well for Missouri, which was held to three points by Purdue last week.

#20 Florida 21, Kentucky 13 (7:30 PM, SECN)
Line: FLA -2   O/U: 44
The Gators are feeling high after a Hail Mary to beat Tennessee last weekend. Florida can't overlook 3-0 Kentucky after that exciting win, and I don't think they will. This is still a defensive team with offensive questions, but quarterback Felipe Franks and the crew are making progress.

#7 Washington 35, Colorado 24 (10:00 PM, FS1)
Line: WASH -11.5   O/U: 50
Another team not to be taken lightly this weekend is unbeaten Colorado, which will host the seventh-ranked Washington Huskies Saturday night. Neither team has been tested thus far, but both will be this week. Colorado quarterback Steven Montez has actually thrown for more yards this season (858) than Washington signal-caller Jake Browning (798), but I think Browning and the Huskies escape Colorado with a win over the Buffaloes.

#24 Oregon 48, Arizona State 32 (10:00 PM, PAC12N)

Line: ORE -14.5   O/U: 75.5
To finish off the night, we have the Oregon Ducks, who have somewhat quietly made it back to relevancy, and the Arizona State Sun Devils, who have not. This might be Oregon's toughest test so far, but the Ducks should still be able to run past 1-2 ASU.

Stats, Information, Lines, and Over/Unders via ESPN.com

Spreads and Over/Unders are as of Friday Afternoon


To stay up to date on the newest Head in the Game articles (and general sports commentary), follow @headingameblog on Twitter (you can also find me on Twitter @G_Tingley)

Fantasy Football Week 2 Preview (and Picks)

I'm going to tell you a story.

I would categorize it as a tragedy, though some may find it less tragic than others. It begins in August of the year 2017. Football season is around the corner, which means fantasy football drafts are in full swing. I am in three fantasy football leagues this year, all with friends of mine and friends of those friends of mine. In the first fantasy draft of the three, I am lucky enough to get the first overall pick. It's never easy having to decide between every single player in the league, but this year the choice seems easier. Antonio Brown (my first overall pick last year) is a great player, but the wide receiver position is deep, so it makes more sense to pick from the scarce running back group. Ezekiel Elliott was sensational as a rookie running behind the best line in the league last season, but he's currently suspended for the first six games of the season, eliminating him from the conversation for number one overall. That narrows it down to Le'Veon Bell and David Johnson. It's a toss-up. Bell is a very talented back with great ball carrier vision, but he hasn't been in training camp due to a holdout, and the Steelers have other weapons on offense (including the aforementioned Antonio Brown). That leaves Johnson as a no-brainer at number one for me. He's arguably the best running back in the NFL, he's consistent, he's stayed healthy, and the Arizona offense runs through him. I pick him knowing I have a sure bet to lead my fantasy team.
Johnson's gone before I can get him in the second league, but in my third league, I have the second overall, and the guy with the number one overall pick (my HAC 3 Strikes co-host Ben Vigliarolo) goes with Bell over DJ. I'm ecstatic, as I would have picked Johnson over Bell anyway. That gives me David Johnson, whom I think could be the best fantasy football player in the NFL this season, in two of my three leagues.
As the first week of the season begins, I'm feeling good (I also have Kansas City running back Kareem Hunt in two of my leagues, and he goes off for over 40 points against New England on Thursday night). I settle in Sunday afternoon to watch NFL Sunday Ticket with my friend Jonah (who I am in two leagues with), and we watch the RedZone channel, the Steelers-Browns game (since I am a self-loathing Browns fan), and the Cardinals-Lions (Jonah is a Detroit fan). At some point, we see David Johnson take a carry, get tackled, and stay down on the ground. This, of course, is not good. By this point, it's clear he probably won't be coming back into the game, but I think he might not miss any time, as the injury doesn't seem too serious. As the day goes along, the reports evolve from "he might avoid missing time" to "he'll be out at least a few weeks" to "he might miss half the season".  And then, after an MRI Monday,  it's announced that he's out until December with a dislocated left wrist.

I traded him in both leagues (albeit at a heavily discounted price, of course), so I at least made something out of it, but that's just one example of how heartbreaking fantasy football can be.

Picks (Home Team Listed Last)

Record
Last Week: 8-6   vs. Spread: 7-6-1   Over/Under: 4-9-1

Sunday
Browns 20, Ravens 17 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: BAL -8  O/U: 39
Bills 24, Panthers 27 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: CAR -7.5  O/U: 43
Cardinals 28, Colts 7 (1:00 PM, Fox)  Line: ARI -7  O/U: 44
Titans 17, Jaguars 10 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: TEN -2  O/U: 43
Eagles 27, Chiefs 35 (1:00 PM, Fox)  Line: KC -5.5  O/U: 47.5
Patriots 34, Saints 24 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: NE -6.5  O/U: 56
Vikings 28, Steelers 21 (1:00 PM, Fox)  Line: PIT -5.5  O/U: 45.5
Bears 13, Buccaneers 17 (1:00 PM, Fox)  Line: TB -7  O/U: 44
Dolphins 16, Chargers 24 (4:05 PM, CBS)  Line: LAC -5  O/U: 45
Jets 3, Raiders 30 (4:05 PM, CBS)  Line: OAK -13  O/U: 43.5
Cowboys 32, Broncos 17 (4:25 PM, Fox)  Line: DAL -2.5  O/U: 43
Washington 23, Rams 14 (4:25 PM, Fox)  Line: LAR -2.5  O/U: 45
49ers 7, Seahawks 24 (4:25 PM, Fox)  Line: SEA -14  O/U: 42
Packers 38, Falcons 34 (8:30 PM, NBC)  Line: ATL -3  O/U: 54
Monday
Lions 31, Giants 28 (8:30 PM, ESPN)  Line: NYG -3.5  O/U: 43.5


Quarterback 
Carson Palmer, Cardinals (@ Colts)
I had Palmer here last week. That was a mistake. Palmer looked awful (not quite Tom Salvage or Scott Tolzein awful, but almost Andy Dalton awful) Sunday afternoon against Detroit. He was 27-48 for 268 yards, a touchdown, and three interceptions. He was also sacked five times and lost his star running back until December. So why did I put him here again? Good question...  Oh, because he's playing the Colts, that's right. The Indianapolis defense made Jared Goff look like a star last week, and while Jared Goff may take a step forward this year, he is by no means a star. He threw for 306 yards and a touchdown in a rout. Palmer was BAD last Sunday, but I think he will look a lot better this weekend.

Jameis Winston, Buccaneers (vs. Bears)
This will be the first game of the season for Winston and the Buccaneers, since their Week 1 contest was postponed due to Hurricane Irma. He has some new weapons (1st round pick O.J. Howard and free agent acquisition DeSean Jackson) and he'll face a team that gave up 321 yards through the air against Atlanta last week.

Derek Carr, Raiders (vs. Jets)
Derek Carr threw for 262 yards and two touchdowns last week in a win over Tennessee, and this week he faces the lowly Jets, who gave up 224 yards and two touchdowns to Tyrod Taylor last week. The only way Carr doesn't have a good game (fantasy-wise) is if Oakland runs the ball the whole game and uses him sparingly.

Philip Rivers, Chargers (vs. Dolphins)
Phil Rivers threw for three touchdowns Monday night in Denver, and is always a solid quarterback option due to his multiple receiving options and the offense he plays in (plus, he's pretty good at throwing the football). He plays a Dolphin team playing its first game of the season. Miami was 29th in the league last season in pass defense.

Jared Goff, Rams (vs. Washington)
Yes, I know his inspiring performance last week (21-29, 306 yards, 1 TD) came against the Colts, and Goff got a lot of help from his defense, but he still looked pretty good. Washington gave up 307 yards and two touchdowns to Carson Wentz last week, so Goff could be a sleeper option this week in fantasy.


Running Back
Mike Gillislee, Patriots (@ Saints)
I don't expect Gillislee to repeat his opening night performance (15 carries, 45 yards, 3 TD), but he does look like he is the goal line back for New England. With that in mind, he faces a weak Saints defense that gave up 127 rushing yards to rookie Dalvin Cook Monday night. He is definitely touchdown-dependent (making him a risky play), but I fully expect him to find the endzone at least once on Sunday.

Marshawn Lynch, Raiders (vs. Jets)
Ah, it's good to have Beast Mode back in the NFL. Marshawn went for 76 yards on 18 carries in his return last week, and he'll probably find a lot more running room (and more carries) against the Jets, who let LeSean McCoy run all over them (22 carries, 110 yards) in Week 1.

Ty Montgomery, Packers (@ Falcons)
Atlanta made Tarik Cohen a household name (kinda), allowing Cohen to rack up five carries for 66 yards and a touchdown on the ground, and eight catches for 47 yards and a score through the air, which bodes well for the versatile Montgomery, who had 93 total yards and a touchdown last week against Seattle.

Tarik Cohen, Bears (@ Buccaneers)
Speaking of Tarik Cohen, it looks like he's a thing. It was only one game, but he was heavily incorporated in Chicago's gameplan last Sunday, and he made the most of it. This week he faces a Tampa Bay defense that was 22nd against the run last season.

Jacquizz Rodgers (vs. Bears)
JACQUUUUUIIIIIIIIZZZZZZZ! Now that I have that out of my system, let's talk about his prospects this week. It looks like he'll be the lead back while Doug Martin is suspended, and he has some explosiveness. Chicago's defense did a nice job of limiting the run against Atlanta, but I don't know if that will continue for a run defense that was 27th in the NFL last season. Pop Quizz is a solid play this week.


Wide Receiver
John Brown, Cardinals (@ Colts)
I believe in the Arizona pass offense this week, even though it looked awful last week. The Colts defense allowed Rams rookie receiver Cooper Kupp (more on him later) to go for 76 yards and a touchdown in his debut, and the loss of David Johnson takes one dangerous target out of the passing game. Carson Palmer will look to Brown at least a few times on Sunday.

Ted Ginn Jr., Saints (vs. Patriots)
Okay, so my Ginn recommendation didn't exactly pan out last week (he had four catches for 53 yards), but I'm doubling down this week. The Saints will continue to throw the ball (obviously), and New England's defense that gave up 368 passing yards to Kansas City in Week 1, including seven catches for 133 yards and a touchdown by Tyreek Hill, who's a speedy receiver like Ginn.

Cooper Kupp (vs. Washington)
Time to talk about Cooper Kupp, who's name is still pronounced the same if you switch the first letter of his first name and the first letter of his last name. He had a great debut last week against Indianapolis, and it looks like he's already built a good report with Jared Goff. He'll find room against Washington's defense.

Davante Adams, Packers (@ Falcons)
Adams was quiet in Week 1 (three catches, 47 yards), but he's a highly talented receiver and top three target in Green Bay's pass-happy (and Aaron Rodgers-led) offense. He had 12 catches for 74 yards the last time the Packers played Atlanta (last October 30), and the Falcons let Mike Glennon, who is not Aaron Rodgers, throw for 213 yards and a touchdown on them last week.

Chris Hogan, Patriots (@ Saints)
I originally had Danny Amendola in this slot, but he's been ruled out, which means someone will have to fill in for Amendola's six catches and 100 yards last week. Enter Hogan, who's a similar receiver to Amendola. We know the story on New Orleans' defense (it gave up 346 passing yards to Minnesota Monday night), so Hogan (as well as Rob Gonkowski and Brandin Cooks) should find plenty of room to work on Sunday.

Tight End
Julius Thomas, Dolphins (@ Chargers)
Thomas will be playing with a new team after being traded from Jacksonville in the offseason. I don't how Miami's offense will look with Jay Cutler behind center, but Jay does like his tight ends (according to the Chicago Tribune, 692 of his 3,313 pass attempts in Chicago were to tight ends), so Thomas should see a good amount of targets on Sunday against the team he started his career with.

Charles Clay, Bills (@ Panthers)
I listed Clay here last week, and he rewarded me with four catches for 53 yards and a touchdown. So I'm going to put him here again this week. Clay was the most targeted player last week for the Bills, and I expect that to continue.

Jared Cook, Raiders (vs. Jets)
Our old friend Jared Cook, who seems like he's been in the league for 40 years, had five catches for 56 yards in his Raider debut last week, and this week he faces the Jets, who gave up a touchdown to Charles Clay last week. Cook may be worth a look this week if you need a tight end.

Nick Boyle, Ravens (vs. Browns)
I had this guy on a team I fantasy drafted in Madden once, and I saw that ESPN Fantasy Expert Matthew Berry had him in his Love/Hate this week (as a love), but I didn't  know much else about Nick Boyle. But I now know that A) He's Baltimore's starting tight end, sharing time with Maxx Williams, and B) He had one catch for 14 yards last week. Boyle is a very risky flier this week, but keep in mind that Pittsburgh tight end Jesse James (I don't think he's of any relation to the bank robber) had six catches for 41 yards and two touchdowns last week against Cleveland.

Martellus Bennett, Packers (@ Falcons)
The "Black Unicorn" had just three catches for 43 yards in his Packer debut, but he does play with Aaron Rodgers, and he will be playing in what looks like a shootout in Atlanta Sunday night. Bennett will likely see plenty of targets, and I expect him to take at least one of those to the house.

Defense
Arizona Cardinals (@ Colts)
The Colts (smartly) ended the Scott Tolzein Experiment after one half last Sunday, but the offense still had trouble in the second half. While the Jacoby Brissett Experiment has more promise, it still might be rough, especially against an Arizona defense that has some talent, especially in the secondary.

Los Angeles Chargers (vs. Dolphins)
The Bolts registered two takeaways and a sack Monday night in Denver, and held the Broncos to 24 points and 321 yards (though L.A. still lost). This week, the Chargers battle the Dolphins, who are playing their first game of the season and have Jay Cut- whoops, it looks like the last part of that sentence somehow got intercepted.

Oakland Raiders (vs. Jets)
Just Envision These Statistics: 214 total yards, 11 first downs, 4-14 on third downs, two interceptions, six points. Those were the numbers put up by the New York Jets offense last week.

Cleveland Browns (@ Ravens)
Is this a bit of a homer pick? Maybe. But after one game, it looks like Gregg Williams' defense is for real (and that's without Myles Garrett). The defense is what kept the Browns in the game against Pittsburgh last week. One of the most dangerous offenses in the league totaled 290 yards and two touchdowns against Cleveland, and one of the most dangerous offensive players in the game totaled just 32 yards on ten carries. Baltimore doesn't scare me, and I don't think it scares the Browns defense either.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs. Bears)
The Bucs start off their season at home against the Bears on Sunday. Chicago's offense isn't scary, even with the emergence of Tarik Cohen, and the Bears lost Kevin White for the season after having already lost Cameron Meredith for the season. Tampa's defense had 18 interceptions last season (6th in the league), so old teammate Mike Glennon better be careful.

Stats and information via ESPN.com and ChicagoTribune.com

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