Saturday, October 28, 2017

Fantasy Football Week 8 Preview (and Picks!)

It's Week 8. That means we're about halfway through the NFL season, and over halfway through the fantasy football season. Every week from here on out is a big one (depending on your standing). Here we go.

Top Performers of Week 7
QB: Carson Wentz, Eagles (vs. WSH)
17-25, 268 yards passing, 4 TD, 1 INT;  8 carries, 63 yards rushing
Photo via NJ.com
RB: Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys (@ SF)
26 carries, 147 yards rushing, 2 TD;  1 catch, 72 yards receiving, 1 TD
Photo via OregonLive.com
WR: Amari Cooper, Raiders (vs. KC)
11 catches, 210 yards receiving, 2 TD
Photo via Yahoo Sports
TE: O.J. Howard, Buccaneers (@ BUF)
6 catches, 98 yards receiving, 2 TD
Photo via AL.com
D/ST: Chicago Bears (vs. CAR)
3 points allowed, 2 INT, 1 Fumble Recovery, 2 TD
Photo via NBC Sports


Picks

Record
Last Week: 8-6   vs. Spread: 6-6-2   O/U: 8-6
Season: 56-42   vs. Spread: 43-51-3   O/U: 47-47-1

(Home Team Listed Last)  (All Times Eastern)

Sunday
Vikings 23, Browns 17 (UK, 9:30 AM, NFLN)  Line: MIN -9.5  O/U: 38
Raiders 24, Bills 21 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: BUF -2.5  O/U: 46.5
Colts 14, Bengals 20 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: CIN -10.5  O/U: 42
Chargers 17, Patriots 28 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: NE -7  O/U: 48
Bears 17, Saints 31 (1:00 PM, FOX)  Line: NO -9.5  O/U: 47.5
Falcons 30, Jets 21 (1:00 PM, FOX)  Line: ATL -6  O/U: 44.5
49ers 17, Eagles 35 (1:00 PM, FOX)  Line: PHI -12.5  O/U: 45
Panthers 32, Buccaneers 24 (1:00 PM, FOX)  Line: TB -1.5  O/U: 46
Texans 14, Seahawks 24 (4:05 PM, CBS)  Line: SEA -6.5  O/U: 45.5
Cowboys 31, Washington 28 (4:25 PM, FOX)  Line: DAL -2  O/U: 47.5
Steelers 27, Lions 33 (8:30 PM, NBC)  Line: PIT -3  O/U: 45.5
Monday
Broncos 10, Chiefs 28 (8:30 PM, ESPN)  Line: KC -7  O/U: 43


Players I Like This Week

Quarterback
Cam Newton, Panthers (@ TB)
ESPN Fantasy Expert Matthew Berry pointed out something interesting in his weekly Love/Hate. Cam has played well in every game following a media controversy this season. Well, another happened this week, and he plays a Tampa defense that ranks 30th in the NFL against the pass (allowing 295 passing yards per game).

Andy Dalton, Bengals (vs. IND)
Andy has been up and down this season, but he has thrown multiple touchdown passes in three of his last four games (and in the other, he threw for over 300 yards). This week, the Red Rifle faces the Colts, who have the second-worst pass defense in the NFL (301 passing yards allowed per game).

Case Keenum, Vikings (vs. CLE)
Keenum has been solid for the Vikings, but he hasn't been much of a fantasy option. He could be this week in London, when he plays a Cleveland defense without Myles Garrett and Jason McCourty (and possible without Jabrill Peppers).


Running Back
Devonta Freeman, Falcons (@ NYJ)
Freeman has been solid in fantasy thus far, and this week could be a big one for the fourth-year Florida State product. The Jets rank 28th in the league in rushing defense (allowing 126.6 rush yards per game), and Atlanta may be playing with the lead for much of the game.

LeGarrette Blount, Eagles (vs. SF)
Philadelphia's feature back only has one touchdown so far this season, but that might change this Sunday. San Francisco ranks 30th in the league in rush defense (giving up 134.6 rushing yards per game), and the Eagles could jump out to a big lead, meaning they'll pound the ball with Blount.

Dion Lewis, Patriots (vs. LAC)
Lewis has emerged as New England's lead back the last couple of weeks, and he has a good matchup this week. The Chargers rank dead last in the NFL in rushing defense (allowing 140.6 rush yards per game), so look for Lewis, who had 13 carries for 76 yards last week, to take full advantage.


Wide Receiver
Pierre Garcon, 49ers (@ PHI)
San Francisco's number one receiver has yet to find the endzone this season, but he could this week. The Niners will probably be throwing a lot, and they could finds success against 29th-ranked pass defense (273 passing yards allowed per game).

JuJu Smith-Schuster, Steelers (@ DET)
Smith-Schuster has emerged amid Martavis Bryant's demotion, and he could be a decent streamer option in what might be a shootout against the Lions. Hopefully JuJu gets into the endzone again this week, because last time he did, he blessed us with this. 

Deonte Thompson, Bills (vs. OAK)
Who is Deonte Thompson, you ask? Good question. After being acquired by the Bills from Chicago last week, he led the team in receiving yards (107 on four catches). With Jordan Matthews and Charles Clay out, Thompson may now be Buffalo's top target (besides LeSean McCoy).


Tight End
Kyle Rudolph, Vikings (vs. CLE)
This week's tight end facing Cleveland has caught two touchdown passes this season, and will probably catch another this weekend in London. The Browns almost allowed yet another tight end touchdown last week, but Marcus Mariota underthrew a wide open Delanie Walker. 

Hunter Henry, Chargers (@ NE)
Henry has continues to impress in his second season. He had 73 yards last week, 90 the week before, and a touchdown in each of the two weeks prior to that. This week, he plays the worst pass defense in the NFL (which has yielded 310 passing yards per game).

O.J. Howard, Buccaneers (vs. CAR)
The rookie out of Alabama broke out last week with 98 yards and two touchdowns. He has become a bigger part of the offense as the season has gone along. You could do worse when looking for a tight end to stream this week.


Defense
New Orleans Saints (vs. CHI)
The Saints defense has become a force in fantasy football, yet they are still not heavily owned. New Orleans could be in for another big week defensively against Chicago's offense, which ranks second in the league in turnovers (14).

Atlanta Falcons (@ NYJ)
The Falcons are another solid defense that you could probably find on the waiver wire. This week they face the Jets, whose offense is not scary by any means. New York is tied for third in the NFL in turnovers (13).

Oakland Raiders (@ BUF) 
If you're in need of a streaming defense in a deeper league, Oakland isn't a bad option. Buffalo's offense has looked decent despite losing Jordan Matthews and Charles Clay, but the Bills still rank just 25th in total offense (298.7 yards per game).

Stats and information via ESPN.com

Lines and Over/Unders via SportsLine.com

Lines and Over/Unders as of Saturday Morning


To stay up to date on the newest Head in the Game articles (and general sports commentary), follow @headingameblog on Twitter (you can also find me on Twitter @G_Tingley)

Friday, October 27, 2017

Week 9 College Football Picks

All aboard the Khalil Tate train
Photo via SFGate.com
It's a big week in college football (well, every week is a big week in college football, but you know what I mean). Several teams could have their Playoff hopes dashed on Saturday. This weekend's slate includes four games between ranked teams and many other enticing matchups.

Play of Week 8: "Walking on Water"


Hurdling (or attempting to hurdle) has become a big thing in college football, but this may be the greatest one I've seen. UCLA running back Bolu Olorunfunmi tried to jump over Oregon defender Tyree Robinson on his way to the endzone, and he ended up standing straight up on Ronbinson's shoulders before diving into the endzone. That touchdown made it 24-14 UCLA, and the Bruins went on to beat the Ducks, 31-14.


(Mis)Play of Week 8: "Last-Second Longhorns"


After falling just short against Oklahoma, Texas had another chance to take down a ranked opponent last week against Oklahoma. Down three in overtime, the Longhorns were already well within field-goal territory. Quarterback Sam Ehlinger rolled left on third down and floated one into the endzone, right into the hands of Oklahoma State defender Ramon Richards.


Performance of Week 8: Will Grier, QB, West Virginia

Photo via Getty Images
26-37, 375 yards passing, 5 TD
The junior Mountaineer quarterback (and FBS leader in touchdown passes) helped guide WVU to victory in a tight shootout at Baylor (final score: 38-36).


Picks

Record
Last Week: 15-1   vs. Spread: 11-5   O/U: 8-8
Season: 121-26   vs. Spread: 67-57-1   O/U: 58-67

(Home Teams Listed Last)  (All Times Eastern)

#5 Wisconsin 42, Illinois 10 (Noon, ESPN)
Line: WISC -26   O/U: 49
Wisconsin has rolled through its schedule thus far, and I don't see that coming to an end Saturday in Champaign. The 2-5 Illini haven't won since September 9 and own the 113th-best rush defense in the country (118.7 yards allowed per game), which may prove problematic against Wisconsin's 15th-ranked rushing offense (256.9 yards per game).

#8 Miami 35, North Carolina 14 (Noon, ESPN2)
Line: MIAMI -20   O/U: 54
Miami, like Wisconsin, heads into a weak conference matchup on a roll. The 1-7 Tar Heels struggle defensively, allowing 451 total yards per game (110th in the nation). Miami averages 475 total yards of offense (20th in the nation), so it might be a long day in Chapel Hill for the Heels. 

#11 Oklahoma State 30, #22 West Virginia 35 (Noon, ABC)
Line: OKLAST -7.5   O/U: 73.5
For some reason, all the marquee games this weekend are during the day. It starts at noon, when Oklahoma State, fresh off an overtime escape in Texas, travels to West Virginia. I think Will Grier and the host Mountaineers prevail over Mason Rudolph and the Cowboys.

#2 Penn State 28, #6 Ohio State 35 (3:30 PM, FOX)
Line: OHIOST -6.5   O/U: 56.5
This may be the biggest game of the weekend. The Buckeyes will look to avenge a loss in Happy Valley last year, while the Nittany Lions will look to continue their undefeated season. The key will be whether Ohio State can stop Saquon Barkley, but I think J.T. Barrett will lead the Buckeyes to a victory in the Horseshoe.

#3 Georgia 27, Florida 10 (3:30 PM, CBS)
Line: UGA -13.5   O/U: 43.5
Georgia is yet another team that has (for the most part) rolled through its schedule thus far, but the Bulldogs could get a challenge from the Gators in Gainsville Saturday. That being said, momentum is strongly in Georgia's favor, and the Dogs offense is a lot more dangerous than Florida's.

#4 TCU 48, #25 Iowa State 24 (3:30 PM, ABC/ESPN2)
Line: TCU -6.5   O/U: 48.5
Unbeaten TCU will look to avoid suffering the same fate as Oklahoma. I might be crazy for this (especially since they play in the Big 12), but I'm a believer in the Horned Frogs. They rank near the top nationally in both total offense and total defense. I'm not as much of a believer in the Cyclones.

#14 NC State 17, #9 Notre Dame 34 (3:30 PM, NBC)
Line: ND -7   O/U: 58.5
Speaking of believing in a team, I believe in Notre Dame. The one-loss Irish have a tough schedule and no room for error, but they are a legitimate Playoff contender as of right now. NC State is a decent team, but I think the Wolfpack may be a bit over-ranked. I don't expect ND to have much trouble with them in South Bend.

UCLA 42, #12 Washington 38 (3:30 PM, ABC/ESPN2)
Line: WASH -17.5   O/U: 59.5
Washington, fresh off a bye, will look to get back on track after a loss to Arizona State two weeks ago. A key factor when looking for a potential upset is the quarterback, and Josh Rosen is a talented passer. The Bruins haven't been great, but I think Rosen and co. give the Huskies a second straight upset loss.

#16 Michigan State 27, Northwestern 20 (3:30 PM, ESPN)
Line: MICHST -2.5   O/U: 40.5
This Big Ten game is kind of buried under the more appealing matchups this weekend, but this could be an interesting one. I'm don't think Michigan State is the 16th-best team in the country, and Northwestern isn't a horrible team. However, I do think the Spartans will get past the Wildcats.

Houston 21, #17 South Florida 42 (3:45 PM, ESPNU)
Line: SFLA -11   O/U: 56.5
The high-powered Bulls got a scare from Tulane last weekend, beating the Green Wave 34-28. Houston could also give South Florida a test, but I think Charlie Strong's high-powered offense will propel the host Bulls to an easy victory.

Austin Peay 3, UCF 44 (5:00 PM, ESPN3)
I have no idea how good Austin Peay is (it's a 5-3 FCS school), but I do know Central Florida has blown through its schedule. I'm not sure the Governors will be able to keep up with UCF's high-octane offense, which ranks 6th in the nation (537 yards per game). 

Duke 0, #13 Virginia Tech 30 (7:20 PM, ACCN)
Line: VATECH -15.5   O/U: 48.5
Duke could give Virginia Tech a battle, but I don't think that is how this plays out. I think the staunch Hokie defense (299 yards allowed per game, 12th in the country) will give the Blue Devils fits, and I don't think the Va Tech offense will have too much trouble at home.

Texas Tech 35, #10 Oklahoma 38 (8:00 PM, ABC/ESPN2)
Line: OKLA -20   O/U: 73.5
Although the primetime game may not be the most compelling one this week, it could be fun. Texas Tech got trounced by Iowa State last week, but the Raiders can put up points, and Oklahoma's last four games have been decided by single digits. I think the Sooners score another close victory Saturday night.

#15 Washington State 28, Arizona 30 (9:30 PM, PAC12)
Line: WASHST -3   O/U: 64.5
I'm on the Khalil Tate train. The sensational sophomore has run all over Colorado, UCLA and California, and I think he'll do the same to Washington State. Mike Leach's team will put up points, but I think Rich Rodriguez's team will get it done at home.

#21 USC 38, Arizona State 24 (10:45 PM, ESPN)
Line: USC -3.5   O/U: 59
The night ends with some #PAC12AfterDark, and it could get weird with these two teams. A week after upsetting Washington, the 4-3 Sun Devils easily dispatched of Utah. Meanwhile, USC got destroyed by Notre Dame. Despite all that, I think the Trojans bounce back Saturday night/Sunday morning.

Stats and Information via ESPN.com
Lines and Over/Unders via SportsLine.com
Lines and Over/Unders are as of Friday Afternoon

Tuesday, October 24, 2017

MLS 2017 Playoff Preview

PLAYOFFS! We're talking about the playoffs. PLAYOFFS!

Wednesday night sees the beginning of the 2017 MLS Cup Playoff following last Sunday's exciting Decision Day action. After a few days of recovering from witnessing Toronto FC setting the all-time points record, Atlanta United breaking their own attendance record, and San Jose getting an extra-time winner to propel them into the final playoff spot, it is now time to look ahead to the postseason.

The knockout round occurs this Wednesday and Thursday to see who advances to the Conference Semi-Finals. Here's how I think things will work out (winner in bold):

(3) Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls - 10/25 @ 8:30 on FS1
While the Red Bulls are always dangerous, this Fire team has been excellent all year.

(3) Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes - 10/25 @ 10:30 on UniMas
The Whitecaps had plenty of chances to clinch a first round bye, and, while the Quakes are riding a high from last weekend, it won't be enough to advance.

(4) Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew - 10/26 @ 7 on ESPN 2
The Five Stripes have been the darling of Major League Soccer this year and have been dominant since moving into their new home. Nevertheless, keep the Crew in Columbus.

(4) Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City - 10/26 @ 9:30 on UniMas
This is a case of never betting against the home team in a MLS game. SKC is a solid club, but at the same time, Houston has only lost once at home this season.

After all the knockout round games are done, it is time to reseed the teams and advance to the Conference Semis. Since I obviously correctly predicted all of those games, it is time for me to pick all the 2nd round games correctly as well.

(1) Portland Timbers vs (4) Houston Dynamo
The Dynamo may be the best home team in the West, but they are abysmal on the road, which is why the Timbers will advance.

(2) Seattle Sounders vs  (3) Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle seems focused now on repeating as champions, and that's why they'll take down their Cascadia rival.

(1) Toronto FC vs (4) Atlanta United FC
Atlanta has had a fantastic rookie year in the league, but Toronto set the all time points record for a reason.

(2) New York City FC vs (3) Chicago Fire 
This is my upset pick for this round. David Villa is one of the best players in the league, but I feel the Fire find a way to advance.

While after the party is the after party, after the semi-finals is the normal finals. Here's how those will play out:

(1) Portland Timbers vs (2) Seattle Sounders
The rivalry of all American soccer rivalries will end the way you think it will, a tightly contested match that goes down to the wire, with the Sounders coming out on top.

(1) Toronto FC vs (3) Chicago Fire
MLS Cup 2016 all over again. There's few things that could stop TFC, and the Fire aren't one of them.

It's the final finals (until next year).
(1) Toronto FC vs (2) Seattle Sounders
Mark your calendar for December 9th, as it will be the day that the rematch of the 2016 MLS Cup finals takes place. This game won't be nearly as close as last year, as Toronto will be focused on one thing: winning it all.

Those are my predictions for the 2017 MLS Playoffs. If you want to make your own predictions, you can head over to bracket.mlssoccer.com and join the Head In The Game league, then head over to Twitter and let us know you've done so.



To stay up to date on the newest Head in the Game articles (and general sports commentary), follow @headingameblog on Twitter. You can follow myself on Twitter @T_RoyStory

Saturday, October 21, 2017

Fantasy Football Week 7 Preview (and Picks)

Get well soon, A-Rod
Photo via Los Angeles Times
Injuries are never good to see. Especially when they happen to a sport's biggest stars. A week after Odell Beckham Jr. and J.J. Watt went down for the season, Aaron Rodgers (the best quarterback in the NFL; don't @ me) suffered a broken collarbone that will sideline for at least the rest of the regular season. No matter what opinions you have about these players, it's hard to argue that these guys make the NFL more exciting and fun to watch. I wish them all a quick recovery.


Top Performers of Week 6
QB: Kirk Cousins, Washington (vs. SF)
25-37, 330 yards passing, 2 TD, 1 INT;  4 carries, 26  yards rushing, 1 TD


Photo via Associated Press

RB: Melvin Gordon, Chargers (@ OAK)
25 carries, 83 yards rushing, 1 TD;  9 catches, 67 yards receiving, 1 TD


Photo via YouTube.com

WR: Antonio Brown, Steelers (@ KC)
8 catches, 155 yards receiving, 1 TD

Photo via BleacherReport.com

TE: Rob Gronkowski, Patriots (@ NYJ)
6 catches, 83 yards receiving, 2 TD


Photo via USA Today

D/ST: Saints Defense (vs. DET)
32 points allowed, 3 INT, 2 fumble recoveries, 3 TD


Photo via NOLA.com


Picks

Record
Last Week: 8-5   vs. Spread: 5-6   O/U: 5-6
Season: 48-36   vs. Spread: 37-45-1   O/U: 39-41-1

(Home Teams Listed Last)  (All Times Eastern)

Sunday
Buccaneers 13, Bills 20 (1:00 PM, FOX)  Line: BUF -3  O/U: 45
Panthers 23, Bears 17 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: CAR -3  O/U: 41
Titans 34, Browns 20 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: TEN -5.5  O/U: 45
Saints 32, Packers 14 (1:00 PM, FOX)  Line: NO -4  O/U: 47.5
Jaguars 19, Colts 12 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: JAC -3  O/U: 43.5
Cardinals 27, Rams 31 (1:00 PM, FOX)  Line: LAR -3  O/U: 45.5
Jets 21, Dolphins 14 (1:00 PM, FOX)  Line: MIA -3  O/U: 38
Ravens 10, Vikings 21 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: MIN -5.5  O/U: 38.5
Cowboys 31, 49ers 34 (4:05 PM, FOX)  Line: DAL -6  O/U: 48.5
Seahawks 22, Giants 13 (4:25 PM, CBS)  Line: SEA -4  O/U: 39.5
Bengals 28, Steelers 24 (4:25 PM, CBS)  Line: PIT -5.5  O/U: 40.5
Broncos 17, Chargers 20 (4:25 PM, CBS)  Line: DEN -1  O/U: 40.5
Falcons 34, Patriots 28 (8:30 PM, NBC)  Line: NE -3  O/U: 46.5
Monday
Washington 31, Eagles 24 (8:30 PM, ESPN)  Line: PHI -4.5  O/U: 49


Players I Like This Week

Quarterback
Marcus Mariota, Titans (@ CLE)
*Insert quarterback playing the Browns here*. Mariota came back from injury Monday night and had a quiet game, but he may be back to 100 percent by Sunday. The Browns gave up 225 yards and three touchdowns to Deshaun Watson last week. Mariota looks like a solid bet this Sunday.

Tyrod Taylor, Bills (vs. TB)
Tyrod hasn't been exceptional in fantasy so far this season, but he's in a good position this week. Tampa Bay has the second-worst pass defense in the league, and last week the Buccaneers gave up 38 points to Arizona. Always a decent value play with his dual-threat ability, Tyrod has a great matchup this week.

Jared Goff, Rams (vs. ARI)
Speaking of Arizona, the Cardinals gave up 33 points to Jameis Winston and the Bucs last week. Arizona ranks 25th in the NFL in pass defense, and Goff (for the most part) has played well so far this season. The Rams don't throw it that often, but when they do, Goff finds some success.

Running Back
Adrian Peterson, Cardinals (@ LAR)
In AP's Cardinal debut last week, he ran for 134 yards and two touchdowns (on 26 carries). While I don't expect a repeat of that, it does seem like he's the workhorse in Arizona, and L.A. ranks 29th in the NFL in rushing defense so far this season. Look for Peterson to find some success again this week.

Orleans Darkwa, Giants (vs. SEA)
First of all, he has a great name. Second of all, Orleans Darkwa has become the feature back in New York, taking 21 carries for 117 yards last week in Denver. While Seattle's pass defense is elite, its rush defense ranks 27th in the league. Darkwa should see a lot of work again Sunday.

Duke Johnson Jr., Browns (vs. TEN)
Hue Jackson announced this week that he will go back to Deshone Kizer at starting quarterback, which is good news for Johnson, who's been Kizer's favorite target (and the dry Cleveland offense's most dangerous weapon). Duke will probably be featured quite often on Sunday.

Wide Receiver
Dez Bryant, Cowboys (@ SF)
Dez has had some quiet performances so far this season, but he has still been Dallas's leading receiver, and this week he plays the 0-6 49ers, who have given up four performances of 100 or more receiving yards. I bet Dez makes it five this weekend.

Doug Baldwin, Seahawks (@ NYG)
Did I trade for Dez Bryant and Doug Baldwin in one of my leagues last week? Maybe. Is that why they're here? No (well, at least it's not the main reason). Baldwin, like Bryant, has been relatively quiet thus far, but Sunday presents an inviting matchup against the 1-5 Giants.

Alshon Jeffery, Eagles (vs. WAS)
Jeffery has also been relatively quiet, but he was targeted ten times last week (his second double-digit target game of the season). Alshon should be able to find room Monday night against a below average Washington pass defense (18th in the NFL).

Tight End
Delanie Waker, Titans (@ CLE)
*Insert tight end playing the Browns here*. This week, the tight end of the team Cleveland is playing is actually one of the top pass-catchers on his team. Walker is questionable for Sunday, so if he doesn't play, take a look at his backup (Jonnu Smith) as a potential replacement.

Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Jets (@ MIA)
ASJ has established himself as one of New York's top offensive weapons. In four games this season, he has 23 catches, 152 yards and two touchdowns (he should have three touchdowns). He has been targeted a combined 19 times the last two weeks, and he faces an 18th-ranked Miami pass defense Sunday.

Evan Engram, Giants (vs. SEA)
Engram has established himself as one of the other New York team's top offensive weapons following a plethora of injuries. Last week in Denver, the rookie caught five passes for 82 yards and a touchdown. Seattle's defense is tough, but Denver's top-ranked defense didn't bother Engram last week.

Defense
Tennessee Titans (@ CLE)
*Insert defense playing the Browns here*. I think Kizer will play better than he did before he was benched (and I think he'll play better than Kevin Hogan), but this is still a very turnover-prone offense with few weapons. Cleveland has committed a league-high 12 turnovers this season.

Buffalo Bills (vs. TB)
The Bills, who rank 13th in the NFL in total defense and have forced ten turnovers so far this season, face off against a Tampa Bay team that has had some low scoring games this year and may be without quarterback Jameis Winston, who's questionable with a shoulder injury.

New Orleans Saints (@ GB)
Apparently, the New Orleans defense is the real deal all of the sudden. Last week against Detroit, the Saints forced five turnovers and scored three defensive touchdowns. This week they play a Packers team led by Brett Hundley, who threw three interceptions in relief of Aaron Rodgers last week.

Stats and information via ESPN.com

Lines and Over/Unders via SportsLine.com

Lines and Over/Unders as of Saturday Morning


To stay up to date on the newest Head in the Game articles (and general sports commentary), follow @headingameblog on Twitter (you can also find me on Twitter @G_Tingley)










Friday, October 20, 2017

Week 8 College Football Picks

Josh Adams and the Irish will try to run past Sam Darnold and the Trojans Saturday night
Photo via NBC Sports
I thought the week before last was a wild one in college football, and then last weekend happened. There were no games between ranked teams, yet ranked teams were falling everywhere. Clemson lost, Washington State lost, Washington lost, Auburn lost, San Diego State lost, Texas Tech lost, and Navy lost. Miami, Michigan, Oklahoma, USC, and Michigan State almost lost. Everything I thought I knew about the 2017 college football season was proven wrong (except the fact that Alabama is very good). So who knows what will happen this week, which actually features ranked matchups.


Play of Week 7: "Living by the Langham"


Miami was in danger of suffering its first loss of the season to Georgia Tech last Saturday. Down two with half a minute remaining in the game, the Canes faced 4th and 10. Quarterback Malik Rosier tossed a pass up for receiver Darrell Langham, who somehow came down with the ball in double coverage. Miami would go on to win on a last-second field goal.


Performance of Week 7: AJ Dillon, RB, Boston College

Photo via 247Sports
39 carries, 272 yards rushing, 4 TD

Dillon was a big reason the Eagles were able to upset Louisville, 45-42. The freshman from Connecticut had 39 carries, three more than Louisville's entire team. He also scored four of BC's six touchdowns.


Picks

Record
Last Week: 15-5   vs. Spread: 13-6-1   O/U: 8-12
Season: 106-25   vs. Spread: 56-52-1   O/U: 50-59

Maryland 7, #5 Wisconsin 37 (Noon, FOX)
Line: WIS -24.5   O/U: 50.5
Maryland is coming off a 37-21 loss to Northwestern, and now the banged up Terps offense has to face a suffocating defense in Wisconsin. The Badgers rank sixth in the country in total defense (and 26th in total offense). Wisky will give the Terps fits in Madison.

#10 Oklahoma State 28, Texas 31 (Noon, ABC)
Line: OSU -7   O/U: 65
This could be a fun one. After losing to TCU three weeks ago, Mason Rudolph and the Cowboys barely beat Texas Tech and easily disposed of Baylor. Texas almost beat Baker Mayfield and Oklahoma last week. I think Tom Herman's team will get it done this week.

Tennessee 12, #1 Alabama 52 (3:30 PM, CBS)
Line: ALA -36   O/U: 50.5
The Tide keep on rolling, heading into this one at 7-0 after thrashing Arkansas last week. After getting shutout three weeks ago by Georgia, Tennessee came back from a bye week and lost to South Carolina. The Volunteers stand no chance in Tuscaloosa.

Syracuse 17, #8 Miami 38 (3:30 PM, ESPN)
Line: MIA -17   O/U: 59
Syracuse, behind quarterback Eric Dungey, pulled off the biggest upset of the year last Friday night, taking down the defending national champions. They'll try to make it two in a row against Miami, but I don't think the U will have issues with the Orange.

North Carolina 13, #14 Virginia Tech 45 (3:30 PM, ESPN2)
Line: VT -21   O/U: 51.5
North Carolina hasn't won since September 16, and that was its only win. A win will be hard to come by for the Tar Heels against Virginia Tech, which has the 25th best offense in the nation and the 23rd best defense in the nation.

Indiana 21, #18 Michigan State 24 (3:30 PM, ABC)
Line: MSU -6.5   O/U: 46
The Hoosiers almost knocked off Michigan last week, falling in overtime. They could give Michigan State a tough game as well, but I think the host Spartans, who have played well since getting routed by Notre Dame, will hang on.

#20 UCF 42, Navy 38 (3:30 PM, CBSSN)
Line: UCF -7.5   O/U: 65
I don't know a whole lot about this Central Florida football team, but I do know that the Knights, behind their 5th-ranked offense, have destroyed everyone they've played. Navy may cause fits with its triple option offense, but UCF has too much firepower.

#9 Oklahoma 35, Kansas State 24 (4:00 PM, FOX)
Line: OKLA -14   O/U: 54
While Baker Mayfield (17 touchdowns, just one interception) still looks great, the Sooners have been shaky the past three weeks. That shakiness could give Kansas State a chance at the upset, but Baker and company will ultimately be too much for the Wildcats.

#16 South Florida 63, Tulane 32 (7:00 PM, ESPN2)
Line: USF -11.5   O/U: 54
While Florida's offense is nonexistent, Central and South's offenses are quite the opposite. USF ranks 13th in the nation in total offense, and that high-powered offense will have no problem with Tulsa's defense, which ranks 129th in the nation.

#24 LSU 30, Ole Miss 14 (7:15 PM, ESPN)
Line: LSU -7   O/U: 59.5
So maybe LSU isn't as bad as we thought. Or maybe Auburn is worse than we thought. Or maybe Troy... anyway, the Tigers are riding high right now (they've beaten two ranked teams in a row), and I expect them to continue riding high against the 3-3 Rebels.

#19 Michigan 17, #2 Penn State 28 (7:30 PM, ABC)
Line: PSU -9.5   O/U: 43
Michigan has basically been a slightly better version of Florida so far this season. Great defense, but worrisome offense. After needing overtime to beat pesky Indiana last week, the Wolverines will be hard-pressed to get a win in Happy Valley Saturday night.

#11 USC 34, #13 Notre Dame 38 (7:30 PM, NBC)
Line: ND -3   O/U: 65.5
Saturday night's marquee matchup will be an elimination game of sorts, pitting two one-loss teams against each other. USC has looked shaky, but I think Sam Darnold plays his best game of the season Saturday. That being said, I think the host Irish escape with the win.

#21 Auburn 34, Arkansas 3 (7:30 PM, SECN)
Line: AUB -15.5   O/U: 52.5
After an upset loss to LSU, Auburn (along with it's nearly dead Playoff hopes) will look to get back on the wagon against Arkansas, which has given up over 40 points in each of its last four games. The Tigers should bounce back Saturday against the Razorbacks.

Kansas 7, #4 TCU 48 (8:00 PM, FOX)
Line: TCU -39   O/U: 59.5
Kansas is bad. The Jayhawks did beat Southeast Missouri State, but they haven't come close to any of the other teams they've played (closest loss = 12 points). TCU, the last remaining unbeaten in the Big 12, will blow by Kansas.

#23 West Virginia 38, Baylor 21 (8:00 PM, FS1)
Line: WVU -9   O/U: 67
Baylor is bad. The Bears did almost beat Oklahoma (and Liberty, and UTSA), but they didn't. Will Grier and the Mountaineers, coming off a one-week hiatus from the Top 25 (they lost to #8 TCU, then beat #24 Texas Tech), will outshoot the bumbling Bears.

Colorado 23, #15 Washington State 42 (10:45 PM, ESPN)
Line: WSU -10   O/U: 52
Washington State will be looking to right the ship after an ugly loss to Cal last Friday night when it faces Colorado Saturday night. The Buffaloes aren't horrible (plus, #PAC12AfterDark), but I expect a bounce-back game from Luke Falk and friends.

Stats and Information via ESPN.com
Lines and Over/Unders via SportsLine.com
Lines and Over/Unders are as of Friday Afternoon


To stay up to date on the newest Head in the Game articles (and general sports commentary), follow @headingameblog on Twitter (you can also find me on Twitter @G_Tingley)


Tuesday, October 17, 2017

NBA Preseason Awards


With the NBA season hours away, now seems like as good a time as any to give you our picks for preseason awards. Anyone could tell you who will win MVP or who is going to win the title, but we here at Head in the Game are going to give the winners of the awards that actually matter, the ones we made up specifically for this post. Please enjoy our (first) annual NBA Preseason Awards.

Please, Please, Pretty Please Don’t Leave Us Award - This award is given out to the pending free agent who by leaving would most devastate their current team.
Winner Winner Chicken Dinner
Troy's Pick - LeBron James
This may be the most obvious of all the awards. With all signs pointing to LeBron making an exodus from Lake Erie and Kyrie already in Boston, the summer of 2018 will be a sad time in the Land. The likelihood that they will have a top three pick helps soften the blow, but let’s face it, there is no replacing the King.
Grant's Pick - LeBron
Like Troy said, this may be the most obvious award winner. However, I truly believe that there is still a strong possibility LeBron stays in Cleveland, especially since his family (and best friend Dwayne Wade) is there.

The Shark Bait Award - This award is given out to the team that will or should probably tank to receive a better draft pick.
Winner Winner Refried Bean Dinner
Troy's Pick - Phoenix Suns
The Suns are in rebuild mode anyway, and the addition of the Heat’s draft pick (as long as it is not in the top 7) could mean that the 2018 draft will be crucial for them. Add that to the fact that they have assets such as Eric Bledsoe and Tyson Chandler, and there is the possibility that the Suns will have upwards of 3 first round picks come the trade deadline.
Grant's Pick - New York Knicks
The Knicks finally ended the Carmelo Anthony era by trading him to OKC this offseason, and now I think it's time for them to tank this season to add another young talent to go with Kristaps Porzingis and 2017 first round pick Frank Ntilikina. They have a young superstar and some young building blocks around him, but they're not there yet.

From Titanic to Iceberg Award - The purpose of this award is to honor the team who had a good season in 2016-17, but who will finish toward the bottom of the league this year.
Winner Winner Academy Award Viewer
Troy's Pick - Atlanta Hawks
Last season the Hawks finished 5th in the East with a record of 43-39. With the loss of some key players this past offseason, it does not seem like the Hawks are going to put up much of a fight. Mike Budenholzer may still be one of the better coaches in the NBA, but I wouldn’t have too much hope for this year if you follow the Hawks.
Grant's Pick - Los Angeles Clippers
Last season the Clips finished fourth in the Western Conference with a record of 51-31. They still have Blake Griffin (and solid role players around him), but the loss of Chris Paul will be felt. He was a talented floor leader who ran the offense. In a tough Western Conference, the Clippers may have a hard time getting into the playoffs.

JaVale McGee Memorial Award - Given to the player that is sure to inspire the most memes this season.
Winner Winner Fidget Spinner
Troy's Pick - Lonzo Ball
It may not be his fault that Lonzo is the recipient of this prestigious award, but he is very deserving nonetheless. Be prepared to see his mug plastered all over your twitter feed with some snarky caption and then be prepared to see the same meme plastered all over your Facebook two to three weeks later.
Grant's Pick - J.R. Smith
Troy took the obvious one, so I'll go with another obvious one. J.R. has been a human meme for awhile, and it'll be interesting to see how he reacts now that he is coming off the bench behind D-Wade. No matter what happens, he'll probably provide some meme-able moments.

Purgatory Award - This award is handed out to the NBA team who has been stuck in a series of mediocrity for years and will remain so this season.
Winner Winner Last Supper Dinner
Troy's Pick - Orlando Magic
Ever since Dwight Howard left central Florida, there has been little magic left in Orlando. They’ve had very few good things happen to them in recent years and that trend will likely continue.
Grant's Pick - Detroit Pistons
The Pistons have plateaued as a middling team in the East the past few seasons, much like Andre Drummond has plateaued after looking like a potential cornerstone at the beginning of his career. Even with the addition of the underrated Avery Bradley, Detroit will still be a middling team.

Pumpkin Spice Award - Awarded to the team who will start the year out strong but ultimately fall off or limp into the playoffs.
Winner Winner Ugg Boot Wearer
Troy's Pick - Washington Wizards
The Wizards have all the makings of a playoff team. They have one of the best backcourts in the league and should have an excellent start. That being said, there is always one team in the East that has an incredible start to the season and hits a slump come January, and Washington seems like as good of a candidate as anyone.
Grant's Pick - Philadelphia 76ers
I have belief in "The Process", and I can see Joel Embiid and company coming out of the gates firing in the East. But there are a lot of young and injury-prone players on that team, so it might be hard for them to keep it up throughout the whole season.

Joe Thomas Service Award - Given to the best player stuck playing for a non-competitive team.
Winner Winner Cleveland Browns Player
Troy's Pick - Anthony Davis
New Orleans is a bad team despite the DeMarcus Cousins trade last season. Despite the weak nature of his squad, Anthony Davis has become a perennial candidate for an all-NBA team, and that should be no different this year, even if his team will struggle to get anywhere near .500.
Grant's Pick - Mike Conley
The Grizzlies have lost some key players the last few years, but Conley and Marc Gasol are keeping this team's head above water. It might be hard for the Griz to compete in the competitive West this year, but they do have an elite point guard.

Bridesmaid Award - Awarded to the player who should receive MVP consideration, but will get lost in the superstar shuffle.
Winner Winner Rehearsal Dinner
Troy's Pick - Damian Lillard
The NBA is filled with stars at the moment. KD, LeBron, Steph, Russ, Harden, and Leonard are players that could easily win MVP. There are only so many slots that can take up the minds of MVP voters, which leaves a lot of fantastic players without consideration. One such player is Damian Lillard, who gets better year after year. This year he’ll be great again, but unless he has the game of his life night in and night out, Dame will get lost in the superstar shuffle.
Grant's Pick - Karl Anthony-Towns
KAT has turned into a legitimate NBA superstar in Minnesota. With the addition of Jimmy Butler (and the continued development of Towns and Andrew Wiggins), the Wolves will be more competitive this season, but Towns will still have to compete for MVP with LeBron, KD, Steph, Russ, Harden, and Kawhi.

Pampers Premium - Given to the rookie who has been placed in the best position to succeed.
Winner Winner Dandy Diaper
Troy's Pick - Dennis Smith Jr.
You can keep you Lonzo and Fultz, because my bet for best rookie in this upcoming season is Dennis Smith Jr. Smith was the 9th pick in the draft and inherits a system in Dallas that he’s well suited for. Rick Carlisle’s offense is set up great for the young point guard, and is my pick for not only Pampers Premium, but also for Rookie of the Year.
Grant's Pick - De'Aaron Fox
I agree that Dennis Smith has been put in a great position, but I really like Fox. He has elite speed and a competitive nature. Sacramento isn't usually synonymous with "good position to succeed", but he'll be playing behind (and with) George Hill, who provides a solid veteran presence. Watch out for the sly Fox.

Bucks in 6 Award - The award bestowed on the player who best exemplifies what it means to be a Greek Freak.
Winner Winner (In 6 Games)
Troy's Pick - Giannis Antetokounmpo
Once in a great while a player comes along that makes people stop and go, "aw gee, I think this guy is pretty good", and that player is Giannis.
Grant's Pick - Giannis
One day, I'm going to sit down and tell my son why I named him Giannis. I will tell him of a once-in-a-lifetime player who had the reach of a pterodactyl, the stride of a leopard, and the uniqueness of a unicorn. Long live Giannis.


To stay up to date on the newest Head in the Game articles (and general sports commentary), follow @headingameblog on Twitter. You can also find us on Twitter @T_RoyStory (Troy) and @G_Tingley (Grant)