Saturday, October 21, 2017

Fantasy Football Week 7 Preview (and Picks)

Get well soon, A-Rod
Photo via Los Angeles Times
Injuries are never good to see. Especially when they happen to a sport's biggest stars. A week after Odell Beckham Jr. and J.J. Watt went down for the season, Aaron Rodgers (the best quarterback in the NFL; don't @ me) suffered a broken collarbone that will sideline for at least the rest of the regular season. No matter what opinions you have about these players, it's hard to argue that these guys make the NFL more exciting and fun to watch. I wish them all a quick recovery.


Top Performers of Week 6
QB: Kirk Cousins, Washington (vs. SF)
25-37, 330 yards passing, 2 TD, 1 INT;  4 carries, 26  yards rushing, 1 TD


Photo via Associated Press

RB: Melvin Gordon, Chargers (@ OAK)
25 carries, 83 yards rushing, 1 TD;  9 catches, 67 yards receiving, 1 TD


Photo via YouTube.com

WR: Antonio Brown, Steelers (@ KC)
8 catches, 155 yards receiving, 1 TD

Photo via BleacherReport.com

TE: Rob Gronkowski, Patriots (@ NYJ)
6 catches, 83 yards receiving, 2 TD


Photo via USA Today

D/ST: Saints Defense (vs. DET)
32 points allowed, 3 INT, 2 fumble recoveries, 3 TD


Photo via NOLA.com


Picks

Record
Last Week: 8-5   vs. Spread: 5-6   O/U: 5-6
Season: 48-36   vs. Spread: 37-45-1   O/U: 39-41-1

(Home Teams Listed Last)  (All Times Eastern)

Sunday
Buccaneers 13, Bills 20 (1:00 PM, FOX)  Line: BUF -3  O/U: 45
Panthers 23, Bears 17 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: CAR -3  O/U: 41
Titans 34, Browns 20 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: TEN -5.5  O/U: 45
Saints 32, Packers 14 (1:00 PM, FOX)  Line: NO -4  O/U: 47.5
Jaguars 19, Colts 12 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: JAC -3  O/U: 43.5
Cardinals 27, Rams 31 (1:00 PM, FOX)  Line: LAR -3  O/U: 45.5
Jets 21, Dolphins 14 (1:00 PM, FOX)  Line: MIA -3  O/U: 38
Ravens 10, Vikings 21 (1:00 PM, CBS)  Line: MIN -5.5  O/U: 38.5
Cowboys 31, 49ers 34 (4:05 PM, FOX)  Line: DAL -6  O/U: 48.5
Seahawks 22, Giants 13 (4:25 PM, CBS)  Line: SEA -4  O/U: 39.5
Bengals 28, Steelers 24 (4:25 PM, CBS)  Line: PIT -5.5  O/U: 40.5
Broncos 17, Chargers 20 (4:25 PM, CBS)  Line: DEN -1  O/U: 40.5
Falcons 34, Patriots 28 (8:30 PM, NBC)  Line: NE -3  O/U: 46.5
Monday
Washington 31, Eagles 24 (8:30 PM, ESPN)  Line: PHI -4.5  O/U: 49


Players I Like This Week

Quarterback
Marcus Mariota, Titans (@ CLE)
*Insert quarterback playing the Browns here*. Mariota came back from injury Monday night and had a quiet game, but he may be back to 100 percent by Sunday. The Browns gave up 225 yards and three touchdowns to Deshaun Watson last week. Mariota looks like a solid bet this Sunday.

Tyrod Taylor, Bills (vs. TB)
Tyrod hasn't been exceptional in fantasy so far this season, but he's in a good position this week. Tampa Bay has the second-worst pass defense in the league, and last week the Buccaneers gave up 38 points to Arizona. Always a decent value play with his dual-threat ability, Tyrod has a great matchup this week.

Jared Goff, Rams (vs. ARI)
Speaking of Arizona, the Cardinals gave up 33 points to Jameis Winston and the Bucs last week. Arizona ranks 25th in the NFL in pass defense, and Goff (for the most part) has played well so far this season. The Rams don't throw it that often, but when they do, Goff finds some success.

Running Back
Adrian Peterson, Cardinals (@ LAR)
In AP's Cardinal debut last week, he ran for 134 yards and two touchdowns (on 26 carries). While I don't expect a repeat of that, it does seem like he's the workhorse in Arizona, and L.A. ranks 29th in the NFL in rushing defense so far this season. Look for Peterson to find some success again this week.

Orleans Darkwa, Giants (vs. SEA)
First of all, he has a great name. Second of all, Orleans Darkwa has become the feature back in New York, taking 21 carries for 117 yards last week in Denver. While Seattle's pass defense is elite, its rush defense ranks 27th in the league. Darkwa should see a lot of work again Sunday.

Duke Johnson Jr., Browns (vs. TEN)
Hue Jackson announced this week that he will go back to Deshone Kizer at starting quarterback, which is good news for Johnson, who's been Kizer's favorite target (and the dry Cleveland offense's most dangerous weapon). Duke will probably be featured quite often on Sunday.

Wide Receiver
Dez Bryant, Cowboys (@ SF)
Dez has had some quiet performances so far this season, but he has still been Dallas's leading receiver, and this week he plays the 0-6 49ers, who have given up four performances of 100 or more receiving yards. I bet Dez makes it five this weekend.

Doug Baldwin, Seahawks (@ NYG)
Did I trade for Dez Bryant and Doug Baldwin in one of my leagues last week? Maybe. Is that why they're here? No (well, at least it's not the main reason). Baldwin, like Bryant, has been relatively quiet thus far, but Sunday presents an inviting matchup against the 1-5 Giants.

Alshon Jeffery, Eagles (vs. WAS)
Jeffery has also been relatively quiet, but he was targeted ten times last week (his second double-digit target game of the season). Alshon should be able to find room Monday night against a below average Washington pass defense (18th in the NFL).

Tight End
Delanie Waker, Titans (@ CLE)
*Insert tight end playing the Browns here*. This week, the tight end of the team Cleveland is playing is actually one of the top pass-catchers on his team. Walker is questionable for Sunday, so if he doesn't play, take a look at his backup (Jonnu Smith) as a potential replacement.

Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Jets (@ MIA)
ASJ has established himself as one of New York's top offensive weapons. In four games this season, he has 23 catches, 152 yards and two touchdowns (he should have three touchdowns). He has been targeted a combined 19 times the last two weeks, and he faces an 18th-ranked Miami pass defense Sunday.

Evan Engram, Giants (vs. SEA)
Engram has established himself as one of the other New York team's top offensive weapons following a plethora of injuries. Last week in Denver, the rookie caught five passes for 82 yards and a touchdown. Seattle's defense is tough, but Denver's top-ranked defense didn't bother Engram last week.

Defense
Tennessee Titans (@ CLE)
*Insert defense playing the Browns here*. I think Kizer will play better than he did before he was benched (and I think he'll play better than Kevin Hogan), but this is still a very turnover-prone offense with few weapons. Cleveland has committed a league-high 12 turnovers this season.

Buffalo Bills (vs. TB)
The Bills, who rank 13th in the NFL in total defense and have forced ten turnovers so far this season, face off against a Tampa Bay team that has had some low scoring games this year and may be without quarterback Jameis Winston, who's questionable with a shoulder injury.

New Orleans Saints (@ GB)
Apparently, the New Orleans defense is the real deal all of the sudden. Last week against Detroit, the Saints forced five turnovers and scored three defensive touchdowns. This week they play a Packers team led by Brett Hundley, who threw three interceptions in relief of Aaron Rodgers last week.

Stats and information via ESPN.com

Lines and Over/Unders via SportsLine.com

Lines and Over/Unders as of Saturday Morning


To stay up to date on the newest Head in the Game articles (and general sports commentary), follow @headingameblog on Twitter (you can also find me on Twitter @G_Tingley)










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