Now that I have one week of the NFL season under my belt, hopefully I'll be more accurate with my picks than I was last week (but probably not). The first week was filled with many games that could have gone either way (13 games were decided by single digits), and Week 2 could see more of the same (the Thursday night game was a 37-31 Jet victory over the Bills). So, here's hoping more of those close games go my way (pick-wise, and fantasy-wise, as I lost in both of my leagues last week).
Last Week: 9-6
Season: 9-6
(Home Team Listed Last)
Sunday
Ravens 34, Browns 35 (1:00 PM, CBS)
Yes, the Browns aren't good. Yes, they got destroyed by a rookie quarterback in Week 1. Yes, they could quite possibly go 0-16. On the other hand, yes, the Browns have won their last three home openers, and yes, Josh McCown has played well against Baltimore.
Bengals 28, Steelers 32 (1:00 PM, CBS)
This is a battle of two ultra-talented wide receivers. A.J. Green caught 12 passes for 180 yards and a touchdown last week as the Bengals got past the Jets, and Antonio Brown twerked his way to eight catches, 126 yards, and two touchdowns as Pittsburgh dominated Washington.
Titans 17, Lions 35 (1:00 PM, CBS)
Tennessee should have more success against Detroit's defense than they did versus Minnesota's, but the Lions' offense is much better than the Vikings'. Matthew Stafford tore up the Colts defense with 340 yards and three touchdowns last week.
Cowboys 37, Redskins 34 (1:00 PM, FOX)
Rookie quarterback Dak Prescott played pretty well in last week's loss to the Giants, but his supporting cast (running back Zeke Elliott, the receivers, and the defense) must do better this week against a Washington defense that was blasted by Pittsburgh last week.
Saints 42, Giants 45 (1:00 PM, FOX)
Both of these teams are dynamic offensive threats with good veteran signal-callers and explosive pass-catchers. Both teams also have suspect defenses, especially New Orleans, whose defense (which was the worst in the NFL last season) gave up 35 points to Oakland in Week 1.
49ers 13, Panthers 28 (1:00 PM, FOX)
San Francisco is not as good as they looked last Monday in a 28-0 win versus L.A. (the Rams aren't good), and Carolina is not as bad as they looked last Thursday in a 21-20 loss to Denver (they were playing the defending champs in Denver).
Dolphins 21, Patriots 32 (1:00 PM, CBS)
New England will lose a game before Tom Brady comes back (Week 5), but probably not this one. The Pats showed the machine keeps churning no matter who isn't playing (Brady and Rob Gronkowski last week), while Miami squandered an opportunity in Seattle.
Chiefs 24, Texans 28 (1:00 PM, CBS)
These two teams are similar in my eyes. Solid offenses led by solid quarterbacks and strong running games, supported by talented defenses. However, Houston has a better defense, and as they showed last week, more explosive offensive weapons.
Seahawks 34, Rams 13 (4:05 PM, FOX)
Both of these teams struggled last week, but the Seahawks still came out with a win, while the Rams didn't put a point on the board. The Los Angeles offense can't play the way they did Monday night against San Francisco, but they probably will against Seattle's defense.
Buccaneers 31, Cardinals 32 (4:05 PM, FOX)
Jameis Winston is an ascending quarterback in the NFL, and he showed it last week with a four touchdown performance against Atlanta. Arizona has a better defense than the Falcons, and a productive offense led by Carson Palmer, David Johnson, and Larry Fitzgerald.
Jaguars 30, Chargers 21 (4:25 PM, CBS)
Jacksonville kept up with Aaron Rodgers and the Packers, but couldn't beat them, while San Diego lost in overtime to Kansas City and lost star receiver Keenan Allen for the season. Allen tore his ACL after missing parts of last season with injuries.
Falcons 21, Raiders 27 (4:25 PM, CBS)
The Raiders out-shot the Saints last week (after a successful two-point conversion in the final minute), and while they probably won't score 35 points again this week, they should play better defensively.
Colts 24, Broncos 30 (4:25 PM, CBS)
Andrew Luck didn't miss a beat last week after missing much of last season with injury, scoring four touchdowns against Detroit. Unfortunately, the Indy defense also did't miss a beat, allowing 39 points in a loss.
Packers 32, Vikings 17 (8:30 PM, NBC)
I don't know who's starting at quarterback for the Vikings on Sunday night (Sam Bradford? Shaun Hill? Adrian Peterson?), but I do know who's starting for the Packers, and he's a lot better than whoever Minnesota throws out there.
Monday
Eagles 17, Bears 21 (8:30 PM, ESPN)
Carson Wentz looked really good against the Browns, but the key words there are "against the Browns". The Bears aren't playoff-caliber either, but they should pose more of a test for Wentz. This could be an ugly game.
Friday, September 16, 2016
Week 3 CFB Picks
Considering how "boring" last week's college football schedule looked on paper, of course it didn't turn out to be nearly as boring. Georgia and Clemson almost lost to inferior foes, Arkansas upset TCU in overtime, and Central Michigan shocked Oklahoma State on an untimed down (that, according to the rules, shouldn't have happened, but oh well) that resulted in a Hail Mary lateral play. This week looks a lot more interesting on paper, so I'm excited to see what happens.
(Yes, I know this is a day late, and I missed the Houston-Cincinnati game. Don't @ me)
Last Week: 20-3
Season: 25-9
(Home Team Listed Last)
Friday
#21 Baylor 50, Rice 17 (8:00 PM, ESPN)
The Bears have beaten their first two opponents (Northwestern State and SMU) 55-7 and 40-13, respectively. The Owls have lost their first two games (at Western Kentucky and Army) 46-14 and 31-14. You know how this will (probably) go.
Saturday
South Carolina State 14, #5 Clemson 35 (Noon, ACC Network)
Okay, maybe it's about time we start worrying about Clemson. They won both of their first two games by just six points. The key word there is "won", but they do need to perform better if they want to go back to the National Championship. This week provides another seemingly easy test.
#2 Florida State 38, #10 Louisville 42 (Noon, ABC/ESPN3)
The first marquee match up features two ACC teams with young, talented quarterbacks. FSU redshirt freshman Deondre Francois and UL sophomore Lamar Jackson are both Heisman hopefuls who will put on a good show Saturday. I'm going with my man Lamar and the Cardinals.
Ohio 23, #15 Tennessee 32 (Noon, SEC Network)
Always be weary of MAC schools. Tennessee had trouble with App State in Week 1, but cruised past Virginia Tech last week. I expect this Saturday's contest to be somewhere in the middle, with the Bobcats keeping up early but the Vols pulling away late.
North Dakota State 24, #13 Iowa 37 (Noon, ESPN)
North Dakota State is no ordinary FCS foe. They've won multiple consecutive National Championships and have knocked off FBS teams before. However, Carson Wentz is starting for the Philadelphia Eagles right now, not the Bison.
Georgia State 10, #9 Wisconsin 44 (Noon, Big Ten Network)
The Badgers avoided a potential let down after their upset of LSU, and look to be a contender in the competitive Big Ten race. They shouldn't have any problems with 0-2 Georgia State, who have lost by double digits to Ball State and Air Force.
#25 Miami 32, Appalachian State 27 (Noon, ESPN)
Miami is only favored by 3.5 points, and for good reason. The Mountaineers almost knocked off Tennessee Week 1, and face another Top 25 opponent this weekend, this time at home. I could see an upset, but I think Brad Kaaya and the Canes will escape with a victory.
#1 Alabama 32, #19 Ole Miss 35 (3:30 PM, CBS)
Ole Miss has been a thorn in Alabama's side the past couple of years, beating them in 2014 and 2015. They've already suffered a loss this season (to Florida State), but Rebels senior quarterback Chad Kelly had experience beating the Tide.
Colorado 24, #4 Michigan 48 (3:30 PM, Big Ten Network)
The Wolverines, who've dominated thus far, need to avoid an upset in a "trap game" of sorts versus a team that's much better than the first two they played. I think they will avoid that "trap", and fly high into conference play.
#22 Oregon 47, Nebraska 35 (3:30 PM, ESPN)
This is another potential upset, as Nebraska has a strong offense led by dual-threat quarterback Tommy Armstrong Jr., but I think the Ducks win what will surely be a high-scoring game between two teams who scored at least 43 points each of the first two weeks.
#17 Texas A&M 28, Auburn 24 (7:00 PM, ESPN)
This should be a good game (I mean, it's between two above average SEC teams, so it'll be hard fought). However, Texas A&M is definitely better than Auburn, having beaten UCLA already this season (Auburn lost to an under-performing Clemson ball club).
Mississippi State 17, #20 LSU 32 (7:00 PM, ESPN2)
This should be another strong SEC match up, although both teams already have losses on the season. While LSU lost to now-#9 Wisconsin the first week of the season, Mississippi State fell to South Alabama.
North Texas 10, #23 Florida 42 (7:30 PM, ESPNU)
The Gators have disposed of UMass and Kentucky, and should do the same against North Texas, which is like the seventh or eight (or 14th) best team in the state of Texas (their at least worse than SMU, whom they lost to in Week 1).
#12 Michigan State 32, #18 Notre Dame 33 (7:30 PM, NBC)
This is another must-see games on a weekend filled with them. I could see this one going either way, but I'll go with Notre Dame, at home with quarterback Deshone Kizer, whose seen as a legit top NFL prospect, getting the victory.
North Texas 13, #24 Arkansas 29 (7:30 PM, SEC Network)
In another game with a lesser team from the state of Texas (I don't know if they're better or worse than North Texas, but I'll say better), newly-ranked Arkansas shouldn't have much problem with the Bobcats.
#16 Georgia 28, Missouri 17 (7:30 PM, SEC Network)
I don't know what in the world was going on with Georgia last Saturday, when they sweated past Nicholls (an FCS school) 26-24, but hopefully (for them) they will return to "normal" this weekend against Mizzou, which is not an FCS school.
#3 Ohio State 38, #14 Oklahoma 32 (7:30 PM, FOX)
Urban Meyer's Buckeyes should be very well prepared for this primetime match up. Meyer chatted with former OSU offensive coordinator Tom Herman, whose Houston team beat Oklahoma Week 1, and Oklahoma's backup QB decided to call OSU's defense "basic" on radio.
Portland State 12, #8 Washington 52 (8:00 PM, Pac-12 Network)
I still don't know much about the hyped Huskies, but they're 2-0 so far (with blowouts of below average teams), and they play FCS opponent Portland State this weekend, so I probably won't know any more about them next week.
USC 34, #7 Stanford 38 (8:00 PM, ABC)
A Saturday night meeting of these two Pac-12 teams from Southern California should be entertaining. Two of the best skill players in college football face off (USC receiver Juju Smith-Schuster and Stanford running back Christian McCaffrey), and I'll give McCaffrey the edge.
#11 Texas 42, California 39 (10:30 PM, ESPN)
Wild things happen in late-night games out west, and Texas has already won a wild game this season (an OT victory over Notre Dame), so I'll go Longhorns over Bears in a game that comes down to the last few minutes (or overtime).
Friday, September 9, 2016
Week 2 CFB Picks
Well, that was quite a first weekend for college football. Upsets galore (seven Top 25 teams went down), comebacks, outstanding performances - just a great weekend of football. Unfortunately, the excitement of Week 1 is a stark contrast to the Week 2 slate (at least, on paper), which may lead to a let down of sorts. But, as we saw last week (and many other times in the past), you never know what could happen.
Last Week: 15-6
Season: 15-6
(Home Team Listed Last)
Friday
#13 Louisville 38, Syracuse 14 (8:00 PM, ESPN2)
I'm not sure if I've mentioned this before, but Lamar Jackson is really good. He had eight total touchdowns in a rout of Charlotte, and I'm looking for him to put on another show this week against Syracuse, who, while not great, is probably much better than Charlotte.
Saturday
Central Michigan 24, #22 Oklahoma State 35 (Noon, Fox Sports 1)
You always have to watch out for those MAC teams. Oklahoma State beat Central Michigan 24-13 last season, and I could see a similar result this time. Regardless of the final margin of victory, the Cowboys should beat the Chips in Stillwater.
Prairie View A&M 3, #20 Texas A&M 49 (Noon, SEC Network)
FCS team alert! I don't know much about Prairie View A&M (I believe they are the Panthers), but I do know Texas A&M beat a ranked UCLA team last week, is at home (one of the homes of the "12th Man"), and has a lot more talent than P.V. A&M.
Nicholls 0, #9 Georgia 52 (Noon, SEC Network)
Two in a row!! I know even less about Nicholls than I do Prairie View A&M, but I do know they will probably at least a few "Leon Sandcastles" to have a chance of shocking star running back Nick Chubb and the Bulldogs.
UCF 17, #5 Michigan 45 (Noon, ABC)
Central Florida will definitely provide more of a challenge for Michigan than Hawaii did (which isn't saying much), but the Wolverines should have no problem with the Knights in the Big House, especially since Blake Bortles is not walking through that door.
Lamar 7, #6 Houston 38 (Noon, ESPN3)
No, Houston is not going up against one guy. However, Lamar still doesn't stand much of a chance against a talented team that showed it belonged in the Playoff picture after an impressive victory over Oklahoma (33-23) last week.
Troy 13, #2 Clemson 32 (12:30 PM, ACC Network)
Again, not one guy. Although, again, they probably don't stand a chance of pulling off the monumental upset. Clemson did struggle with Auburn in a 20-13 victory last week, and they might struggle a little again this week, but there's a reason they're ranked #2 (because they were voted #2).
Charleston Southern 10, #3 Florida State 56 (12:30 PM, ACC Network)
STOP IT WITH THE FCS TEAMS!!! Anyway, where were we? Ah, yes, Florida State showed a lot in a comeback victory over Ole Miss Monday, including the impressive skill set of redshirt Freshman Deondre Francios (and that the last name Aguayo is a good one to have if you're a kicker).
Tulsa 24, #4 Ohio State 52 (3:30 PM, ABC)
Tulsa is better than Bowling Green, Ohio State's Week 1 opponent (or so I've been told), but Ohio State, per usual, has talent everywhere, even if it's inexperienced talent. Ohio State will try to oil the machine as well as possible in advance of next week's trip to Norman, Oklahoma.
Akron 13, #10 Wisconsin 28 (3:30 PM, Big Ten Network)
The Badgers need to avoid a letdown against the Zips after their big upset over LSU last weekend, and while I think that they will avoid being the recipient of an upset this time, their may be some tense moments.
SMU 28, #23 Baylor 48 (3:30 PM, Fox Sports 1)
This Texas battle may turn out to be one of the highlights of a pretty barren college football slate, pitting a team that has been considered by the Big 12 (as part of their expansion plan) against a team already in the Big 12. The current Big 12 team should take this one.
Nevada 23, #18 Notre Dame 42 (3:30 PM, NBC)
Colin Kaepernick isn't walking through that door. The Wolfpack may possibly give the Irish, who are coming off a heartbreaking overtime loss to Texas, a scare, but Notre Dame won't lose for the second straight week, especially if they KEEP DESHONE KIZER IN AT QUARTERBACK.
Western Kentucky 7, #1 Alabama 42 (3:30 PM, ESPN2)
Western Kentucky once again has a quarterback who can throw the ball a lot (Mike White threw for 517 yards in a 46-14 win over Rice last week), but, in case you haven't heard, this Alabama football team is decent (or so I've heard).
Wofford 13, #19 Ole Miss 38 (4:00 PM, SEC Network)
Wofford is fun to say. It's also yet another FCS school facing a Top 25 FBS program. Ole Miss blew a lead in a loss to Florida State Monday, so they can take out their anger (or whatever feeling) on Wofford.
Idaho 16, #8 Washington 34 (5:00 PM, Pac-12 Network)
Meanwhile, up in the Pacific Northwest, I still don't know how good this much-hyped Washington team is, but I'm guessing they're probably better than the Idaho Vandals. Just a guess, though. Who knows? Maybe not.
Florida Atlantic 14, #25 Miami 40 (6:00 PM, ACC Network)
On the complete opposite side of the country, Miami takes in a matinee against FAU. Brad Kaaya and the Hurricanes shouldn't have much of a problem putting away, like, the seventh or eighth (or 14th, I don't know) best team in Florida.
Louisiana Monroe 14, #14 Oklahoma 40 (7:00 PM)
The Sooners will try to regroup after a loss to Houston and prepare for a meeting with Ohio State against UL-Monroe. They should be able to get in the win column, but it'll be interesting to see what they change after the Houston loss.
UTEP 19, #11 Texas 51 (7:00 PM, Longhorn Network)
This is another intra-state battle withn Texas, one that isn't quite as intriguing. The Longhorns were able to come out with the win in a wild overtime win versus Notre Dame, and while the two-quarterback system worked out in that game, it'll be interesting (as always) to see how it goes.
Arkansas 24, #15 TCU 38 (7:00 PM, ESPN)
This game and Virginia Tech-Tennessee are probably the marquee games of the weekend, which says a lot about the weekend. TCU struggled more than they probably should have against South Dakota State, but Arkansas almost lost to Louisiana Tech, so...
Iowa State 17, #16 Iowa 31 (7:30 PM, Big Ten Network)
Iowa State could give their in-state rival a game (they're definitely no stranger to that), but this Cyclone team doesn't seem to be very good (they lost 25-20 to Northern Iowa last week), and this is a pretty talented Hawkeye team.
Jacksonville State 6, #21 Iowa 47 (7:30 PM, ESPNU)
After an eye-opening loss to Wisconsin, LSU is looking for things to go a lot more smoothly against FCS foe J'Ville State (and they most likely will). Leonard Fournette should have a field day after struggling last week.
Virginia Tech 32, #17 Tennessee 28 (8:00 PM, ABC)
This game is being played at Bristol Motor Speedway, so that's interesting. It also could prove to be an interesting match up, between the upset-minded Hokies and the (overrated?) Volunteers, who barely survived App State last week.
Virginia 20, #24 Oregon 58 (10:30 PM, ESPN)
This isn't necessarily the Oregon of old, but Virginia lost to Richmond by 17 last week, so Oregon doesn't have to be the Oregon of old. The Ducks will cruise to a Pac-12 versus ACC victory in Eugene.
Last Week: 15-6
Season: 15-6
(Home Team Listed Last)
Friday
#13 Louisville 38, Syracuse 14 (8:00 PM, ESPN2)
I'm not sure if I've mentioned this before, but Lamar Jackson is really good. He had eight total touchdowns in a rout of Charlotte, and I'm looking for him to put on another show this week against Syracuse, who, while not great, is probably much better than Charlotte.
Saturday
Central Michigan 24, #22 Oklahoma State 35 (Noon, Fox Sports 1)
You always have to watch out for those MAC teams. Oklahoma State beat Central Michigan 24-13 last season, and I could see a similar result this time. Regardless of the final margin of victory, the Cowboys should beat the Chips in Stillwater.
Prairie View A&M 3, #20 Texas A&M 49 (Noon, SEC Network)
FCS team alert! I don't know much about Prairie View A&M (I believe they are the Panthers), but I do know Texas A&M beat a ranked UCLA team last week, is at home (one of the homes of the "12th Man"), and has a lot more talent than P.V. A&M.
Nicholls 0, #9 Georgia 52 (Noon, SEC Network)
Two in a row!! I know even less about Nicholls than I do Prairie View A&M, but I do know they will probably at least a few "Leon Sandcastles" to have a chance of shocking star running back Nick Chubb and the Bulldogs.
UCF 17, #5 Michigan 45 (Noon, ABC)
Central Florida will definitely provide more of a challenge for Michigan than Hawaii did (which isn't saying much), but the Wolverines should have no problem with the Knights in the Big House, especially since Blake Bortles is not walking through that door.
Lamar 7, #6 Houston 38 (Noon, ESPN3)
No, Houston is not going up against one guy. However, Lamar still doesn't stand much of a chance against a talented team that showed it belonged in the Playoff picture after an impressive victory over Oklahoma (33-23) last week.
Troy 13, #2 Clemson 32 (12:30 PM, ACC Network)
Again, not one guy. Although, again, they probably don't stand a chance of pulling off the monumental upset. Clemson did struggle with Auburn in a 20-13 victory last week, and they might struggle a little again this week, but there's a reason they're ranked #2 (because they were voted #2).
Charleston Southern 10, #3 Florida State 56 (12:30 PM, ACC Network)
STOP IT WITH THE FCS TEAMS!!! Anyway, where were we? Ah, yes, Florida State showed a lot in a comeback victory over Ole Miss Monday, including the impressive skill set of redshirt Freshman Deondre Francios (and that the last name Aguayo is a good one to have if you're a kicker).
Tulsa 24, #4 Ohio State 52 (3:30 PM, ABC)
Tulsa is better than Bowling Green, Ohio State's Week 1 opponent (or so I've been told), but Ohio State, per usual, has talent everywhere, even if it's inexperienced talent. Ohio State will try to oil the machine as well as possible in advance of next week's trip to Norman, Oklahoma.
Akron 13, #10 Wisconsin 28 (3:30 PM, Big Ten Network)
The Badgers need to avoid a letdown against the Zips after their big upset over LSU last weekend, and while I think that they will avoid being the recipient of an upset this time, their may be some tense moments.
SMU 28, #23 Baylor 48 (3:30 PM, Fox Sports 1)
This Texas battle may turn out to be one of the highlights of a pretty barren college football slate, pitting a team that has been considered by the Big 12 (as part of their expansion plan) against a team already in the Big 12. The current Big 12 team should take this one.
Nevada 23, #18 Notre Dame 42 (3:30 PM, NBC)
Colin Kaepernick isn't walking through that door. The Wolfpack may possibly give the Irish, who are coming off a heartbreaking overtime loss to Texas, a scare, but Notre Dame won't lose for the second straight week, especially if they KEEP DESHONE KIZER IN AT QUARTERBACK.
Western Kentucky 7, #1 Alabama 42 (3:30 PM, ESPN2)
Western Kentucky once again has a quarterback who can throw the ball a lot (Mike White threw for 517 yards in a 46-14 win over Rice last week), but, in case you haven't heard, this Alabama football team is decent (or so I've heard).
Wofford 13, #19 Ole Miss 38 (4:00 PM, SEC Network)
Wofford is fun to say. It's also yet another FCS school facing a Top 25 FBS program. Ole Miss blew a lead in a loss to Florida State Monday, so they can take out their anger (or whatever feeling) on Wofford.
Idaho 16, #8 Washington 34 (5:00 PM, Pac-12 Network)
Meanwhile, up in the Pacific Northwest, I still don't know how good this much-hyped Washington team is, but I'm guessing they're probably better than the Idaho Vandals. Just a guess, though. Who knows? Maybe not.
Florida Atlantic 14, #25 Miami 40 (6:00 PM, ACC Network)
On the complete opposite side of the country, Miami takes in a matinee against FAU. Brad Kaaya and the Hurricanes shouldn't have much of a problem putting away, like, the seventh or eighth (or 14th, I don't know) best team in Florida.
Louisiana Monroe 14, #14 Oklahoma 40 (7:00 PM)
The Sooners will try to regroup after a loss to Houston and prepare for a meeting with Ohio State against UL-Monroe. They should be able to get in the win column, but it'll be interesting to see what they change after the Houston loss.
UTEP 19, #11 Texas 51 (7:00 PM, Longhorn Network)
This is another intra-state battle withn Texas, one that isn't quite as intriguing. The Longhorns were able to come out with the win in a wild overtime win versus Notre Dame, and while the two-quarterback system worked out in that game, it'll be interesting (as always) to see how it goes.
Arkansas 24, #15 TCU 38 (7:00 PM, ESPN)
This game and Virginia Tech-Tennessee are probably the marquee games of the weekend, which says a lot about the weekend. TCU struggled more than they probably should have against South Dakota State, but Arkansas almost lost to Louisiana Tech, so...
Iowa State 17, #16 Iowa 31 (7:30 PM, Big Ten Network)
Iowa State could give their in-state rival a game (they're definitely no stranger to that), but this Cyclone team doesn't seem to be very good (they lost 25-20 to Northern Iowa last week), and this is a pretty talented Hawkeye team.
Jacksonville State 6, #21 Iowa 47 (7:30 PM, ESPNU)
After an eye-opening loss to Wisconsin, LSU is looking for things to go a lot more smoothly against FCS foe J'Ville State (and they most likely will). Leonard Fournette should have a field day after struggling last week.
Virginia Tech 32, #17 Tennessee 28 (8:00 PM, ABC)
This game is being played at Bristol Motor Speedway, so that's interesting. It also could prove to be an interesting match up, between the upset-minded Hokies and the (overrated?) Volunteers, who barely survived App State last week.
Virginia 20, #24 Oregon 58 (10:30 PM, ESPN)
This isn't necessarily the Oregon of old, but Virginia lost to Richmond by 17 last week, so Oregon doesn't have to be the Oregon of old. The Ducks will cruise to a Pac-12 versus ACC victory in Eugene.
Thursday, September 8, 2016
NFL Week 1 Picks
Football season is now in full gear. College started in earnest last week, and the NFL starts this week. With that, of course, comes my weekly NFL picks column. If you think my college football pick column is just me randomly guessing, my NFL column is even more so. So, with that being said,let's begin!
(Note: Home Team Listed Last)
Thursday
Panthers 32, Broncos 17 (8:30 PM, NBC)
The NFL season kicks off with a Super Bowl rematch. Cam Newton and company look to lead Carolina to another Super Bowl Appearance. while Denver starts a new era at quarterback. It'll be interesting to see how Trevor Siemian does in his first start.
Sunday
Browns 24, Eagles 21 (1:00 PM, CBS)
This is a bit of an "upset pick". The Browns probably won't be great, especially defensively, but the offense, featuring RGIII, a solid running back tandem, and a talented group of receivers has explosive potential. Plus, the Eagles aren't good, and are starting rookie quarterback Carson Wentz.
Packers 28, Jaguars 21 (1:00 PM, FOX)
The Jaguars should be an improved team this year, as they have a rising young offense and key additions on defense. But Green Bay is still Green Bay, with Aaron Rodgers, a reportedly slimmed-down Eddie Lacy, and a now-healthy Jordy Nelson.
Bills 27, Ravens 17 (1:00 PM, CBS)
If everyone's healthy, Buffalo has a good offense. Dual-threat Tyrod Taylor, beastly receiver Sammy Watkins, and "Shady" McCoy are very skilled. The Ravens have too many questions on both sides of the ball, starting with Joe Flacco and Steve Smith, both of whom are coming back from injury.
Bears 13, Texans 31 (1:00 PM, FOX)
The Bears were not good last season, and probably won't be good defense. The Texans sneaked into the playoffs on the strength of their defense, then added quarterback Brock Osweiler, running back Lamar Miller, and rookie receivers Will Fuller and Braxton Miller in the off season.
Buccaneers 34, Falcons 24 (1:00 PM, FOX)
The young Bucs could be good, as Jameis Winston continues to improve with his towering pass-catchers, and the good young defenders (such as Lavonte David and Vernon Hargreaves) keep getting better. I think they can knock off Atlanta on the road. Vikings 13, Titans 17 (1:00 PM, FOX)
Both of these teams feature conservative offenses that are run-heavy, especially now that Teddy Bridgewater is out for the Vikings. Minnesota traded for Sam Bradford, but apparently are starting Shaun Hill this week. Good luck with that.
Bengals 28, Jets 21 (1:00 PM, CBS)
This could be a good game, as both teams have strong defenses and solid offenses. Two storylines to watch will be how the Bengals do without offensive coordinator Hue Jackson and receivers Mohammed Sanu and Marvin Jones, and how new Jet running back Matt Forte performs.
Raiders 27, Saints 38 (1:00 PM, FOX)
This is another potentially good match up. As I mentioned on HAC 3 Strikes (the podcast I co-host; check it out), both teams seem to be in the same "tier", with Oakland on the rise. However, the Saints are still good, and they added some talent to help out Drew Brees.
Chargers 17, Chiefs 28 (1:00 PM, CBS)
The Chargers improved defensively (drafting pass-rusher Joey Bosa third overall) and offensively (signing deep threat Travis Benjamin), but the Chiefs are still a solid (if unspectacular) team, especially defensively.
Dolphins 12, Seahawks 30 (4:05 PM, CBS)
The Dolphins, under new coach Adam Gase, have the potential to be good (especially offensively), but the Seahawks are an elite team with just one really big question mark (the offensive line), and they'll be playing at home, in the loudest stadium in the NFL.
Lions 20, Colts 17 (4:25 PM, FOX)
Both of these teams have plenty of question marks, as well as some very good talent. Andrew Luck returns for the Colts, but their already-suspect defense may struggle without Pro Bowl corner Vontae Davis (even after they signed veteran Antonio Cromartie to fill in).
Giants 42, Cowboys 35 (4:25 PM, FOX)
Their are few things that are guaranteed in this world. Death, taxes... and a close, high-scoring football game between the New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys. This should be another barn-burner, even with Dallas starting rookie Dak Prescott at quarterback. Patriots 21, Cardinals 34 (8:00 PM, NBC)
These two elite teams meet in the first Sunday night contest of the season, but New England will be on the road without Tom Brady. The vaunted Arizona secondary shouldn't have nearly as much trouble with a Jimmy Garoppolo-led team.
Monday
Steelers 22, Redskins 17 (7:10 PM, ESPN)
The first Monday night game of the season could be a close one, between a Washington team that added All-Pro corner Josh Norman and rookie receiver Josh Doctson in the off season and a Steelers team without Le'Veon Bell (three game suspension) and Martavis Bryant (season suspension).
Rams 20, 49ers 10 (10:20 PM, ESPN)
The first week ends with amarquee match up between two playoff contenders game between the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers. Both have less-than-stellar quarterback situations, with Blaine Gabbert facing off against Case Keenum (1st overall pick Jared Goff is third-string).
(Note: Home Team Listed Last)
Thursday
Panthers 32, Broncos 17 (8:30 PM, NBC)
The NFL season kicks off with a Super Bowl rematch. Cam Newton and company look to lead Carolina to another Super Bowl Appearance. while Denver starts a new era at quarterback. It'll be interesting to see how Trevor Siemian does in his first start.
Sunday
Browns 24, Eagles 21 (1:00 PM, CBS)
This is a bit of an "upset pick". The Browns probably won't be great, especially defensively, but the offense, featuring RGIII, a solid running back tandem, and a talented group of receivers has explosive potential. Plus, the Eagles aren't good, and are starting rookie quarterback Carson Wentz.
Packers 28, Jaguars 21 (1:00 PM, FOX)
The Jaguars should be an improved team this year, as they have a rising young offense and key additions on defense. But Green Bay is still Green Bay, with Aaron Rodgers, a reportedly slimmed-down Eddie Lacy, and a now-healthy Jordy Nelson.
Bills 27, Ravens 17 (1:00 PM, CBS)
If everyone's healthy, Buffalo has a good offense. Dual-threat Tyrod Taylor, beastly receiver Sammy Watkins, and "Shady" McCoy are very skilled. The Ravens have too many questions on both sides of the ball, starting with Joe Flacco and Steve Smith, both of whom are coming back from injury.
Bears 13, Texans 31 (1:00 PM, FOX)
The Bears were not good last season, and probably won't be good defense. The Texans sneaked into the playoffs on the strength of their defense, then added quarterback Brock Osweiler, running back Lamar Miller, and rookie receivers Will Fuller and Braxton Miller in the off season.
Buccaneers 34, Falcons 24 (1:00 PM, FOX)
The young Bucs could be good, as Jameis Winston continues to improve with his towering pass-catchers, and the good young defenders (such as Lavonte David and Vernon Hargreaves) keep getting better. I think they can knock off Atlanta on the road. Vikings 13, Titans 17 (1:00 PM, FOX)
Both of these teams feature conservative offenses that are run-heavy, especially now that Teddy Bridgewater is out for the Vikings. Minnesota traded for Sam Bradford, but apparently are starting Shaun Hill this week. Good luck with that.
Bengals 28, Jets 21 (1:00 PM, CBS)
This could be a good game, as both teams have strong defenses and solid offenses. Two storylines to watch will be how the Bengals do without offensive coordinator Hue Jackson and receivers Mohammed Sanu and Marvin Jones, and how new Jet running back Matt Forte performs.
Raiders 27, Saints 38 (1:00 PM, FOX)
This is another potentially good match up. As I mentioned on HAC 3 Strikes (the podcast I co-host; check it out), both teams seem to be in the same "tier", with Oakland on the rise. However, the Saints are still good, and they added some talent to help out Drew Brees.
Chargers 17, Chiefs 28 (1:00 PM, CBS)
The Chargers improved defensively (drafting pass-rusher Joey Bosa third overall) and offensively (signing deep threat Travis Benjamin), but the Chiefs are still a solid (if unspectacular) team, especially defensively.
Dolphins 12, Seahawks 30 (4:05 PM, CBS)
The Dolphins, under new coach Adam Gase, have the potential to be good (especially offensively), but the Seahawks are an elite team with just one really big question mark (the offensive line), and they'll be playing at home, in the loudest stadium in the NFL.
Lions 20, Colts 17 (4:25 PM, FOX)
Both of these teams have plenty of question marks, as well as some very good talent. Andrew Luck returns for the Colts, but their already-suspect defense may struggle without Pro Bowl corner Vontae Davis (even after they signed veteran Antonio Cromartie to fill in).
Giants 42, Cowboys 35 (4:25 PM, FOX)
Their are few things that are guaranteed in this world. Death, taxes... and a close, high-scoring football game between the New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys. This should be another barn-burner, even with Dallas starting rookie Dak Prescott at quarterback. Patriots 21, Cardinals 34 (8:00 PM, NBC)
These two elite teams meet in the first Sunday night contest of the season, but New England will be on the road without Tom Brady. The vaunted Arizona secondary shouldn't have nearly as much trouble with a Jimmy Garoppolo-led team.
Monday
Steelers 22, Redskins 17 (7:10 PM, ESPN)
The first Monday night game of the season could be a close one, between a Washington team that added All-Pro corner Josh Norman and rookie receiver Josh Doctson in the off season and a Steelers team without Le'Veon Bell (three game suspension) and Martavis Bryant (season suspension).
Rams 20, 49ers 10 (10:20 PM, ESPN)
The first week ends with a
Thursday, September 1, 2016
Week 1 CFB Picks
The football season is upon us. For the next four months or so, there won't be any weekends without football. Saturdays will be filled to the brim with college football from now until winter. With the return of football comes the return of my weekly (hopefully) picks (or, to put it more accurately, somewhat educated guesses). This week is mostly games that probably won't be very competitive, but there are some enticing matchups on the Week 1 slate. I'll provide a final score prediction and a brief note about each game featuring a ranked team (according to the AP, and then the Playoff Committee, once those rankings start), as well as my "Game of the Week" (highlighted in blue) and "Upset Alert" (highlighted in red), if I see one happening. Let us begin...
(Note: Home Team Listed Last)
Thursday
Charlotte 7, #19 Louisville 49 (7:00 PM, ACC Network)
The 49ers of Charlotte, who compete in Conference USA, went 2-10 last season. They shouldn't pose a threat to the talented Cardinals (look out for quarterback Lamar Jackson in the Heisman race).
Appalachian State 13, #9 Tennessee 34 (7:30 PM, SEC Network)
Yes, I know App State has a bit of a history (they shocked #5 Michigan in 2007), but that is not the norm for the Mountaineers, and it was nine years ago.
Friday
Furman 10, #12 Michigan State 50 (7:00 PM, Big Ten Network)
Furman will have the "honor" of being the first FCS team to take on a ranked FBS team this season. They "get" to play a team that made the College Football Playoff last season.
Northwestern State 17, #23 Baylor 55 (7:30 PM)
Baylor has had off-the-field turmoil this offseason, but the Bears should have no problem with FCS foe N'western State.
Kansas State 14, #8 Stanford 42 (9:00 PM, Fox Sports 1)
This is a Power 5 Conference meeting (Big 12 vs. PAC-12), but the Cardinal, led by Heisman finalist Christian McCaffrey, are much better than the Wildcats.
Saturday
Bowling Green 24, #6 Ohio State 42 (Noon, Big Ten Network)
Ohio State can sometimes cause some consternation in these kinds of games, especially with this team being inexperienced. But they have enough talent to cruise past the Falcons.
Hawaii 21, #7 Michigan 52 (Noon, ABC)
Hawaii already has a loss on the season, falling to Cal 51-31 last Thursday in Sydney, Australia. They'll likely go to 0-2 Saturday after a trip to the Big House.
#3 Oklahoma 38, #15 Houston 32 (Noon, ABC)
I initially went with Tom Herman's Cougars, who beat Florida State in the Peach Bowl last year, to pull the upset, but Baker Mayfield and the Sooners may prove too much.
Rutgers 21, #14 Washington 45 (2:00 PM, PAC-12 Network)
The Huskies seemingly came out of nowhere to be a dark horse pick for the Playoff this year. I'm not sure about that, but they should beat the Knights in new Rutgers coach Chris Ash's debut.
Southeastern Louisiana 3, #21 Oklahoma State 48 (3:30 PM)
Southeastern Louisiana is yet another FCS cupcake, and the Cowboys should have no problem with them (in other words, I know nothing about Southeastern Louisiana, other than the location).
Miami (Ohio) 13, #17 Iowa 32 (3:30 PM, ESPNU)
Iowa starts off another relatively easy schedule (they don't play a ranked non-conference team, and they don't play Ohio State or Michigan State in the Big Ten) with one of the MAC's weaker teams.
#16 UCLA 34, Texas A&M 28 (3:30 PM, CBS)
The Bruins come in with outstanding (and outspoken) sophomore quarterback Josh Rosen, while the Aggies counter with former Oklahoma standout Trevor Knight.
#5 LSU 35, Wisconsin 17 (3:30 PM, ABC)
The Badgers start with a top SEC team for the second straight year. Last time didn't go well (they lost to Alabama 35-17), and this time probably won't go very well either.
UC Davis 12, #24 Oregon 49 (5:00 PM, PAC-12 Network)
Apparently, the name of Oregon's new quarterback is Dakota Prukop. He's probably pretty athletic, but no matter how good he is, the Ducks should roll past UC Davis.
#18 Georgia 24, #22 North Carolina 32 (5:30 PM, ESPN)
I'm just feeling North Carolina here. I don't know why (or what I mean by that), but I'll go with the Tar Heels at home in this ACC-SEC battle.
Massachusetts 10, #25 Florida 38 (7:30 PM, SEC Network)
Florida's Week 1 starter will be the son of Oakland Raiders head coach Jack Del Rio (Luke), and he and the Gators shouldn't have many problems with UMass.
#20 USC 13, #1 Alabama 32 (8:00 PM, ABC)
This is being hyped as a marquee, primetime matchup, but I don't think it'll be all that close. USC does have star receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster, but Alabama is Alabama.
South Dakota State 21, TCU 52 (8:00 PM)
Trevone Boykin may be gone, but the Jackrabbits still probably won't strike much fear into the high-powered Horned Frogs.
#2 Clemson 35, Auburn 21 (9:00 PM, ESPN)
Another ACC-SEC battle (and a battle of Tigers), Auburn could give Clemson a scare, but they should come out on top behind Heisman favorite Deshaun Watson.
Sunday
#10 Notre Dame 31, Texas 24 (7:30 PM, ABC)
The Fighting Irish may struggle employing a dual-quarterback system (a la Ohio State, circa 2015), but they have tons of talent, more so than the revenge-minded Longhorns.
Monday
#11 Ole Miss 32, #4 Florida State 28 (8:00 PM, ESPN)
The experience difference between the quarterbacks is pretty large in this one. Ole Miss has Chad Kelly, an accomplished senior, while FSU will start redshirt freshman Deondre Francois.
(Note: Home Team Listed Last)
Thursday
Charlotte 7, #19 Louisville 49 (7:00 PM, ACC Network)
The 49ers of Charlotte, who compete in Conference USA, went 2-10 last season. They shouldn't pose a threat to the talented Cardinals (look out for quarterback Lamar Jackson in the Heisman race).
Appalachian State 13, #9 Tennessee 34 (7:30 PM, SEC Network)
Yes, I know App State has a bit of a history (they shocked #5 Michigan in 2007), but that is not the norm for the Mountaineers, and it was nine years ago.
Friday
Furman 10, #12 Michigan State 50 (7:00 PM, Big Ten Network)
Furman will have the "honor" of being the first FCS team to take on a ranked FBS team this season. They "get" to play a team that made the College Football Playoff last season.
Northwestern State 17, #23 Baylor 55 (7:30 PM)
Baylor has had off-the-field turmoil this offseason, but the Bears should have no problem with FCS foe N'western State.
Kansas State 14, #8 Stanford 42 (9:00 PM, Fox Sports 1)
This is a Power 5 Conference meeting (Big 12 vs. PAC-12), but the Cardinal, led by Heisman finalist Christian McCaffrey, are much better than the Wildcats.
Saturday
Bowling Green 24, #6 Ohio State 42 (Noon, Big Ten Network)
Ohio State can sometimes cause some consternation in these kinds of games, especially with this team being inexperienced. But they have enough talent to cruise past the Falcons.
Hawaii 21, #7 Michigan 52 (Noon, ABC)
Hawaii already has a loss on the season, falling to Cal 51-31 last Thursday in Sydney, Australia. They'll likely go to 0-2 Saturday after a trip to the Big House.
#3 Oklahoma 38, #15 Houston 32 (Noon, ABC)
I initially went with Tom Herman's Cougars, who beat Florida State in the Peach Bowl last year, to pull the upset, but Baker Mayfield and the Sooners may prove too much.
Rutgers 21, #14 Washington 45 (2:00 PM, PAC-12 Network)
The Huskies seemingly came out of nowhere to be a dark horse pick for the Playoff this year. I'm not sure about that, but they should beat the Knights in new Rutgers coach Chris Ash's debut.
Southeastern Louisiana 3, #21 Oklahoma State 48 (3:30 PM)
Southeastern Louisiana is yet another FCS cupcake, and the Cowboys should have no problem with them (in other words, I know nothing about Southeastern Louisiana, other than the location).
Miami (Ohio) 13, #17 Iowa 32 (3:30 PM, ESPNU)
Iowa starts off another relatively easy schedule (they don't play a ranked non-conference team, and they don't play Ohio State or Michigan State in the Big Ten) with one of the MAC's weaker teams.
#16 UCLA 34, Texas A&M 28 (3:30 PM, CBS)
The Bruins come in with outstanding (and outspoken) sophomore quarterback Josh Rosen, while the Aggies counter with former Oklahoma standout Trevor Knight.
#5 LSU 35, Wisconsin 17 (3:30 PM, ABC)
The Badgers start with a top SEC team for the second straight year. Last time didn't go well (they lost to Alabama 35-17), and this time probably won't go very well either.
UC Davis 12, #24 Oregon 49 (5:00 PM, PAC-12 Network)
Apparently, the name of Oregon's new quarterback is Dakota Prukop. He's probably pretty athletic, but no matter how good he is, the Ducks should roll past UC Davis.
#18 Georgia 24, #22 North Carolina 32 (5:30 PM, ESPN)
I'm just feeling North Carolina here. I don't know why (or what I mean by that), but I'll go with the Tar Heels at home in this ACC-SEC battle.
Massachusetts 10, #25 Florida 38 (7:30 PM, SEC Network)
Florida's Week 1 starter will be the son of Oakland Raiders head coach Jack Del Rio (Luke), and he and the Gators shouldn't have many problems with UMass.
#20 USC 13, #1 Alabama 32 (8:00 PM, ABC)
This is being hyped as a marquee, primetime matchup, but I don't think it'll be all that close. USC does have star receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster, but Alabama is Alabama.
South Dakota State 21, TCU 52 (8:00 PM)
Trevone Boykin may be gone, but the Jackrabbits still probably won't strike much fear into the high-powered Horned Frogs.
#2 Clemson 35, Auburn 21 (9:00 PM, ESPN)
Another ACC-SEC battle (and a battle of Tigers), Auburn could give Clemson a scare, but they should come out on top behind Heisman favorite Deshaun Watson.
Sunday
#10 Notre Dame 31, Texas 24 (7:30 PM, ABC)
The Fighting Irish may struggle employing a dual-quarterback system (a la Ohio State, circa 2015), but they have tons of talent, more so than the revenge-minded Longhorns.
Monday
#11 Ole Miss 32, #4 Florida State 28 (8:00 PM, ESPN)
The experience difference between the quarterbacks is pretty large in this one. Ole Miss has Chad Kelly, an accomplished senior, while FSU will start redshirt freshman Deondre Francois.
Friday, August 5, 2016
5-Minute 2016 Summer Olympics Viewing Guide
It's almost that time again (well, technically, that time started Wednesday, but it officially starts tonight) The time when many of the world's greatest athletes in several different disciplines gather to compete on a world stage. There are so many different sports and events, sometimes it may be overwhelming. Plus, it's been four years since the last Summer Olympics, which is a long time (to put in perspective how long ago it was, it was four years ago). So I'm here to give some suggestions of sports you could tune into over the next few weeks. To see when and where you can watch everything, click here.
If You Like Excitement and Drama...
Swimming
Watch this and tell me it's not exciting:
By the way, one of the guys on that relay team is looking to add to his all-time record 22 medals in Rio.
Volleyball
It's pretty entertaining to watch a nonstop sequence of people diving and jumping to set, spike, and block a ball over a net.
It's pretty entertaining to watch a nonstop sequence of people diving and jumping to set, spike, and block a ball over a net.
If You Like Trying New Things...
Water Polo
If you're unfamiliar with water polo, it's basically like soccer, except the competitors are in a pool, use their hands, and try to push each other underwater (so maybe it's not anything like soccer).
Handball
Like water polo, handball (we're talking team handball, not the other handball) is a sport where teams try to score in each other's goals. Unlike water polo, the ball is closer to the size of a baseball than a volleyball, and it's pretty fast-paced. I think handball may be the most underrated Olympic sport.
If You Want To Watch Something You Didn't See in 2012...
Golf
Golf makes its return to the Olympics for the first time in 112 years, although many of the world's best players, including Jason Day, Rory McIlroy, and Jordan Speith, won't be competing.
Rugby
This is the Olympic debut for Rugby Sevens, and both the men's and women's U.S. teams look to be medal contenders.
If You Like Yoga...
Gymnastics
Gymnastics is a must-watch during the Olympics, especially with the talented women's U.S. team, headed by world-beater Simone Biles.
Gymnastics is a must-watch during the Olympics, especially with the talented women's U.S. team, headed by world-beater Simone Biles.
Diving
The things some of these athletes do while falling multiple meters toward water is impressive (especially in synchronized diving, where two divers have to match up with each other as much as possible).
If You Like Horses...
Equestrian
Equestrian may not be the most fun sport to watch (it's basically just horses trotting around and jumping over things), but, as far as I know, it is the only Olympic sport that involves horses, so it has that going for it.
Equestrian may not be the most fun sport to watch (it's basically just horses trotting around and jumping over things), but, as far as I know, it is the only Olympic sport that involves horses, so it has that going for it.
If You Like Watching People Run Like Horses...
Track & Field
Average top speed of a horse: 25-30 miles per hour.
Top speed of Usain Bolt: 27.8 miles per hour.
Those are just a few of the sports you can tune in to. Those who like watching people beat on each other, there's wrestling (Freestyle and Greco-Roman), boxing, Judo, and Taekwondo (I honestly don't know the differences between the last two). If you're more into watching people poke each other with sticks, check out fencing. If you like the X Games, there is BMX biking. And If you want a near-guarantee (nothing's guaranteed, of course) of an American gold, basketball (men's and women's), and anything Biles and swimmer Katie Ledecky are in, are pretty good bets. Other sports include archery, shooting, field hockey, boating (whether it be in a canoe, a kayak, or a sailboat), badminton, and, yes, table tennis. And if you're really bored, there is also a speed-walking race.
Top speed of Usain Bolt: 27.8 miles per hour.
Those are just a few of the sports you can tune in to. Those who like watching people beat on each other, there's wrestling (Freestyle and Greco-Roman), boxing, Judo, and Taekwondo (I honestly don't know the differences between the last two). If you're more into watching people poke each other with sticks, check out fencing. If you like the X Games, there is BMX biking. And If you want a near-guarantee (nothing's guaranteed, of course) of an American gold, basketball (men's and women's), and anything Biles and swimmer Katie Ledecky are in, are pretty good bets. Other sports include archery, shooting, field hockey, boating (whether it be in a canoe, a kayak, or a sailboat), badminton, and, yes, table tennis. And if you're really bored, there is also a speed-walking race.
Monday, August 1, 2016
Weekly Thoughts (8/1/16): Trade Deadline Edition
The MLB Trade Deadline officially passed at 4:00 PM Eastern Time today. Lots of things happened, and I'll share my thoughts on some of those things.
- The Brewers had an agreement to send catcher Jonathan Lucroy to the Indians over the weekend, but Lucroy, who has Cleveland on his no-trade list, vetoed the trade (he wanted his team option for next year voided). Lucroy probably won't be well-received when his new team, the Rangers (they aren't on his no-trade list), whom he was traded to for prospects Lewis Brinson (OF who's 21st on MLB.com's latest top prospects list, 30th on Baseball America's, and 21st on Kieth Law's on ESPN.com) and Luis Ortiz (RHP who's 63rd on MLB.com, 74th on Baseball America, 46th on ESPN.com), goes to Progressive Field. The Indians still got a difference-maker, trading for Yankees left-handed reliever Andrew Miller, who sports a 1.39 ERA and 11/1 K/BB ratio in 45.1 innings (they gave up minor league OF Clint Frazier (22nd on MLB.com/21st on BA/34th on ESPN), LHP Justus Sheffield (93rd on MLB.com/69th on BA), and pitchers Ben Heller and J.P. Feyereisen) They are probably the team to beat in the American League right now.
- The #2 team to beat is probably Texas, who got Lucroy and Yankees OF Carlos Beltran in the final hours (without giving up top prospect Joey Gallo). They're lineup is scary now, but the question will be their rotation after Cole Hamels and Yu Darvish.
- Speaking of the Yankees, the normally win-minded big spenders realized their current situation and sold, trading Aroldis Chapman, Miller, and Beltran for a solid haul of prospects.
- Jay Bruce was finally traded to the Mets after the deal had to be reworked due to medical concerns. Bruce gives the Mets another big bat, although they now have three outfielders who aren't true center fielders. The Reds got 22-year-old 2B Dilson Herrera and minor league LHP Max Wotell. Herrera joins a crowded infield that includes prospect Jose Peraza (acquired in the Todd Frazier trade last winter) and veterans Brandon Phillips (who vetoed a trade last winter) and Zack Cozart (who came up in trade rumors, but wasn't dealt). It'll be interesting to see how playing time is doled out the rest of this season.
- The Dodgers didn't get Bruce, but they did get A's pitcher Rich Hill and OF Josh Reddick, which helps thief playoff pursuit, though doesn't instantly make them favorites (Hill and Reddick are solid players, but not big-time acquisitions).
Monday, July 25, 2016
Weekly Thoughts: 7/24/16
- The NFL had a bit of an eventful last week. First, on Friday, it was announced that Steelers running back Le'Veon Bell was suspended four games (again), but this time for missing a drug test (or drug tests), not failing one. Either Bell simply forgot the test, he just happened to be busy with important matters at the times of the tests, or he knew he would fail them. Then news started spreading that Cowboys rookie running back Ezekiel Elliott had been accused of domestic violence. The accuser said he hit her while sitting in a car, but three witnesses (including one in the car) said they didn't see him touch her. Elliott' ex-girlfriend also posted pictures of bruises on instagram, saying it (the abuse) had been happening for months, and tagging Elliott. Elliott denied any wrongdoing, saying he even had texts that she was out to get him for breaking up with her. He has not been charged, and authorities are investigating. A situation like this (if it is proven that he didn't do anything) is why everyone should be treated as innocent until proven guilty. But, as I saw someone on Twitter make a point of, how do athletes (or any other famous people) prevent false accusations from happening? Even if they're proven innocent, just an accusation could potentially tarnish a reputation. The NFL world also lost former coach Dennis Green at age 67 on Thursday night. He was best known for his "They are who we thought they were" rant, but he also coached two teams over 16 seasons, and won Super Bowl XXIII.
- More NFL news came out at the beginning of this week. First, on Sunday night, an archived Periscope video from a periscope account supposedly run by Raiders linebacker Aldon Smith (he appears in many of the account's videos), who is currently suspended indefinitely under the league's substance abuse policy, got around. In it, a man (who is not shown) and a woman are smoking a blunt. The woman questions the man about why he is Periscoping it, and the man says, "They don't know it's me. It's not like I put 'Aldon Smith'". In response, Smith tweeted, "Good try, not me" today. Either he is really stupid, was so high he didn't realize what he was doing at the time, or is telling the truth. Today, Browns wide receiver Josh Gordon, who, like Smith, had been suspended indefinitely under the substance abuse policy, was conditionally reinstated and suspended for the first four games. He'll be able to got to team meetings and have contact with coaches during this time. Obviously, he's on a short leash with the new coaching staff, but if he can finally stay clean, he is one of the league's elite receivers (I'd put him in the top five).
- The MLB trade deadline is a week a way, and trade rumors are heating up. Today, the Cubs acquired flamethrowing lefty Aroldis Chapman from the Yankees to solidify their bullpen. In exchange, the Yankees received 19-year-old shortstop Gleyber Torres (ranked 24th overall in MLB.com's latest prospect rankings, 27th in Baseball America's, and 26th in ESPN Insider Kieth Law's), reliever Adam Warren, and minor league outfielders Billy McKinney and Rashad Crawford. From an on-the-field standpoint, this definitely helps the Cubs in their quest for their first World Series title since 1908, as Chapman is one of the best relievers in baseball. This is also the right move for the Yankees, who probably won't make the playoffs, and got a pretty good-looking return for a reliever who was suspended the first 29 games of the season for a domestic violence incident and is in the last year of his contract.
- Trades aren't the only notable transactions that occur this time of year in Major League Baseball. Two top prospects were called up yesterday. The Astros called up top prospect Alex Bregman (ranked 18th by MLB.com, 8th by Baseball America, and 1st by Kieth Law) after weeks of speculation. Bregman tore up AAA, and will probably play some third base and left field for the Astros. Meanwhile, the Rockies called up outfielder David Dahl (40th by MLB.com, 16th by Baseball America, and 31st by Kieth Law), who will get ample playing time, and will get a permanent spot if the Rockies decide to trade any of their outfielders.
- Speaking of trades, there have been rumors that the White Sox may be shopping ace Chris Sale (although they are reportedly looking for "five top prospects" in return, according to Jon Heyman). On Saturday afternoon, the White Sox scratched Sale from his scheduled start that night. The first thought by many was that a trade might be imminent. Then the White Sox announced they had sent him home due to a "non-physical incident" prior to the game. That was odd enough, but it got stranger. Apparently, Sale didn't like the throwback uniforms the team was slated to wear, so he took everybody's unis and cut them all up so they couldn't be worn. He also did it because he felt the front office and ownership cared more about PR and jersey sales than winning. He was suspended five days by the team on Sunday. I can respect that Sale was standing up against "The Man", especially since this is not the first time this season he has voiced displeasure with the higher-ups (Adam LaRoche retired in Spring Training after the organization told him he could no longer bring his son into the dugout), although I feel like there were probably better ways to go about it then going all Edward Scizzorhands on the uniforms.
Monday, July 18, 2016
Weekly Thoughts (7/18/16)
Hello again, everyone. It's been too long. If you haven't heard, we've undergone a little remodeling. We're now called "Head In The Game", and I've brought on Troy Lehman as a writer. If you, like me, are against pennies, like obscure sports, and enjoy movie-related jokes, you'll love him. He'll be mainly covering basketball (of the NBA, college, and Olympic variety). As for me, look for my fantasy football preview and an Olympics viewing guide in the near future. But first, I've decided to try a weekly article where I just share some (somewhat) random thoughts (hopefully I come up with a catchier name for it at some point). We'll see how this goes.
- The answer to violence is not more violence. Can't we all just get along?
- There are rumors the Oklahoma City Thunder are looking to trade Russell Westbrook with the increased likelihood that he won't re-sign with them next year. If I were the Thunder, I would try to trade him as soon as possible. Their chances of contending for a title don't look great after KD left, and as an elite player, Westbrook has immense trade value. If they don't trade him, though, I look forward to him going for 50 every game.
- It's trade season in Major League Baseball, and a big one went down last week between the Boston Red Sox and San Diego Padres. Padres GM A.J. Preller once again got great value in a trade with Boston (he traded closer Craig Kimbrel there last year), trading All-Star pitcher Drew Pomeranz, who's having a career year, for 18-year-old top prospect Anderson Espinosa, who's been lauded by many as a future ace.
- The Houston Astros made news when they signed Cuban star Yulieski Gurriel to a 5-year, $47.5 million contract last weekend. With the addition of him, and the continued dominance of top prospect Alex Bregman in Triple-A, the 'Stros, who are playing great after a slow start, look primed for a postseason run.
- With that in mind, here are the five teams I think are most likely to win the World Series (as of right now):
- San Francisco Giants - It's an even year. 'Nuff said.
- Cleveland Indians - This year is the year! BELIEVELAND!!!
- Toronto Blue Jays - I still think they're an ace away from the World Series.
- Houston Astros - Ditto
- Washington Nationals - Maybe they'll finally live up to the expectations?
- I am more of a believer in Ben Simmons than I was a few months ago. Like many people, I was unimpressed with him during his one year at LSU, but the #1 overall pick via the Philadelphia 76ers showed off his otherworldly passing skills and all-around talent during Summer League. Now, if only he could shoot...
Monday, April 25, 2016
2016 NFL Draft Primer
Hello again. Longtime, no see. With it being NFL Draft Week (it starts Thursday at 8 PM), I'm back for a little draft primer. I was going to do a mock draft again, but the NFL Draft is a crapshoot anyway (especially this year), so I'll just go over some key things I'll be looking out for come Thursday night. Note that all news and information regarding the draft is "reported" or "rumored", since teams obviously don't divulge that information. Also, my rankings of players and thoughts on players are devoid of any in-depth scouting and research, and are subject to (minor) change.
Goff and Wentz 1-2, Right?
Jared Goff and Carson Wentz (in that order) are expected to be the first two picks of the draft, with Jordan Raanan of NJ.com even reporting that he heard Goff is "99.9% the pick at number one". It would be a shock if the Rams and Eagles picked anyone but those two quarterbacks at one and two, since they traded so much to move up to those spots.
After That, it's Anyone's Guess
Although the first two picks in the draft are presumably clear at this point, the rest are far from it. Starting with San Diego at #3, there could be some trades and surprise picks. The Chargers have gauged interest for the third pick, but reports say talks are quiet. Most expect the Bolts to take either Ole Miss tackle Laremy Tunsil, or Florida State defensive back Jalen Ramsey (although don't rule out Oregon defensive end DeForest Buckner, whom the Chargers reportedly have strong interest in). After them is the Cowboys, who are expected (according to rumors and mock drafts) to take one of two Ohio State players - pass-rusher Joey Bosa or running back Ezekiel Elliott. Jacksonville, who picks at five, is expected to take a defensive player, possibly Bosa or UCLA linebacker Myles Jack. Speaking of Jack...
Myles Jack & Jaylon Smith: Top-5 Talents, Not Top-5 Medicals
Jack and Notre Dame linebacker Jaylon Smith are two of the most explosive athletes in this draft class, and have the talent and ability to both be among the top players in the class. The problem is, both players have injury problems. Smith tore his left ACL and MCL in the Fiesta Bowl and is expected to sit out this coming season. That may drop him into the second round (or later). Jack, thought by many to be the most athletic player in the draft (he played running back and linebacker at UCLA), hurt his knee early last season (causing him to go pro). There have been reports that some teams are concerned with his medicals and that he may have a problem with his knee. However, it only takes one team to feel confident about him, and he will probably still go in the top half of the first round.
Trade Frenzy
The first two picks in this year's draft have already been traded, and I expect many more to be traded on Thursday night. The trades will most likely include Cleveland (they already traded down to #8, but may trade down again for even more picks, or trade up from #32 for a quarterback), Tennessee (they have already traded down to #15, but they reportedly want to trade back into the top 10), Miami (they are rumored to want Ezekiel Elliott, but at #13, may have to trade up to get him), and Denver (they are in the market for a quarterback, and may trade up from #31 to make sure they get a quarterback they feel strongly about before someone else does).
Stock Market
As we approach the draft, many players are seeing their stock fluctuate. Among those who seem to be on the rise are DeForest Buckner, Clemson safety T.J. Green, and Memphis quarterback Paxton Lynch. Among those who seem to be trending downward are Joey Bosa, Myles Jack, and Clemson corner Mackensie Alexander.
Other News & Notes
- In his press conference last week, Cleveland Browns head coach Hue Jackson hinted that Jared Goff and Carson Wentz may not be the top two quarterbacks on his draft board (which may partly explain why Cleveland traded out of the top spot). I think Jackson's top two quarterbacks might be Goff and Paxton Lynch, and VP of Football Operation Sashi Brown may try to trade back from #8 or up from #32 to grab Hue's guy.
- By the way, I would probably say my top two quarterbacks in this class are Wentz and Goff, in that order, but I really have no idea. I could see some of the second and third-tier quarterbacks (Lynch, Michigan State's Connor Cook, Penn State's Christian Hackenberg, Ohio State's Cardale Jones, Mississipi State's Dak Prescott, and N.C. State's Jacoby Brissett) being just as good as, or even better than, the top two.
- San Francisco and Philadelphia both have disgruntled quarterbacks who want out (Collin Kaepernick and Sam Bradford, respectively), but neither team seems to be close to getting rid of their unhappy incumbent. Both teams are expected to draft quarterbacks relatively high, especially the Eagles, who are expected to take one with the second overall pick, but Philly had planned to have that quarterback (most likely Carson Wentz) sit behind Bradford his first year. Now, I'm not so sure.
Best Players
1. Florida State CB Jalen Ramsey
2. Ole Miss T Laremy Tunsil
3. UCLA LB Myles Jack
4. Ohio State RB Ezekiel Elliott
5. Oho State DE Joey Bosa
Deepest Positions
1. Defensive Line
2. Offensive Line
3. Linebacker
Riskiest (Early) Picks
1. Ole Miss DE Robert Nkemdiche
2. Eastern Kentucky DE Noah Spence
3. Notre Dame LB Jaylon Smith
Sleepers
1. Ohio State LB Darron Lee
2. Ohio State WR Michael Thomas
3. Louisville DT Sheldon Rankins
Wednesday, March 16, 2016
GSB 2016 March Madness Primer
It's that time of year again! Arguably the greatest sporting craze is upon us: March Madness. The play-in games (or the "First Four", as they are called) have already started, and the First Round (yes, they changed the Round of 64 back to the "First Round") starts Thursday. Here is a little primer to help you fill out your bracket (Note: I am not responsible if/when your you lose your bracket pool).
First, let's rehash some key factors I told people to remember when filling out brackets in last year's March Madness Preview:
Number one seeds are now 124-0 against 16 seeds, and while I don't envision one losing this year, it may be the year it finally happens (keep an eye on Florida Gulf Coast).
Right after I tell people to pick at least one 12 seed, no 12 seeds win. However, there were two 14 seeds and two 11 seed upsets last year, and there will probably be at least that many this year (especially look hard at the 11 seeds).
Last year continued this trend, as 14 seeds Georgia State and UAB upset Baylor and Iowa State, respectively. There will probably be another one (or more) this year, but I don't know who it will involve (hence the phrase "upset nobody saw coming"). If I were to venture a guess of where a "shocking" (14, 15, or 16 seed) upset might be this year, I would look at 14 seed Green Bay (vs. Baylor) and 15 seed Weber State (vs. Xavier).
Last year's champion, Duke, didn't have an outstanding defense or guard, but did defend well against three-pointers and have a solid veteran guard in Quinn Cook. Continue to look for a strong defensive team (although offense helps too) with a good guard (or guards) to win the chammpionship (and yes, I would count Denzel Valentine as a guard).
Momentum is helpful. That can help you decide close matchups in the tournament (such as 7-10 or 8-9 games). However, it's not absolutely everything (yes, Austin Peay is on a roll right now; no, they won't continue that roll)..
This is always true, and this year, many tourney teams launch a lot of threes. Threes (as long as they're falling) win ball games (along with defense, rebounding, free throws...)
I've identified my favorite (best team), sleeper (under-the-radar team), "Upset Alert" (a big upset to watch for), and pick to win in each region.
South Region
Favorite: #1 Kansas
The Jayhawks are the number one overall seed in the tournament. They won both the regular season and tournament titles in the Big 12 (arguably the best conference in the nation), haven't lost since January, and have tons of talent, led by senior forward Perry Ellis (16.7 PPG, 5.9 RPG), junior guard Frank Mason III (13.1 PPG, 4.7 APG), and junior guard Wayne Seldon Jr. (13.3 PPG). They are strong in several different statistical categories, and are lethal from deep (They are 42.6 % on three-pointers, and all of their starters can shoot from beyond the arc).
Sleeper: #9 Connecticut
The Huskies are riding high off a American Conference Tournament run that included a wild four overtime win over Cincinnati in the quarterfinals and culminated in a conference championship. This team isn't quite as good as the 2014 National Championship team, but still has some similarities, including a surprise conference tournament run, a low seed (the 2014 team was a seven seed), and talented guards. This year's team is led by 6'7" sophomore Daniel Hamilton (12.4 PPG, 8.9 RPG), along with junior guard Rodney Purvis (12.5 PPG) and senior guard Sterling Gibbs (12 PPG), both transfers, and senior forward Shonn Miller (12.8 PPG, 5.4 RPG). Unlike that 2014 team, this team is better on defense (63.2 points allowed per game, tied for 15th in the country).
Upset Alert: #13 Hawaii vs. #4 California
The Cal Bears may have multiple NBA prospects in senior guard Tyrone Wallace (15.3 PPG, 5.4 RPG), freshman forward Jaylen Brown (15 PPG, 5.5 RPG), freshman forward Ivan Rabb (12.5 PPG, 8.5 RPG), and junior guard Jabari Bird (10.4 PPG), but the Rainbow Warriors, who won the Big West this year over UC-Irvine (and 7'6" Mamadou Ndiaye), a team that almost upset Louisville as a 13 seed last year, has played well against some very good teams, including Oklahoma (lost by three), Texas Tech (lost by eight), and Northern Iowa (Won by 14). They are a strong defensive team (66.5 point allowed per game, 50th in the nation) piloted by junior forward Stefan Jankovic (15.7 PPG, 6.6 RPG), a Missouri transfer who was Big West Player of the Year, and senior guard Roderick Bobbitt (13.3 PPG, 5.5 APG), who contributes in numerous areas.
Elite Eight Pick: #9 Connecticut
Kansas is the overwhelming favorite in this region, but I'm going outside of the box with the dangerous Huskies. Coach Kevin Ollie has been in a similar situation to this before, when he led an under-the-radar seven seed on a tournament run and National Championship. Remember, the NCAA Tournament isn't necessarily about the best teams, but the hottest teams.
West Region
Favorite: #2 Oklahoma
The Sooners, who were once the number one team in the nation (and almost beat number one overall seed Kansas), took some hits late in Big 12 play and fell to a number two seed. But this team is still one of the best teams in the country (and possibly better than one seed Oregon), thanks in large part to arguably the best player in the country (it's either him, Denzel Valentine, or maybe Tyler Ulis) in senior guard Buddy Hield (25 PPG, 5.6 RPG). Other large contributors include senior forward Ryan Spangler (10.8 PPG, 9.4 RPG), senior guard Isaiah Cousins (13 PPG), and junior guard Jordan Woodard (12.6 PPG). They are, like Kansas, lethal from three-point range, hitting 42.6% of there shots from outside.
Sleeper: #11 Northern Iowa
The Panthers won the Missouri Valley Conference title on a buzzer-beater by star senior guard (and Tennessee transfer) Wes Washpun (14.3 PPG, 5.2 APG), and will try to cause some havoc in the NCAA Tournament, which they have done in the past. They also have junior guard Jeremy Morgan (10.4 PPG, 5.1 RPG), who contributes to a defense ranked 11th in the nation in points allowed per game (62.9). They also boast wins over the likes of North Carolina, Iowa State, and Wichita State this season.
Upset Alert: #12 Yale vs. #5 Baylor
If you're looking for a 12-5 upset this year, this may be the place to look. The Bulldogs are in the tournament for the first time in 54 years, and they are capable of doing what fellow Ivy League school Harvard did a couple of years ago in the NCAA Tournament. The strong rebounding dogs are paced by senior forward Justin Sears (15.8 PPG, 7.5 RPG) and sophomore guard Makai Mason (15.8 PPG). They may have trouble with Baylor's size (especially 6'8", 275-pound forward Rico Gathers, who's playing football next year) and neon uniforms, but they are a team to watch out for.
Elite Eight Pick: #2 Oklahoma
Buddy Hield. He alone is reason enough for the Sooners to win this region, but they also have an all-around elite team and are a National title contender. They're dangerous offense and elite three-point shooting will make them hard to beat, even in a region with Duke, Baylor, Texas, Texas A&M, and Oregon.
East Region
Favorite: #1 North Carolina
The Tar Heels, per usual, have lots of talent, including senior forward Brice Johnson (16.6 PPG, 10.6 RPG) and senior guard Marcus Paige (12.1 PPG). They feature four players who average at least 12 points again, and two more who average over nine. While UNC struggles outside (31.4% from three), they are money inside (52.3% from two). They are also among the best in the nation in points, assists, and rebounds.
Sleeper: #10 Pittsburgh
This is the most wide-open region in the bracket, with talented teams like Indiana, Kentucky, and Notre Dame who could lose first round or make it to the Final Four. It also has (in my opinion) the weakest two seed (Xavier), which is a good team but isn't on the level of Oklahoma or Michigan State. Jamie Dixon's Panthers are a dangerous team that has beaten Duke, Notre Dame, and Gonzaga. They have talented players in junior forward Michael Young (16 PPG, 7 RPG), Junior forward Jamel Artis (14.4 PPG), and senior guard James Robinson (10.3 PPG, 5.1 APG).
Upset Alert: #12 Chattanooga vs. #5 Indiana
If the Hoosiers are hitting shots, they are hard to beat. But if they don't have going well offensively, a strong mid-major like Chattanooga can knock them off. IU isn't a great defensive team (68.9 points allowed per game, 99th in the nation), and they are coming off a shocking loss to Michigan in the Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals. The Mocs of Chattanooga have beaten Georgia, Illinois, and Dayton, and are led by junior forward Tre' McLean (12.3 PPG, 6.4 RPG).
Elite Eight Pick: #3 West Virginia
"Press Virginia" is more than just the press this year. The improved offense is led by junior forward Devin Williams (13.3 PPG, 9.3 RPG) and senior guard Jaysean Paige (13.9 PPG), and the havoc-wreaking defense is among the best in the country, as well as their offensive rebounding (15.9 per game, second in the nation).
Midwest Region
Favorite: #2 Michigan State
The Spartans are rolling into the tournament off a Big Ten Tournament championship, and they probably should have been a number one seed. They are (in my opinion) one of the two best teams in the country right now (along with Kansas). They have arguably the best player in the country (again, either Buddy Hield, him, or possibly Tyler Ulis) and probably the most versatile player in the country in Denzel Valentine (19.4 PPG, 7.6 RPG, 7.6 APG). They also have much-improved senior forward Matt Costello (10.4 PPG, 8.2 RPG) and senior guard Bryn Forbes (14.4 PPG), who is deadly from three (48.4%). MSU as a is the best three-point shooting team in the nation (43.5%).
Sleeper: #9 Butler
You can never count out Butler, even in the post-Brad Stevens era. The Bulldogs didn't have the best season, but they do have the ability to make a tournament run. They are a very good three-point shooting team (38.7% from deep), paced by senior guard Kellen Dunham (16.3 PPG), sophomore forward Kelan Martin (16.1 PPG, 6.8 RPG), and senior forward Roosevelt Jones (14 PPG, 6.6 RPG).
Upset Alert: #13 Iona vs. #4 Iowa State
Iona is a fast-paced, high-octane three-point shooting team (320 total threes made, 12th in the nation) with one of the best mid-major players in the country in senior guard A.J. English (22.4 PPG, 5 RPG, 6.2 APG). They have also won their last eight games. That combination could spell a potential upset. They play Iowa State, a team that, while very talented, has scuffled recently, and was upset as a three seed last year by 14 seed UAB.
Elite Eight Pick: #2 Michigan State
Tom Izzo in March. That's really all that needs to be said. Oh, and Denzel Valentine. And best three-point shooting team in the nation. Yeah, that should about do it.
Final Four Picks:
First, let's rehash some key factors I told people to remember when filling out brackets in last year's March Madness Preview:
- #1 Seeds NEVER Lose in the Round of 64
Number one seeds are now 124-0 against 16 seeds, and while I don't envision one losing this year, it may be the year it finally happens (keep an eye on Florida Gulf Coast).
- At Least One 12 Will Beat a 5, at Least One 11 Will Beat a 6, and There Will Probably be a 13 That Beats a 4
Right after I tell people to pick at least one 12 seed, no 12 seeds win. However, there were two 14 seeds and two 11 seed upsets last year, and there will probably be at least that many this year (especially look hard at the 11 seeds).
- There Will Be One Upset Nobody Saw Coming
Last year continued this trend, as 14 seeds Georgia State and UAB upset Baylor and Iowa State, respectively. There will probably be another one (or more) this year, but I don't know who it will involve (hence the phrase "upset nobody saw coming"). If I were to venture a guess of where a "shocking" (14, 15, or 16 seed) upset might be this year, I would look at 14 seed Green Bay (vs. Baylor) and 15 seed Weber State (vs. Xavier).
- Strong Defense and Stellar Guard Play Win Championships
Last year's champion, Duke, didn't have an outstanding defense or guard, but did defend well against three-pointers and have a solid veteran guard in Quinn Cook. Continue to look for a strong defensive team (although offense helps too) with a good guard (or guards) to win the chammpionship (and yes, I would count Denzel Valentine as a guard).
- Teams Who Enter the Tourney Hot Usually Stay Hot
Momentum is helpful. That can help you decide close matchups in the tournament (such as 7-10 or 8-9 games). However, it's not absolutely everything (yes, Austin Peay is on a roll right now; no, they won't continue that roll)..
- 3's Are Your Best Friend... And Your Worst Enemy
This is always true, and this year, many tourney teams launch a lot of threes. Threes (as long as they're falling) win ball games (along with defense, rebounding, free throws...)
I've identified my favorite (best team), sleeper (under-the-radar team), "Upset Alert" (a big upset to watch for), and pick to win in each region.
South Region
Favorite: #1 Kansas
The Jayhawks are the number one overall seed in the tournament. They won both the regular season and tournament titles in the Big 12 (arguably the best conference in the nation), haven't lost since January, and have tons of talent, led by senior forward Perry Ellis (16.7 PPG, 5.9 RPG), junior guard Frank Mason III (13.1 PPG, 4.7 APG), and junior guard Wayne Seldon Jr. (13.3 PPG). They are strong in several different statistical categories, and are lethal from deep (They are 42.6 % on three-pointers, and all of their starters can shoot from beyond the arc).
Sleeper: #9 Connecticut
The Huskies are riding high off a American Conference Tournament run that included a wild four overtime win over Cincinnati in the quarterfinals and culminated in a conference championship. This team isn't quite as good as the 2014 National Championship team, but still has some similarities, including a surprise conference tournament run, a low seed (the 2014 team was a seven seed), and talented guards. This year's team is led by 6'7" sophomore Daniel Hamilton (12.4 PPG, 8.9 RPG), along with junior guard Rodney Purvis (12.5 PPG) and senior guard Sterling Gibbs (12 PPG), both transfers, and senior forward Shonn Miller (12.8 PPG, 5.4 RPG). Unlike that 2014 team, this team is better on defense (63.2 points allowed per game, tied for 15th in the country).
Upset Alert: #13 Hawaii vs. #4 California
The Cal Bears may have multiple NBA prospects in senior guard Tyrone Wallace (15.3 PPG, 5.4 RPG), freshman forward Jaylen Brown (15 PPG, 5.5 RPG), freshman forward Ivan Rabb (12.5 PPG, 8.5 RPG), and junior guard Jabari Bird (10.4 PPG), but the Rainbow Warriors, who won the Big West this year over UC-Irvine (and 7'6" Mamadou Ndiaye), a team that almost upset Louisville as a 13 seed last year, has played well against some very good teams, including Oklahoma (lost by three), Texas Tech (lost by eight), and Northern Iowa (Won by 14). They are a strong defensive team (66.5 point allowed per game, 50th in the nation) piloted by junior forward Stefan Jankovic (15.7 PPG, 6.6 RPG), a Missouri transfer who was Big West Player of the Year, and senior guard Roderick Bobbitt (13.3 PPG, 5.5 APG), who contributes in numerous areas.
Elite Eight Pick: #9 Connecticut
Kansas is the overwhelming favorite in this region, but I'm going outside of the box with the dangerous Huskies. Coach Kevin Ollie has been in a similar situation to this before, when he led an under-the-radar seven seed on a tournament run and National Championship. Remember, the NCAA Tournament isn't necessarily about the best teams, but the hottest teams.
West Region
Favorite: #2 Oklahoma
The Sooners, who were once the number one team in the nation (and almost beat number one overall seed Kansas), took some hits late in Big 12 play and fell to a number two seed. But this team is still one of the best teams in the country (and possibly better than one seed Oregon), thanks in large part to arguably the best player in the country (it's either him, Denzel Valentine, or maybe Tyler Ulis) in senior guard Buddy Hield (25 PPG, 5.6 RPG). Other large contributors include senior forward Ryan Spangler (10.8 PPG, 9.4 RPG), senior guard Isaiah Cousins (13 PPG), and junior guard Jordan Woodard (12.6 PPG). They are, like Kansas, lethal from three-point range, hitting 42.6% of there shots from outside.
Sleeper: #11 Northern Iowa
The Panthers won the Missouri Valley Conference title on a buzzer-beater by star senior guard (and Tennessee transfer) Wes Washpun (14.3 PPG, 5.2 APG), and will try to cause some havoc in the NCAA Tournament, which they have done in the past. They also have junior guard Jeremy Morgan (10.4 PPG, 5.1 RPG), who contributes to a defense ranked 11th in the nation in points allowed per game (62.9). They also boast wins over the likes of North Carolina, Iowa State, and Wichita State this season.
Upset Alert: #12 Yale vs. #5 Baylor
If you're looking for a 12-5 upset this year, this may be the place to look. The Bulldogs are in the tournament for the first time in 54 years, and they are capable of doing what fellow Ivy League school Harvard did a couple of years ago in the NCAA Tournament. The strong rebounding dogs are paced by senior forward Justin Sears (15.8 PPG, 7.5 RPG) and sophomore guard Makai Mason (15.8 PPG). They may have trouble with Baylor's size (especially 6'8", 275-pound forward Rico Gathers, who's playing football next year) and neon uniforms, but they are a team to watch out for.
Elite Eight Pick: #2 Oklahoma
Buddy Hield. He alone is reason enough for the Sooners to win this region, but they also have an all-around elite team and are a National title contender. They're dangerous offense and elite three-point shooting will make them hard to beat, even in a region with Duke, Baylor, Texas, Texas A&M, and Oregon.
East Region
Favorite: #1 North Carolina
The Tar Heels, per usual, have lots of talent, including senior forward Brice Johnson (16.6 PPG, 10.6 RPG) and senior guard Marcus Paige (12.1 PPG). They feature four players who average at least 12 points again, and two more who average over nine. While UNC struggles outside (31.4% from three), they are money inside (52.3% from two). They are also among the best in the nation in points, assists, and rebounds.
Sleeper: #10 Pittsburgh
This is the most wide-open region in the bracket, with talented teams like Indiana, Kentucky, and Notre Dame who could lose first round or make it to the Final Four. It also has (in my opinion) the weakest two seed (Xavier), which is a good team but isn't on the level of Oklahoma or Michigan State. Jamie Dixon's Panthers are a dangerous team that has beaten Duke, Notre Dame, and Gonzaga. They have talented players in junior forward Michael Young (16 PPG, 7 RPG), Junior forward Jamel Artis (14.4 PPG), and senior guard James Robinson (10.3 PPG, 5.1 APG).
Upset Alert: #12 Chattanooga vs. #5 Indiana
If the Hoosiers are hitting shots, they are hard to beat. But if they don't have going well offensively, a strong mid-major like Chattanooga can knock them off. IU isn't a great defensive team (68.9 points allowed per game, 99th in the nation), and they are coming off a shocking loss to Michigan in the Big Ten Tournament quarterfinals. The Mocs of Chattanooga have beaten Georgia, Illinois, and Dayton, and are led by junior forward Tre' McLean (12.3 PPG, 6.4 RPG).
Elite Eight Pick: #3 West Virginia
"Press Virginia" is more than just the press this year. The improved offense is led by junior forward Devin Williams (13.3 PPG, 9.3 RPG) and senior guard Jaysean Paige (13.9 PPG), and the havoc-wreaking defense is among the best in the country, as well as their offensive rebounding (15.9 per game, second in the nation).
Midwest Region
Favorite: #2 Michigan State
The Spartans are rolling into the tournament off a Big Ten Tournament championship, and they probably should have been a number one seed. They are (in my opinion) one of the two best teams in the country right now (along with Kansas). They have arguably the best player in the country (again, either Buddy Hield, him, or possibly Tyler Ulis) and probably the most versatile player in the country in Denzel Valentine (19.4 PPG, 7.6 RPG, 7.6 APG). They also have much-improved senior forward Matt Costello (10.4 PPG, 8.2 RPG) and senior guard Bryn Forbes (14.4 PPG), who is deadly from three (48.4%). MSU as a is the best three-point shooting team in the nation (43.5%).
Sleeper: #9 Butler
You can never count out Butler, even in the post-Brad Stevens era. The Bulldogs didn't have the best season, but they do have the ability to make a tournament run. They are a very good three-point shooting team (38.7% from deep), paced by senior guard Kellen Dunham (16.3 PPG), sophomore forward Kelan Martin (16.1 PPG, 6.8 RPG), and senior forward Roosevelt Jones (14 PPG, 6.6 RPG).
Upset Alert: #13 Iona vs. #4 Iowa State
Iona is a fast-paced, high-octane three-point shooting team (320 total threes made, 12th in the nation) with one of the best mid-major players in the country in senior guard A.J. English (22.4 PPG, 5 RPG, 6.2 APG). They have also won their last eight games. That combination could spell a potential upset. They play Iowa State, a team that, while very talented, has scuffled recently, and was upset as a three seed last year by 14 seed UAB.
Elite Eight Pick: #2 Michigan State
Tom Izzo in March. That's really all that needs to be said. Oh, and Denzel Valentine. And best three-point shooting team in the nation. Yeah, that should about do it.
Final Four Picks:
Oklahoma over Connecticut
This is where UConn's magical run ends. I'm crazy enough to have UConn in the Final Four, but I'm not quite crazy enough to have them in the National Championship (this team's not quite as good as the National Champions two years ago), especially against a talented and experienced Oklahoma team.
Michigan State over West Virginia
West Virginia is a great, physical team that has a shot at winning it all, but Denzel Valentine won't let the Spartans lose. He, along with Michigan State's other talented seniors (Bryn Forbes and Matt Costello), will lead Tom Izzo's team to the National Championship.
National Championship Pick:
Michigan State Spartans over Oklahoma Sooners
This seems like a fitting way to end a season that has seen many more good senior-laden teams than usual (as opposed to the one-and-done powerhouses). The two best players in the country (Buddy Hield and Denzel Valentine) playing their final collegiate games against each other. Both of these teams have shown that they are National title contenders and have the pieces to win one. I think Michigan State, with more depth and experience (and a better overall teams), takes the title.
Friday, December 11, 2015
G-Rex's Heisman Primer
There is only one college football game this weekend (Army-Navy), but one event that does take place this weekend is the annual presentation of the Heisman Trophy (in New York), awarded to the best player in NCAA Division I FBS college football. There are three finalists, as well as plenty of other deserving candidates who didn't get an invite.
Snubs
Oklahoma Junior QB Baker Mayfield: 243-354, 3,389 yards, 35 TD, 5 INT; 131 rushes, 420 yards, 7 TD
Mayfield made a strong case for the Heisman, and believes he should have been a finalist. He led the Sooners through the wild Big 12 and emerged with just one loss, a championship, and a spot in the Playoff. Mayfield threw at least two touchdown pass in all but one game (which he threw one in).
Ohio State Junior RB Ezekiel Elliott: 262 rushes, 1,672 yards, 19 TD; 26 catches, 176 yards
It was the Michigan State game that not only ended Ohio State's title hopes, but also Elliott's Heisman hopes. He carried the ball just 12 times for 33 yards, and both he (in a post game "rant") and Urban Meyer admitted they should have given him the ball more. In every other game (including the next week vs. Michigan), Zeke rushed for over 100 yards.
LSU Sophomore RB Leonard Fournette: 271 rushes, 1,741 yards, 18 TD; 18 catches, 209 yards
Early in the season, it looked like Fournette winning the Heisman was almost a foregone conclusion. He had at least 150 yards rushing in his first seven games, but then he got contained by Alabama (19 carries, 31 yards) and Arkansas (19 carries, 91 yards) in consecutive weeks, dwindling his Heisman chances.
Navy Senior QB Keenan Reynolds: 46-84, 964 yards, 6 TD, 1 INT; 220 rushes, 1,093 yards, 19 TD
If the Heisman were a career award, Reynolds would probably win it. Reynolds is a four year starter who holds the NCAA record for most career rushing touchdowns (84), and he led the Midshipmen to the AAC Championship Game this season (where they lost to Houston).
Finalists
Stanford Sophomore RB Christian McCaffrey: 319 rushes, 1,847 yards, 8 TD; 41 catches, 540 yards, 4 TD
McCaffrey broke Barry Sanders record for most all-purpose yards in a season while leading the Cardinal to a Pac-12 Championship and the Rose Bowl. He may be the most versatile player in the country; he has also thrown two touchdown passes (he's attempted three) and returned a kickoff for a touchdown.
Alabama Junior RB Derrick Henry: 339 rushes, 1,986 yards, 23 TD; 10 catches, 97 yards
Henry was a workhorse back for the Tide, breaking the SEC record for most rushing yards in a season while averaging 26 carries a game, including 46 and 44 in his last two games (an Iron Bowl win and an SEC Championship win) respectively.
Clemson Sophomore QB Deshaun Watson: 287-413, 3,512 yards, 30 TD, 11 INT; 163 rushes, 887 yards, 11 TD
Henry was a workhorse back for the Tide, breaking the SEC record for most rushing yards in a season while averaging 26 carries a game, including 46 and 44 in his last two games (an Iron Bowl win and an SEC Championship win) respectively.
Clemson Sophomore QB Deshaun Watson: 287-413, 3,512 yards, 30 TD, 11 INT; 163 rushes, 887 yards, 11 TD
Watson came back from ACL surgery and piloted the Tigers to an undefeated season and an ACC Championship. The dual-threat had four games of 100 or more yards rushing and five games of three or more passing touchdowns.
G-Rex's Pick: Watson
Watson isn't the favorite to win the Heisman (many have him behind both McCaffrey and Henry), he should be. He's the only finalist who plays quarterback, widely thought of as the most important position. He also has intangibles like leadership and poise, and he led Clemson to an unbeaten season, which no other team in NCAA Division I accomplished. McCaffrey is highly versatile and productive, but Stanford lost twice and didn't make the Playoff. Henry is a very powerful runner, but he didn't do much else besides run the ball. Watson was extremely productive passing the ball and running the ball, and he didn't lose a game, something the others can't say.
G-Rex's Rankings: Watson, McCaffrey, Henry
Friday, December 4, 2015
CFB Weekly Review/Preview: Championship Week
Hope you had a good Thanksgiving (and Black Friday, if you're into that). The Weekly Review/Preview is back from Thanksgiving break, and just in time for conference championship week. This week will determine who makes the College Football Playoff, and what bowls other teams go to. Right now, there are really about nine teams who still have a shot (even if it's minuscule) at making the Playoff:
Week 13 Review
Baylor 21, TCU 28 2OT
- Clemson: If the unbeaten Tigers take care of business Saturday in the ACC Championship, they will most likely be the #1 seed in the Playoff. If they are upset by North Carolina, they still have a chance of staying in the top four, but they will most likely be on the outside looking in.
- Alabama: As with Clemson, the Tide are in with a win in the SEC Championship Saturday. They're out if they lose to offensively-challenged Florida.
- Oklahoma: Oklahoma looks to have a Playoff spot locked up. They demolished Oklahoma State to take the Big 12 (which doesn't have a championship game) crown, and that's the final impression the Playoff Committee will get from them.
- Iowa: The unbeaten Hawkeyes will play in a winner-take-all (or at least a Playoff spot) Big Ten Championship against Michigan State. Win and they're in. Lose and they're out.
- Michigan State: The Spartans are in with a Big Ten Championship victory. If they lose, they most likely go to the Rose Bowl.
- Ohio State: The Buckeyes played to their potential last Saturday against Michigan, running all over the Wolverines with J.T. Barrett and Ezekiel Elliott a week after Elliott hardly touched the ball in a loss to MSU. They need at least either Clemson or Alabama to lose to have a chance to defend their title
- Stanford: The two-loss Cardinal are still in contention, but they will need to win the Pac-12 Championship against USC, hope either Clemson or Alabama lose, and hope the Playoff Committee values a conference championship over the eye test.
- North Carolina: The Heels could sneak in with an upset of Clemson and a Stanford or Alabama loss. The problem is their strength of schedule; their lone loss was to South Carolina, and they played two FCS teams.
- Florida: It's unlikely the Gators, who have struggled recently, including last week in a loss to Florida State, get in, but if they pull off an SEC Championship upset of Alabama, they have a sim chance.
Top Games
Baylor 21, TCU 28 2OT
In a double-overtime thriller, Trevon Boykin and TCU dashed the title (conference and national) hopes of third-string quarterback Chris Johnson and Baylor.
Led by their talented offense, Western Michigan ruined Toledo's hopes of winning a MAC Championship and playing in a New Year's 6 bowl game. They play Northern Illinois in the MAC Championship this weekend.
In last weekend's marquee game, Stanford rallied to knock off Notre Dame on a game-winning field goal in the final seconds.
Top Performances
California QB Jared Goff vs. Arizona State (W 48-46): 30-51, 542 yards, 5 TD
One of the top NFL prospect at quarterback put on a show in Cal's final regular season game, throwing five touchdowns to push the Bears past ASU.
Alabama RB Derrick Henry @ Auburn (W 29-13): 46 carries, 271 yards, TD
Henry is many people's Heisman front-runner after a dominating performance that saw him tote the rock 46 times.
Clemson QB Deshaun Watson @ South Carolina (W 37-32): 20-27, 279 yards passing, TD; 21 carries, 114 yards rushing, 3 TD
Another Heisman candidate, Watson kept the #1 Tigers unbeaten despite a scare from South Carolina.
Play of the Week
The best play from the holiday weekend goes to Southern Miss receiver Mike Thomas, who made an Odell Beckham-like catch in the end zone and somehow managed to get a foot down in bounds. Southern Miss beat Louisiana Tech and will play in the Conference USA Championship.
Play of the Weak
If there was a team that exemplified Play of the Weak best, it would be the Kansas Jayhawks. Somebody made this "hype video" to celebrate their 0-12 season.
Championship Week Preview
Quick Picks
Two Weeks Ago: 12-7
Season: 104-38
Friday
MAC Championship: Bowling Green 32, Northern Illinois 28 (8:00 PM, ESPN 2)
Saturday
Texas 38, #12 Baylor 32 (Noon, ESPN)
C-USA Championship: Southern Miss 34, Western Kentucky 45 (Noon, ESPN 2)
AAC Championship: #22 Temple 28, #19 Houston 42 (Noon, ABC)
SEC Championship: #18 Florida 13, #2 Alabama 30 (4:00 PM, CBS)
MWC Championship: Air Force 38, San Diego State 35 (7:00 PM, ESPN 2)
Pac-12 Championship: #20 USC 28, #7 Stanford 35 (7:45 PM, ESPN)
Big Ten Championship: #5 Michigan State 40, #4 Iowa 29 (8:00 PM, FOX)
ACC Championship: #10 North Carolina 34, #1 Clemson 32 (8:00 PM, ABC)
California QB Jared Goff vs. Arizona State (W 48-46): 30-51, 542 yards, 5 TD
One of the top NFL prospect at quarterback put on a show in Cal's final regular season game, throwing five touchdowns to push the Bears past ASU.
Alabama RB Derrick Henry @ Auburn (W 29-13): 46 carries, 271 yards, TD
Henry is many people's Heisman front-runner after a dominating performance that saw him tote the rock 46 times.
Clemson QB Deshaun Watson @ South Carolina (W 37-32): 20-27, 279 yards passing, TD; 21 carries, 114 yards rushing, 3 TD
Another Heisman candidate, Watson kept the #1 Tigers unbeaten despite a scare from South Carolina.
Play of the Week
The best play from the holiday weekend goes to Southern Miss receiver Mike Thomas, who made an Odell Beckham-like catch in the end zone and somehow managed to get a foot down in bounds. Southern Miss beat Louisiana Tech and will play in the Conference USA Championship.
Play of the Weak
If there was a team that exemplified Play of the Weak best, it would be the Kansas Jayhawks. Somebody made this "hype video" to celebrate their 0-12 season.
Championship Week Preview
Quick Picks
Two Weeks Ago: 12-7
Season: 104-38
Friday
MAC Championship: Bowling Green 32, Northern Illinois 28 (8:00 PM, ESPN 2)
Saturday
Texas 38, #12 Baylor 32 (Noon, ESPN)
C-USA Championship: Southern Miss 34, Western Kentucky 45 (Noon, ESPN 2)
AAC Championship: #22 Temple 28, #19 Houston 42 (Noon, ABC)
SEC Championship: #18 Florida 13, #2 Alabama 30 (4:00 PM, CBS)
MWC Championship: Air Force 38, San Diego State 35 (7:00 PM, ESPN 2)
Pac-12 Championship: #20 USC 28, #7 Stanford 35 (7:45 PM, ESPN)
Big Ten Championship: #5 Michigan State 40, #4 Iowa 29 (8:00 PM, FOX)
ACC Championship: #10 North Carolina 34, #1 Clemson 32 (8:00 PM, ABC)
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)