Week 17 Fantasy Football NFL Preview

The wild ride that is the 2018 NFL regular season is almost over. It's been 16 weeks of amazing plays, incredible performances and shocking finishes, and Week 17 is sure to bring more. I would like to thank all of my readers who have stuck with me through this whole season and continued to support me and this blog. Patrick Mahomes should win the NFL MVP, but, to quote Kevin Durant (I'm crossing sports here), "You the real MVP". Many fantasy leagues had their championship last week, and I would like to congratulate everyone who came out victorious in fantasy football this year. For some people (including myself), the fantasy season is not over. So, for those of you playing for a fantasy football championship this week, here are my Week 17 Picks to Click.

Pat Mahomes should be the NFL MVP... no, I meant Pat Mahomes II.

Week 17 Picks to Click

QB

Top 3

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs (vs. OAK) - As I said earlier, Patty deserves to be the NFL MVP. In case you're curious, here are my picks for the other major awards:

• Offensive Player of the Year: Drew Brees, QB, Saints - Brees gets the consolation prize for finishing as runner-up for MVP.
• Defensive Player of the Year: Aaron Donald, DT, Rams - Donald is the rare defensive player who is in the MVP conversation.
• Offensive Rookie of the Year: Baker Mayfield, QB, Browns - Saquon Barkley has been incredible, but Baker has reversed the fortunes for an entire franchise.
• Defensive Rookie of the Year: Darius Leonard, LB, Colts - The QB of the Indianapolis defense leads the league in tackles by a wide margin.
• Comeback Player of the Year: Andrew Luck, QB, Colts - J.J. Watt is also a candidate here, but Luck has been one of the best quarterback's in the NFL this year, after not playing last year.
• Coach of the Year: Matt Nagy, Chicago Bears - There are a lot of good candidates (Andy Reid, Frank Reich, Anthony Lynn...), but Nagy has turned the Bears into a dangerous team.
• Executive of the Year: John Dorsey, GM, Browns - There are also a lot of good candidates here (Ryan Pace, Chris Ballard, Tom Telesco...), but I'll make the biased pick.

Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers (vs. CIN) - It's a must-win game for Ben and the Steelers, and it's against one of the worst defenses in the National Football League.

Aaron Rodgers, Packers (vs. DET) - The Packers aren't going to the playoffs, but A-Rodge can close out the season on a high note against Detroit.

Sleepers

Nick Foles, Eagles (@ WAS) - After throwing four touchdown passes last week, Napoleon Dynamite needs a win (and a Vikings loss) to lead Philly back to the playoffs. Never bet against Nick.

Teddy Bridgewater, Saints (vs. CAR) - With the number one seed already locked up, New Orleans will rest many of its starters Sunday. That gives the former Minnesota first-rounder a chance.

Baker Mayfield, Browns (@ BAL) - I know he's facing the toughest defense in the NFL, but I wouldn't bet against Baker and a Browns team that has a chance to ruin Baltimore's season.

RB

Top 3

Saquon Barkley, Giants (vs. DAL) - Many top running backs will be resting this week, but not Saquon, who will try to cap off a great rookie season with a strong performance.

Melvin Gordon, Chargers (@ DEN) - The Chargers still have a shot at the number one seed, so their stars will be playing Sunday.

Chris Carson, Seahawks (vs. ARI) - Carson draws the best matchup of the weekend, against Arizona's league-worst rush defense.

Sleepers

C.J. Anderson, Rams (vs. SF) - It looks like the Rams will sit Todd Gurley again this week, which means Anderson, who had 167 yards rushing last week, will get another start.

Damien Williams, Chiefs (vs. OAK) - Kansas City's new feature back has played very well the last two weeks, and should play well Sunday against Oakland.

Jeff Wilson Jr., 49ers (@ LAR) - With Matt Breida out, Wilson will take the reigns again. He has played well when Breida has been out.

WR

Top 3

Julio Jones, Falcons (@ TB) - Atlanta's star wideout should be able to shred Tampa Bay's vulnerable secondary on Sunday.

Devante Adams, Packers (vs. DET) - Adams has quietly been one of the best and most consistent receivers in the NFL this season.

DeAndre Hopkins, Texans (vs. JAX) - The Texans have something to play for Sunday, which means Nuke will be out there making plays.

Sleepers

JuJu Smith-Schuster, Steelers (vs. CIN) - Antonio Brown is listed as questionable after not practicing this week. Whether AB plays (he probably will) or not, JuJu is a must-start.

Robby Anderson, Jets (@ NE) - Robby had 140 yards receiving last week, and he has scored a touchdown each of the last three weeks.

Adam Humphries, Buccaneers (vs. ATL) - Humphries has carved out a key role in the Tampa offense (he had 10 catches last week), and he faces a weak Atlanta defense on Sunday.

TE

Top 3

Travis Kelce, Chiefs (vs. OAK) - Unlike the other positions, there is no change at the top this week.

Zach Ertz, Eagles (@ WAS) - The top three tight ends happen to be on teams that are either playing for something this week...

George Kittle, 49ers (@ LAR) - ...or are already eliminated.

Sleeper

Evan Engram, Giants (vs. DAL) - Engram had 87 yards receiving (and 26 yards rushing) last week, and it once again looks like Odell Beckham Jr. won't suit up.

Jared Cook, Raiders (@ KC) - Cook hasn't done much the past two games, but Oakland's top pass-catcher should produce against Kansas City's atrocious defense.

Kyle Rudolph, Vikings (vs. CHI) - After a largely disappointing season, Rudolph finally broke out for 122 yards and two touchdowns last week. The Vikes need another big game from his this week.

D/ST

Top 3

Seattle Seahawks (vs. ARI) - It's been a rough year in Arizona, especially for the Cardinal offense, which faces a team that forced two turnovers last week and "held" Kansas City to 31 points.

Houston Texans (vs. JAX) - The Texans have something to play for, and we all know about Jacksonville's offensive woes (although Blake Bortles is back this week).

Los Angeles Rams (vs. SF) - Aaron Donald and the Rams host Nick Mullens and the Niners. I'll take Donald and the Rams.

Sleepers

Pittsburgh Steelers (vs. CIN) - The Bengals have lost just about every offensive playmaker they had, and they scored 16 points last week in Cleveland.

Philadelphia Eagles (@ WAS) - The clock struck midnight for Josh Johnson and Washington last week, and this week, they'll be facing another team in desperate need of a win.

Indianapolis Colts (@ TEN) - I could see this being a low-scoring game (or a Colts blowout), especially if Blaine Gabbert starts at quarterback for the Titans.

K

Top 3

Greg Zuerlein, Rams (vs. SF)

Harrison Butker, Chiefs (vs. OAK)

Stephen Gostkowski, Patriots (vs. NYJ)

Week 17 Game Picks

Record

Last Week: 13-3   vs. Spread: 9-5-2   Over/Under: 11-5

Season: 150-90   vs. Spread: 118-103-8   Over/Under: 108-126-4

(All Times Eastern)

Sunday

Dolphins @ Bills (1:00 PM, CBS)

Josh Allen will look to finish his up-and-down rookie season on a high note, and I think he will.

Spread: BUF -5.5   Over/Under: 39.5

Prediction: Bills 24, Dolphins 14

Lions @ Packers (1:00 PM, FOX)

The most important games of the day were flexed back, so not much is happening early.

Spread: GB -8   Over/Under: 44.5

Prediction: Packers 27, Lions 13

Jets @ Patriots (1:00 PM, CBS)

The Patriots are playing for a first-round bye, so they won't go easy on the Jets.

Spread: NE -13.5   Over/Under: 46

Prediction: Patriots 35, Jets 17

Panthers @ Saints (1:00 PM, FOX)

The Saints will likely rest most of their starters, but Carolina is starting rookie Kyle Allen at QB.

Spread: NO -7   Over/Under: 42.5

Prediction: Saints 28, Panthers 17

Cowboys @ Giants (1:00 PM, FOX)

The Giants almost defeated Indianapolis on the road last week, and Dallas might rest some starters.

Spread: NYG -6   Over/Under: 41

Prediction: Giants 24, Cowboys 20

Falcons @ Buccaneers (1:00 PM, FOX)

This could be a high-scoring affair between two weak defenses, one I think Tampa will win.

Spread: ATL -2   Over/Under: 52

Prediction: Buccaneers 31, Falcons 28

Jaguars @ Texans (1:00 PM, CBS)

Blake Bortles should provide more than Cody Kessler did, but the Texans are a much better team.

Spread: HOU -6.5   Over/Under: 40

Prediction: Texans 27, Jaguars 16

Chargers @ Broncos (4:25 PM, CBS)

The Chargers, who still have a small shot at the one seed, should beat the banged-up Broncos.

Spread: LAC -6   Over/Under: 42

Prediction: Chargers 24, Broncos 19

Raiders @ Chiefs (4:25 PM, CBS)

The Chiefs need a win to lock up the division and home-field advantage, and they should get it.

Spread: KC -14   Over/Under: 52.5

Prediction: Chiefs 38, Raiders 28

49ers @ Rams (4:25 PM, CBS)

The Rams, like the Chiefs, clinch a first-round bye with a win, and, like Kansas City, they should.

Spread: LAR -10.5   Over/Under: 48.5

Prediction: Rams 32, 49ers 17

Bears @ Vikings (4:25 PM, CBS)

Although the Bears have something to play for, I think Minnesota will pull out the win.

Spread: MIN -5.5   Over/Under: 40.5

Prediction: Vikings 23, Bears 20

Bengals @ Steelers (4:25 PM, CBS)

The Steelers need a win and a Baltimore loss (or Colts-Titans tie) to get in. They'll get the win.

Spread: PIT -14.5   Over/Under: 45.5

Prediction: Steelers 31, Bengals 21

Cardinals @ Seahawks (4:25 PM, FOX)

These two teams are going in completely opposite directions right now.

Spread: SEA -13   Over/Under: 38.5

Prediction: Seahawks 33, Cardinals 14

Eagles @ Redskins (4:25 PM, FOX)

As I said last week, Nick Foles and the Eagles are on a mission. Don't bet against Nick Foles.

Spread: PHI -7   Over/Under: 42

Prediction: Eagles 24, Redskins 16

Browns @ Ravens (4:25 PM, CBS)

In what could be the game of the day, I can't go against the dangerous Brownies.

Spread: BAL -6   Over/Under: 40.5

Prediction: Browns 24, Ravens 21

Colts @ Titans (8:20 PM, NBC)

The season ends with a classic "Win or Go Home" game. Anything can happen, but Indy is better.

Spread: IND -3.5   Over/Under: 44

Prediction: Colts 24, Titans 21

Stats and Info via ESPN.com and FantasyPros.com

Lines via OddsShark.com

Lines as of Saturday afternoon

 

Fantasy Football/NFL Week 16 Preview

It's championship time (for most fantasy football leagues). It's time to strap in. It's time to focus all of your energy and attention on fantasy football (if you haven't already, which you should have been). It goes without saying (so I'm going to say it), but this is not the week to leave points on the bench. Lineup decisions this week leave no room for error. You have to make the right choices. Hopefully, I can help you do that.

The best receiver in football?

Week 16 Picks to Click

QB

Top 3

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs (@ SEA) - Despite losing to Phillip Rivers and the Chargers last week, Pat is still my favorite to win MVP.

Drew Brees, Saints (vs. PIT) - Brees and the dangerous Saints offense have been incredibly quiet the past three weeks, but I expect a bounce-back this week against Pittsburgh.

Andrew Luck, Colts (vs. NYG) - Luck didn't do much last week (he didn't need to), but he has thrown at least three touchdown passes in eight games this season.

Sleepers

Deshaun Watson, Texans (@ PHI) - The banged-up Philly secondary held the Rams in check last week, but may not hold Watson, who has over 200 yards passing in each of his last seven games.

Mitchell Trubisky, Bears (@ SF) - Mitchell, like Watson, brings upside thanks to his running ability, and he could do damage against a vulnerable San Francisco defense.

Baker Mayfield, Browns (vs. CIN) - Baker didn't have his best game last week, but he should play much better at home against a defense he lit up for four touchdowns last time.


RB

Top 3

Ezekiel Elliott, Cowboys (vs. TB) - Zeke has eclipsed 100 total yards in each of his last seven games, and should do so again against the awful Tampa Bay defense.

Christian McCaffrey, Panthers (vs. ATL) - CMC didn't find the endzone last week, but I bet he will this week against a team that has not been able to stop opposing running backs.

Todd Gurley, Rams (vs. ARI) - Gurley hasn't done much in terms of yards the last two weeks, but that should change against the lowly Arizona Cardinals.

Sleepers

Derrick Henry, Titans (vs. WAS) - It turns out Henry's insane Thursday night performance may have not been a complete anomaly, as he followed it up with 170 yards and a touchdown last week.

Chris Carson, Seahawks (vs. KC) - Carson (who had 148 total yards and a touchdown last week) and the run-heavy Seahawks face the incredibly bad Kansas City defense this weekend.

Jamaal Williams, Packers (@ NYJ) - With Aaron Jones on IR, Williams has taken over lead-back duties for the Packers, and he should find some open field against the Jets.


WR

Top 3

DeAndre Hopkins, Texans (@ PHI) - Hopkins is making a claim as the best receiver in football. We'll see what he follows up his 170-yard, two-touchdown performance with.

Julio Jones, Falcons (@ CAR) - Jones, who has 1,511 yards receiving and six touchdowns (!!) this season, will produce against the free-falling Panthers.

Devante Adams, Packers (@ NYJ) - Adams has been targeted 37 total times the past three weeks, and could tear up the Jets like Hopkins did last week.

Sleepers

Alshon Jeffery, Eagles (vs. HOU) - Jeffery was Nick Foles' favorite deep threat Sunday night, finishing with eight catches for 160 yards.

DaeSean Hamilton, Broncos (@ OAK) - The Broncos have struggled, but Hamilton seems to be the number one receiver (he was targeted 12 times last week).

Robby Anderson, Jets (vs. GB) - Anderson has scored each of the last two weeks, and also had 11 targets and 96 yards last week.


TE

Top 3

Travis Kelce, Chiefs (@ SEA) - The top three...

Zach Ertz, Eagles (vs. HOU) - ...at this position...

George Kittle, 49ers (vs. CHI) - ...is pretty clear.

Sleepers

Evan Engram, Giants (@ IND) - OBJ will be out again this week. Without him last week, Engram has eight catches (on 12 targets) for 75 yards.

David Njoku, Browns (vs. CIN) - Last time these two teams met, Njoku had five catches for 63 yards and a touchdown.

Ian Thomas, Panthers (vs. ATL) - The tight end may be Taylor Heinicke's preferred target against the weak Atlanta defense this weekend.


D/ST

Top 3

Chicago Bears (@ SF) - The best defense in the National Football League faces former undrafted third-string quarterback Nick Mullens this week.

Tennessee Titans (vs. WAS) - I'm rooting for Josh Johnson, but I'm going to need to see more than just a solid game against the rock-bottom Jaguars to be sold.

Los Angeles Rams (@ ARI) - Arizona's punchless offense could have trouble against Aaron Donald and the Rams

Sleepers

Miami Dolphins (vs. JAX) - Speaking of the rock-bottom Jaguars...

Denver Broncos (@ OAK) - Denver's tough defense faces Oakland's tough (in a bad way) offense.

Washington Redskins (@ TEN) - This will probably be a low-scoring game.


K

Top 3

Greg Zuerlein, Rams (@ ARI)

Will Lutz, Saints (vs. PIT)

Ka'imi Fairbairn, Texans (@ PHI)



Week 16 Game Picks

Record
Last Week: 10-6   vs. Spread: 8-8   Over/Under: 7-8-1
Season: 137-87   vs. Spread: 109-98-6   Over/Under: 97-121-4

(All Times Eastern)

Saturday

Redskins @ Titans (4:30 PM, NFL Network)

It probably won't happen, but imagine Josh Johnson leading Washington to the playoffs.

Spread: TEN -11   Over/Under: 37.5

Prediction: Titans 19, Redskins 13


Ravens @ Chargers (8:20 PM, NFL Network)

Lamar and the Ravens need this win, but Phillip and the Chargers are rolling right now.

Spread: LAC -4   Over/Under: 42.5

Prediction: Chargers 28, Ravens 21


Sunday

Falcons @ Panthers (1:00 PM, FOX)

I don't have much faith in the Panthers at this point, especially without Cam Newton.

Spread: ATL -3   Over/Under: 44.5

Prediction: Falcons 27, Panthers 14


Bills @ Patriots (1:00 PM, CBS)

The Bills and their stingy defense could keep them in this, but the Patriots should prevail.

Spread: NE -13.5   Over/Under: 44

Prediction: Patriots 24, Bills 17


Bengals @ Browns (1:00 PM, CBS)

The team with Hue Jackson will lose this game. The team with Baker Mayfield will win this game.

Spread: CLE -10   Over/Under: 44

Prediction: Browns 31, Bengals 20


Packers @ Jets (1:00 PM, FOX)

Neither of these teams is particularly good, but I believe the Packers have more talent.

Spread: GB -3   Over/Under: 46.5

Prediction: Packers 21, Jets 17


Texans @ Eagles (1:00 PM, CBS)

Nick Foles and the Eagles are on a mission, so I'm not betting against them.

Spread: PHI -2   Over/Under: 46

Prediction: Eagles 27, Texans 24


Jaguars @ Dolphins (1:00 PM, CBS)

While I advise not betting against Foles and the Eagles, I advise not betting on Kessler and the Jags.

Spread: MIA -3.5   Over/Under: 38.5

Prediction: Dolphins 22, Jaguars 13


Vikings @ Lions (1:00 PM, FOX)

The Vikings looked good last week in a rout of the Dolphins, while the Lions...

Spread: MIN -6   Over/Under: 42.5

Prediction: Vikings 30, Lions 17


Giants @ Colts (1:00 PM, CBS)

The Giants, sans OBJ, will have a tough time upsetting the Colts, who just shut out the Cowboys.

Spread: IND -9.5   Over/Under: 48

Prediction: Colts 21, Giants 14


Buccaneers @ Cowboys (1:00 PM, FOX)

Speaking of the 'boys, they should be able to bounce back from the poor showing against the Colts.

Spread: DAL -7   Over/Under: 48

Prediction: Cowboys 29, Buccaneers 17


Bears @ 49ers (4:05 PM, FOX)

Don't look now but the Niners have won two in a row (I still expect the Bears to win this one).

Spread: CHI -4.5   Over/Under: 43

Prediction: Bears 24, 49ers 17


Rams @ Cardinals (4:05 PM, FOX)

The Rams have struggles lately, but a meeting with the Cardinals may get them rolling again.

Spread: LAR -14   Over/Under: 44

Prediction: Rams 31, Cardinals 14


Steelers @ Saints (4:25 PM, FOX)

I don't know where the Saints' offense went, but I think it'll reappear against Pittsburgh.

Spread: NO -6.5   Over/Under: 53

Prediction: Saints 32, Steelers 24


Chiefs @ Seahawks (8:20 PM, NBC)

I'm tempted to go with the Seahawks at home... you know what, I'll go with the Seahawks at home.

Spread: KC -1.5   Over/Under: 55

Prediction: Seahawks 30, Chiefs 28


Monday

Broncos @ Raiders (8:15 PM, ESPN)

Not exactly an ideal primetime matchup, but at least we'll get to see the terrorizing Denver defense.

Spread: DEN -3   Over/Under: 42

Prediction: Broncos 24, Raiders 14


Stats and info via ESPN.com, FantasyPros.com and CBSSports.com
Lines via OddsShark.com
Lines as of Saturday afternoon

Fantasy Football/NFL Week 15 Preview

If your fantasy football playoffs didn't start last week, they probably start this week. With key players getting injured and team fighting for playoff spots, surprising things can happen. The goal is to put together a lineup with the best chance to win you a playoff matchup. The rest is out of your control.

If you don't need to see where you're throwing to complete a pass, you're probably pretty good.

Week 15 Picks to Click

QB

Top 3

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs (vs. LAC) - The best quarterback in football this season gets an enticing Thursday night matchup against Phillip Rivers and the Chargers. Mahomes should continue rolling towards a possible MVP this week.

Drew Brees, Saints (@ CAR) - Brees and the New Orleans has slowed down considerably the last few weeks, but should bounce back against a struggling Carolina squad that has lost five straight and couldn't stop Jameis Winston and Baker Mayfield the last two weeks.

Jared Goff, Rams (vs. PHI) - Goff struggled against the best defense in the league in cold Chicago last week, but he should bounce back against a Philly secondary ravaged by injuries. The Eagles allowed 455 yards and three touchdowns to Dak Prescott last week.

Sleepers

Baker Mayfield, Browns (@ DEN) - At this point, if you don't think Baker is blossoming into a star, you haven't been paying attention. Since Freddie Kitchens took over as offensive coordinator, Baker has thrown 11 touchdowns and four interceptions.

Josh Allen, Bills (vs. DET) - Each of the last three weeks, Josh Allen has run for at least 99 yards. The passing is still a work in progress, but he has upside thanks to his surprising success on the ground, and he's worth a look against a Lions team mired in a lost season.

Lamar Jackson, Ravens (vs. TB) - We have three rookies here this week, two of whom have been here multiple times before. Like Allen, Jackson's a work in progress, but brings upside with his legs. Tampa Bay does not have an elite defense.


RB

Top 3

Todd Gurley, Rams (vs. PHI) - Like the rest of the Rams offense, Gurley was relatively quiet in Chicago. He should go return to his prior production this week against the struggling Eagles, who gave up 113 yards on 28 carries to Ezekiel Elliott last week.

Christian McCaffrey, Panthers (vs. NO) - The Panthers have been mired in a five-game skid, but CMC has still been extremely productive. Against a New Orleans that has been tough against the run but extremely weak against the pass, McCaffrey should continue to produce.

Saquon Barkley, Giants (vs. TEN) - You can't stop him, you can only hope to contain him. Actually, you can't really even hope that. Saquon has 637 total yards and six total touchdowns the last five games, and he should continue to roll.

Sleepers

Justin Jackson, Chargers (@ KC) - Austin Ekeler is out tonight, and Melvin Gordon is questionable. Enter Jackson, who is averaging six yards per carry in limited time. If Gordon sits, Jackson could feast on a bad Kansas City defense.

Damien Williams, Chiefs (vs. LAC) - On the other side tonight, Damien Williams will be starting with Spencer Ware out. Just by virtue of playing significant snaps in the Kansas City offense, Williams becomes an intriguing fantasy option this week.

Josh Adams, Eagles (@ LAR) - He didn't do much last week, but Adams is still Philadelphia's top back, and with Carson Wentz out, the Eagles may run more. The Bears had success running on L.A. last week.


WR

Top 3

Michael Thomas, Saints (@ CAR) - Jarvis Landry couldn't be stopped by Carolina last week, and Mike, who just passed Landry (and OBJ) for most catches by a receiver in his first three seasons, is already hard to stop.

Keenan Allen, Chargers (@ KC) - The heavily-involved Allen has a touchdown in each of his last five games, and the Kansas City defense, which ranks last in the NFL against the pass (282.1 yards allowed per game), will have a hard time stopping him from making it six straight with a score.

DeAndre Hopkins, Texans (@ NYJ) - Hopkins only caught four of his 10 targets for 36 yards last week in Indy, but he still had a touchdown. The Jets, who gave up 104 yards receiving to Robert Foster last week, might struggle a little bit with Nuke Hopkins.

Sleepers

Jarvis Landry, Browns (@ DEN) - Landry has re-emerged in Freddie Kitchens' creative offense, eclipsing 50 yards receiving and 50 yards rushing last week. Saturday, he faces the Broncos, who (according to ESPN's Matthew Berry) have allowed the fourth-most yards in the slot this season.

Curtis Samuel, Panthers (vs. NO) - The past two weeks, Samuel has totaled 19 targets, 10 catches and 168 yards. This week, he faces a New Orleans defense that is 28th in the league against the pass (271.2 yards allowed per game).

Courtland Sutton, Broncos (vs. CLE) - After Emmanuel Sanders went down last week, it was assumed the talented rookie would step. He didn't last week, but he might Saturday night against a Denzel Ward-less Cleveland defense.


TE

Top 3

Travis Kelce, Chiefs (vs. LAC) - Kelce continues to be unstoppable (he had 77 yards and a touchdown last week), and tonight, he should produce in what looks like it could be a high-scoring affair.

Zach Ertz, Eagles (@ LAR) - The loss of Carson Wentz should not deter you from Ertz, who has been targeted a total of 26 times the past three weeks. In a game where Philly might fall behind early, Ertz will be needed.

Eric Ebron, Colts (vs. DAL) - I thought about George Kittle, who had 210 yards in the first half last week (and zero in the second half), but I'm going with Ebron, who has 36 targets and five touchdown in the last four games in which he's played.

Sleepers

Jared Cook, Raiders (@ CIN) - Cook borders on not being a sleeper (you should start him if you have him), but he did go a bit quiet for a few weeks, only to come back with a bang. He has eclipsed 100 yards each of the past two weeks, and has scored in three of his last four games.

Ian Thomas, Panthers (vs. NO) - Thomas took over when Greg Olsen went down with a season-ending injury, and he's been as productive as Olsen, if not more so. He has 14 catches and 123 yards the past two weeks.

Kyle Rudolph, Vikings (vs. MIA) - It's only a matter of time before Minnesota's top red zone target finds the endzone, right. The good news is, Miami has given up 18 touchdowns to tight ends this season (according to ESPN).


D/ST

Top 3

Jacksonville Jaguars (vs. WAS) - The duo of Josh Johnson and Mark Sanchez don't inspire confidence, and a week after getting trounced by the Giants, they have to face a tougher defense in Jacksonville.

Houston Texans (@ NYJ) - The vaunted Houston defense gets the (whatever the opposite of vaunted is) New York offense this weekend. Sam Darnold will have some trouble against Watt, Clowney and co.

Buffalo Bills (vs. DET) - It's usually a low-scoring game when Buffalo is involved, and the Lions have scored a total of 39 points in their last three contests.

Sleepers

Seattle Seahawks (@ SF) - The Seahawks are rolling (the defense had a touchdown and a blocked field goal Monday night), and, although they have one of the best tight ends in the league, the 49ers still have Nick Mullens at quarterback.

Los Angeles Rams (vs. PHI) - The Rams have been involved in multiple high-scoring games, taking away fantasy value from their defense, but they do have the best player in the league (Aaron Donald) and are playing a backup quarterback (albeit one that won Super Bowl MVP last season).

Atlanta Falcons (vs. ARI) - The Falcons are by no means a good defensive team, but they host the worst offensive team in the league this weekend.


Kicker

Top 3

Greg Zuerlein, Rams (vs. PHI)

Justin Tucker, Ravens (vs. TB)

Harrison Butker, Chiefs (vs. LAC)


Week 15 Game Picks

Record
Last Week: 10-6   vs. Spread: 9-7   Over/Under: 3-13
Season: 127-81   vs. Spread: 101-90-6   Over/Under: 90-113-3

(All Times Eastern)

Thursday

Chargers @ Chiefs (8:20 PM, FOX/NFL Network)

In a battle of elite quarterbacks, I'll go with Patty Mahomes and the host Chiefs.

Spread: KC -3.5   Over/Under: 54.5

Prediction: Chiefs 32, Chargers 28


Saturday

Texans @ Jets (4:30 PM, NFL Network)

It's that time of year when we get Saturday games, but the first one of 2018 isn't that compelling.

Spread: HOU -6.5   Over/Under: 41.5

Prediction: Texans 30, Jets 14


Browns @ Broncos (8:20 PM, NFL Network)

This matchup is more compelling, and I'll take Baker and the surging Browns in it.

Spread: DEN -2.5   Over/Under: 45.5

Prediction: Browns 28, Broncos 24


Sunday

Cardinals @ Falcons (1:00 PM, FOX)

In this battle of beaten birds, the smart money is on Matt Ryan and the host Falcons.

Spread: ATL -9.5   Over/Under: 44

Prediction: Falcons 28, Cardinals 17


Lions @ Bills (1:00 PM, FOX)

Josh Allen and the Bills, despite losing last week, have looked better, and I think they'll beat Detroit.

Spread: BUF -2   Over/Under: 39.5

Prediction: Bills 24, Lions 21


Packers @ Bears (1:00 PM, FOX)

Don't look now, but Aaron Rodgers and co. still have a shot at making the playoffs! I believe!!

Spread: CHI -6   Over/Under: 45

Prediction: Packers 27, Bears 24


Raiders @ Bengals (1:00 PM, CBS)

This... will probably not be a showcase of the best the NFL has to offer. I'll side with the hosts.

Spread: CIN -3   Over/Under: 46

Prediction: Bengals 26, Raiders 21


Cowboys @ Colts (1:00 PM, FOX)

This, on the other hand, will be a compelling game. Once again, I'll side with the hosts.

Spread: IND -3   Over/Under: 47

Prediction: Colts 24, Cowboys 17


Dolphins @ Vikings (1:00 PM, CBS)

This is a must win for Minnesota, and I think the Vikings will get it done at home against Miami.

Spread: MIN -7.5   Over/Under: 44.5

Prediction: Vikings 21, Dolphins 13


Titans @ Giants (1:00 PM, CBS)

The Giants have looked better of late, but I'll take the Titans here in a crucial game for them.

Spread: NYG -2   Over/Under: 43.5

Prediction: Titans 23, Giants 20


Redskins @ Jaguars (1:00 PM, CBS)

This will be an ugly game, which is the kind of games the Jaguars win.

Spread: JAC -7.5   Over/Under: 36

Prediction: Jaguars 29, Redskins 6


Buccaneers @ Ravens (1:00 PM, FOX)

The Ravens, who almost beat the Chiefs with a rookie QB last week, are rolling right now.

Spread: BAL -7.5   Over/Under: 46.5

Prediction: Ravens 27, Buccaneers 17


Seahawks @ 49ers (4:05 PM, FOX)

Seattle is also rolling, but the Niners should be able to keep it close with them.

Spread: SEA -3.5   Over/Under: 44

Prediction: Seahawks 22, 49ers 17


Patriots @ Steelers (4:25 PM, CBS)

New England will not make the mistake of putting Rob Gronkowski on defense again.

Spread: NE -2.5   Over/Under: 52

Prediction: Patriots 31, Steelers 24


Eagles @ Rams (8:20 PM, NBC)

The Rams should bounce back from last week's loss at home in sunny California against the Eagles.

Spread: LAR -11.5   Over/Under: 52.5

Prediction: Rams 34, Eagles 17


Monday

Saints @ Panthers (8:15 PM, ESPN)

The Panthers are on a plane destined to crash into the ocean, and there is nothing they can do.

Spread: NO -6.5   Over/Under: 51.5

Prediction: Saints 38, Panthers 21


Stats and info via ESPN.com and FantasyPros.com
Lines via OddsShark.com
Lines as of Thursday afternoon

Fantasy Football/NFL Week 14 Preview

It's fantasy playoff time, baby (for most leagues)!! Well, unless, of course, you didn't make the playoffs. Then you're just playing for pride (and to not finish last). For those of you who made the playoffs in your fantasy league, congratulations. Now comes the toughest part of the season. Records get thrown out the window. Anything can happen these next three to four weeks, and it will be imperative that you make the right lineup decisions. The margin for error is extremely slim. Good luck.

Who's Jeff Wilson Jr? I'm assuming it's this guy.

Week 14 Picks to Click

QB

Top 3

Drew Brees, Saints (@ TB) - After a surprisingly unproductive performance last week, Drew gets a breezy matchup this week in Tampa. The porous Buccaneer pass defense provides for a great bounce-back opportunity.

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs (vs. BAL) - With or without Kareem Hunt, Patty is an elite quarterback option (he's thrown 10 total touchdown passes his last two games), even against a stout Baltimore defense.

Phillip Rivers, Chargers (vs. CIN) - Phil, who has been on a roll the last two weeks (54-65, 558 yards, five touchdowns, and a(nother) baby), and he should continue rolling against Cincinnati's 31st-ranked pass defense.

Sleepers

Mitchell Trubisky, Bears (vs. LAR) - Mitch returns from a two-week injury-induced sabbatical to face off against the Rams on Sunday night in Chicago. The Bears offense should return to the production it showed before Turbisky got hurt in what could be a high-scoring game.

Baker Mayfield, Browns (vs. CAR) - I refuse to get off the Baker train. Even after throwing three interceptions in a disastrous first half, last week, he came back to throw for 350 yards and a touchdown in the second half.

Lamar Jackson, Ravens (@ KC) - I'll keep riding the LJ train too, as he has another favorable matchup. Kansas City, for all it's offensive brilliance, ranks 31st in the NFL in total defense, which means Lamar should have room to run (and throw).


RB

Top 3

Christian McCaffrey, Panthers (@ CLE) - McCaffrey may not be the top running back in fantasy this season, but he has been the best the last month. CMC has eclipsed 100 total yards each of his last five games, and we'll probably do so again in Cleveland.

Alvin Kamara, Saints (@ TB) - Kamara hasn't found the end zone the past two weeks, but he has continued to be heavily involved. Tampa Bay got shredded by CMC last week (and Matt Breida the week before), so Kamara should bounce back Sunday.

Todd Gurley, Rams (@ CHI) - The most productive back in football this season broke the century mark again last week, making it six times he has rushed for over 100 yards this year. Chicago's defense is tough, but Gurley should get his.

Sleepers

Jaylen Samuels, Steelers (@ OAK) - James Connor is out this week, so it's next man up for the Steelers. That means Samuels, who will try to replicate Connor's (and Le'Veon Bell's) production behind Pittsburgh's skilled offensive line. Also, Oakland's defense ranks 31st against the run.

Jeff Wilson Jr., 49ers (vs. DEN) - With Matt Breida out this week, this guy I had never heard of before this week will get the bulk of the carries for San Francisco. He had 15 carries for 61 yards and eight catches for 73 yards last week against Seattle.

Dion Lewis, Titans (vs. JAX) - After a strong start to the season, Dion has gone dormant the past few weeks. But Tennessee's receiving back could get back on track against a Jacksonville defense that gave up eight catches to Nyheim Hines last week.


WR

Top 3

Antonio Brown, Steelers (@ OAK) - A.B. was called out by Big Ben last week, and he responded with 154 yards and a touchdown against the Chargers. He should torch an Oakland defense that got shredded by Travis Kelce last week.

Michael Thomas, Saints (@ TB) - Thomas has been held in check the past two weeks, but he is primed for a bounce-back performance against a Tampa Bay defense that has had trouble containing opposing receivers this season.

Keenan Allen, Chargers (vs. CIN) - Phillip River's favorite throwing partner was targeted 19 times Sunday night, and he reeled in 14 of those targets for 148 yards and a touchdown. There's no stopping Allen, and the Bengals can't stop anyone right now.

Sleepers

Courtland Sutton, Broncos (@ SF) - With the unfortunate news that Emmanuel Sanders tore his Achilles in practice this week, Sutton becomes Denver's number one receiver. Go ahead, name another healthy receiver currently on the Broncos.

Jarvis Landry, Browns (vs. CAR) - Just when you thought he was dead, Cleveland's big free agent acquisition came back to life against Houston, hauling in six passes for 103 yards. The most trusted and experienced receiver on the Browns could keep it going against Carolina.

Adam Humphries, Buccaneers (vs. NO) - Humphries has quickly emerged as one of Jameis Winston's top options, as he has scored a touchdown each of the last three weeks (and five in the last five games). The struggles of New Orleans' pass defense are well-documented.


TE

Top 3

Travis Kelce, Chiefs (vs. BAL) - Kelce has solidified himself as the best tight end in football (and one of the best offensive players in football) the past two weeks, totaling 295 yards and three touchdowns on 22 catches.

Zach Ertz, Eagles (@ DAL) - Although the Philadelphia offense has struggled a little, Ertz hasn't been affected that much, The talented tight end has six touchdowns on the season, and is approaching 1,000 receiving yards.

George Kittle, 49ers (vs. DEN) - Kittle doesn't have a touchdown the last three weeks, but 32 total targets, 21 total catches, 201 total receiving yards, and even 10 rushing yards. He's bound to find the end zone this week with his heavy usage.

Sleepers

Jimmy Graham, Packers (vs. ATL) - Jimmy hasn't been all that productive this season, but he was targeted a season-high 11 times last week, and he faces a weak Atlanta defense this week. Plus, maybe the firing of Mike McCarthy will invigorate this stagnant offense.

Vance McDonald, Steelers (@ OAK) - The most ferocious stiff-armer in the NFL (unconfirmed) has seen a consistently healthy target share, and this week he matches up against a defense that gave up 168 yards and two touchdowns to Travis Kelce last week.

Evan Engram, Giants (@ WAS) - I'm putting Engram here mostly for my sake, since I'm starting him in a playoff macthup after losing Greg Olsen last week. EE has had trouble staying healthy this season, but he can be productive when he is on the field.


D/ST

Top 3

Buffalo Bills (vs. NYJ) - While the offense has been a mess, the Bills own one of the better defenses in football. The last time they played the Jets (three weeks ago), they won 42-10 and scored a defensive touchdown.

Los Angeles Chargers (vs. CIN) - The L.A. defense, which recently got pass-rusher Joey Bosa back and had a punt return for a touchdown Sunday night, faces Jeff Driskel and the hapless Bengals Sunday at home.

Tennessee Titans (@ TEN) - The struggles of the Jacksonville defense are well-documented. Cody Kessler and company won last week, but they only scored six points. Against a solid Tennessee defense, this could be another low-scoring game.

Sleepers

Dallas Cowboys (vs. PHI) - The Eagles have had some offensive struggles this season, and Dallas did just hold a historically good New Orleans offense to just 10 points last Thursday.

Houston Texans (vs. IND) - Andrew Luck and the Indy offense was rolling before laying a goose egg last week against the tough Jacksonville defense. Things don't get any easier on the road against Houston's talented defense.

Detroit Lions (@ ARI) - Detroit has not played well this season, but the Arizona offense has scored 20 or more points just twice this season.


K

Top 3

Will Lutz, Saints (@ TB) - The Saints offense should rebound against a weak Tampa Bay defense, which means Lutz should also rebound.

Harrison Butker (vs. BAL) - Harrison should continue kicking butt this week, and he might be called upon more against a talented Baltimore defense.

Greg Zuerlein, Rams (@ CHI) - Like Butker, Greg the Leg could be called upon more this week against a defense good enough to keep his talented offense out of the end zone.


Week 14 Game Picks

(Note: Yes, I realize I somehow forgot about the San Francisco-Seattle game last week. I apologize.)

Record
Last Week: 8-7   vs. Spread: 6-8-1   Over/Under: 8-7
Season: 117-75   vs. Spread: 92-83-6   Over/Under: 87-100-3

Thursday

Jaguars @ Titans (8:20 PM, FOX)

In this division rivalry between two offensively-challenged teams, I'll go with the hosts.

Spread: TEN -5.5   Over/Under: 37

Prediction: Titans 20, Jaguars 13


Sunday

Panthers @ Browns (1:00 PM, FOX)

I was a little overzealous about the Browns last week, but the Panthers have lost four in a row.

Spread: CAR -1.5   Over/Under: 47

Prediction: Browns 31, Panthers 28


Jets @ Bills (1:00 PM, CBS)

The last time these two played, the Bills won big, and I think they'll win again (but not as big).

Spread: BUF -3.5   Over/Under: 38.5

Prediction: Bills 27, Jets 13


Falcons @ Packers (1:00 PM, FOX)

In this battle of fallen teams, I'll go with interim coach Joe Philbin and the Packers.

Spread: GB -5   Over/Under: 50.5

Prediction: Packers 27, Falcons 14


Ravens @ Chiefs (1:00 PM, CBS)

Lamar Jackson hasn't lost as a starter, but I think that will change after a meeting with the Chiefs.

Spread: KC -6.5   Over/Under: 51.5

Prediction: Chiefs 31, Ravens 24


Patriots @ Dolphins (1:00 PM, CBS)

The season is winding down, which means Bill Belichick and the Patriots have hit their stride.

Spread: NE -7.5   Over/Under: 47

Prediction: Patriots 32, Dolphins 17


Saints @ Buccaneers (1:00 PM, FOX)

The Saints should bounce back against a Buccaneers defense that's not as good as the Cowboys'.

Spread: NO -8.5   Over/Under: 55.5

Prediction: Saints 38, Buccaneers 28


Giants @ Redskins (1:00 PM, FOX)

While New York just upset the Bears, Washington just lost it's second quarterback this season.

Spread: NYG -3.5   Over/Under: 41

Prediction: Giants 21, Redskins 13


Colts @ Texans (1:00 PM, CBS)

The Texans have won nine straight games, while the Colts scored zero points last game.

Spread: HOU -4.5   Over/Under: 49.5

Prediction: Texans 24, Colts 17 


Bengals @ Chargers (4:05 PM, CBS)

The Chargers, coming off a big Sunday night win over Pittsburgh, should roll the struggling Bengals.

Spread: LAC -14   Over/Under: 47.5

Prediction: Chargers 33, Bengals 17


Broncos @ 49ers (4:05 PM, CBS)

Even without Emmanuel Sanders, Denver shouldn't have too many problems against the Niners.

Spread: DEN -4   Over/Under: 45.5

Prediction: Broncos 27, 49ers 19


Eagles @ Cowboys (4:25 PM, FOX)

The 'Boys are riding high right now, so I'll stick with the hot hand in Arlington.

Spread: DAL -3.5   Over/Under: 44

Prediction: Cowboys 21, Eagles 17


Steelers @ Raiders (4:25 PM, CBS)

Oakland, which stuck with Kansas City last week, won't make it easy, but Pittsburgh should win.

Spread: PIT -10.5   Over/Under: 51.5

Prediction: Steelers 31, Raiders 23


Lions @ Cardinals (4:25 PM, CBS)

Arizona may have beaten Green Bay last weekend, but I'll give this one to Detroit.

Spread: DET -3   Over/Under: 40.5

Prediction: Lions 24, Cardinals 17


Rams @ Bears (8:20 PM, NBC)

The Bears will give the Rams a run for their money in Chicago, but L.A. is just more talented.

Spread: LAR -3   Over/Under: 51.5

Prediction: Rams 30, Bears 24


Monday

Vikings @ Seahawks (8:15 PM, ESPN)

The Vikings will make this one interesting, but Seattle is on fire right now.

Spread: SEA -3   Over/Under: 45.5

Prediction: Seahawks 27, Vikings 21


Stats and info via ESPN.com, FantasyPros.com, and NFL.com
Lines via OddsShark.com
Lines as of Thursday Afternoon