Thursday, November 17, 2016

NFL Week 11 Picks

Finally, an exciting week of NFL games! The 2016 NFL season so far has been highlighted (or, should I say, lowlighted) by dropping ratings and ugly primetime games. That was not the case last week. Sunday afternoon was filled with marquee matchups and exciting finishes, and both the Sunday night game (a 31-24 Seahawks win over the Patriots) and Monday night game (a 21-20 Gianst victory over the Bengals) were nail-biters. Let's hope for more weeks like that in the latter part of the season.

Last Week: 7-6 (8-5 vs. Spread)
Overall: 85-59 (76-69 vs. Spread)

(Home Team Listed Last)

Thursday
Saints 35, Panthers 21 (8:25 PM, NBC)
New Orleans dropped a heartbreaker to Denver last week, while Carolina blew a 17-0 lead against Kansas City (which I blame on Cam Newton bringing the dab back). The Panthers have looked better of late, but they can't stop the Saints offense (as evidenced by a 41-38 loss four weeks ago).

Sunday
Steelers 32, Browns 28 (1:00 PM, CBS)
I do think the 0-10 Browns can keep it close against the 4-5 Steelers, but being the Browns, they'll find a way to lose. I do think Hue Jackson will not bench Cody Kessler again (it worked horribly last week), and I think he'll play better. Still, Big Ben and the Steelers own the Browns.
Ravens 17, Cowboys 28 (1:00 PM, CBS)
How 'bout them Cowboys! Everything is going well for the 8-1 'Boys, including the quarterback controversy that never was. Tony Romo graciously relinquished the reigns to rookie Dak Prescott in a press conference this week.
Jaguars 21, Lions 24 (1:00 PM, CBS)
The Lions are in first place! Hopefully, they can hold on to that, but you never can be sure with the Lions. Luckily for Detroit, it gets to face 2-7 Jacksonville this weekend. This game will probably be decided by a Matt Prater field goal.
Titans 38, Colts 31 (1:00 PM, CBS)
Marcus Mariota has looked very good recently, especially last week, when he outplayed Aaron Rodgers in a blowout of Green Bay. Tennessee did lose to Indianapolis four weeks ago, but I think Mariota, DeMarco Murray, and the Titans will take this one.
Bills 21, Bengals 17 (1:00 PM, CBS)
The Bengals lost a very close one to the Giants on Monday night. Expect another close game when they take on the Bills, another team that has some very good players, but hasn't been great so far this season. Buffalo will squeak by.
Buccaneers 13, Chiefs 27 (1:00 PM, FOX)
The Bucs did pick up a win over the Bears last week, but it is the Bears. The 7-2 Chiefs, who extended their winning streak to five games last week with a comeback victory over Carolina, are a different story.
Bears 14, Giants 31 (1:00 PM, FOX)
Speaking of the Bears, Jay Cutler did not look great in last week's blowout loss, throwing two interceptions. He might look a little better this week (or maybe not), but he won't look as good as Eli and the streaking Giants.
Cardinals 17, Vikings 14 (1:00 PM, FOX)
The Vikings have lost four in a row after starting 5-0, as the injuries and line struggles on the offensive side of the ball are catching up to them, and the defense hasn't been as dominant as it was the first five games. I have the Cards by a field goal.
Dolphins 27, Rams 17 (4:05 PM, FOX)
If the Rams don't score a touchdown on Sunday, I think they'll win. Jeff Fisher is finally freeing first overall pick Jared Goff, staring him over Case Keenum on Sunday. I think he'll look a little better than Keenum, but he still doesn't have a great offensive line.
Patriots 38, 49ers 14 (4:25 PM, CBS)
This game might get ugly. New England dropped its second game of the season last Sunday night, and Rob Gronkowski probably won't play, but the 1-8 49ers are second worst team in the NFL, and they haven't won since Week 1.
Packers 32, Redskins 35 (8:30 PM, NBC)
The Packers are a bit of a mess, and its not Aaron Rodgers' fault. It's hard when the defense isn't great, the receivers can't get open, and the team keeps having to add new running backs (they added Christine Michael this week). A loss to Washington Sunday night will make it four in a row.
Texans 24, Raiders 31 (Mexico City, 8:30 PM, ESPN)
I want to believe in Brock Osweiler, but he hasn't looked good this season (the good news is, the Texans have Lamar Miller). I can and do believe in the 7-2 Raiders, who have looked outstanding this season, and will probably take this one in Mexico.

Week 12 CFB Picks

Well.

A lot happened last weekend, and it threw a very large wrench in the playoff rankings. First, #3 Clemson lost to Pittsburgh on a game-winning field goal as time expired (by a kicker with the name Blewitt, no less). Later Saturday evening, #4 Washington fell to USC, and #2 Michigan was ousted by Iowa on a last-second field goal. Luckily for Michigan and Clemson, Washington's loss (and the fact that there aren't many one-loss teams with very strong cases for the playoff) kept them in the playoff committee's top four.

Last Week: 14-8 (13-8 vs. Spread)
Overall: 146-54 (101-103 vs. Spread)

(Home Team Listed Last)

Thursday
#5 Louisville 35, Houston 38 (8:00 PM, ESPN)
This game looked a lot more appealing early in the season, when Houston beat Oklahoma and looked like a potential playoff contender. Since then, the Cougars have lost twice, but they still have the talent and coaching (and home-field advantage) to pull off the upset.

Friday
UNLV 24, #20 Boise State 48 (9:00 PM, ESPN2)
The 4-6 Rebels are fresh off a wild 69-66 win against Wyoming, which happens to be the one team Boise State has lost to. Despite that, don't expect the Blue Field Broncos, who are still in the hunt for a New Year's Six bowl bid, to fall victim to the upset.

Saturday
#2 Ohio State 52, Michigan State 17 (Noon, ESPN)
After a shaky October, the Buckeyes have rolled through Nebraska and Maryland, and now find themselves at #2. If they win out (even if they don't win the Big Ten), they're in. The 3-7 Spartans are not what they were last season, when they upset Ohio State in Columbus.
#11 Oklahoma State 48, TCU 45 (Noon, FS1)
The Cowboys squeaked by Texas Tech last week, 45-44. It may be another close on this week on the road against the 5-4 Horned Frogs, who dismantled Baylor last week by 40. Oklahoma State needs to win to keep pace with Oklahoma and set up a de facto Big 12 championship game next week.
Texas San Antonio 7, #25 Texas A&M 38 (Noon, ESPNU)
It's cupcake week for a few of the SEC's top teams, including Texas A&M, which needs an easy week after losing to Mississippi State and Ole Miss in back-to-back weeks (dropping the Aggies from #4 two weeks ago to #25 now).
Maryland 24, #18 Nebraska 40 (Noon, ESPNN)
The Cornhuskers bounced back with a win over Minnesota last week after getting lambasted by Ohio State the week before, while the Terrapins had the honor of getting trucked by the Buckeyes last week. Nebraska, which needs Wisconsin to lose to win the Big Ten West, should roll.
#7 Wisconsin 42, Purdue 7 (Noon, ABC)
Speaking of Wisconsin, the Badgers have what should be an easy test this weekend in West Lafeyette against the 3-7 Boilermakers, who have lost their last five games. If Wisconsin wins this game (which they should) and next week against Minnesota, its in the Big Ten Championship.
#23 Florida 13, #16 LSU 16 (1:00 PM, SECN)
This is the game that was rescheduled due to Hurricane Matthew. LSU has looked good recently, playing close with Alabama and cruising past Arkansas a week after the Razorbacks beat the Gators. It'll be a battle, but the Tigers will come out on top.
Oregon 31, #12 Utah 48 (2:00 PM)
This is not the Oregon Ducks everyone has grown accustomed to. This season, the Ducks are 3-7 and 1-6 in the Pac-12. The Utes, who may be playing Colorado for Pac-12 South next week, shouldn't have any problem at home against Oregon.
Missouri 14, #19 Tennessee 35 (3:30 PM, CBS)
At 3-7 and 1-5 in the SEC, Mizzou is also having a down year. The Tigers are coming off a win over Vandy, however, so the Volunteers, who have played tight with some inferior teams, might struggle. I don't think they will this week at home, though.
#22 Washington State 45, #10 Colorado 38 (3:30 PM, FOX)
This is a key game in terms of the Pac-12 Championship race, and its between two pleasant surprises. The Buffs, who's only two losses are to Michigan and USC, are a very good team, but I believe in the pass-happy Cougars, who haven't lost since the second week of the season.
Indiana 21, #3 Michigan 35 (3:30 PM, ESPN)
Although Michigan suffered its first loss of the season last Saturday against Iowa, the Wolverines are still right in the thick of things. They have to be careful with an Indiana team that's played some good teams close, especially without Wilton Speight, but I think they will get the win.
Buffalo 7, #21 Western Michigan 45 (3:30 PM, ESPU)
College Gameday is in Kalamazoo Saturday as the 10-0 Broncos continue their rowing quest for an undefeated season. If they win out and win the MAC, they should be in a New Year's Six bowl. They should have no problem with 2-8 Buffalo this week.
#17 Florida State 35, Syracuse 14 (3:30 PM, ABC/ESPN2)
Fun fact: Florida State has as many wins against teams currently ranked in the CFP top 25 as Syracuse does (zero). However, the Seminoles are much more talented, and should come out with the win on Saturday.
#24 Stanford 46, California 32 (5:30 PM, PAC12N)
After a four-week stretch where Stanford lost three games, the Cardinal have gotten back on track. winning their last three. 4-6 Cal has a couple solid wins, but the Bears are definitely not as good as Stanford.
Chattanooga 3, #1 Alabama 55 (7:00 PM, ESPN2)
Maybe if this were basketball, Chattanooga would have a chance at pulling the upset. But in football, Chattanooga has little to no chance against the Crimson Tide, even if they are a pretty 8-2. The Tide should roll through this practical bye week.
#4 Clemson 42, Wake Forest 17 (7:00 PM, ESPN)
Wake Forest kept up with Louisville for about three quarters last week, while Clemson fell to Pittsburgh. The Tigers, like Michigan, are still right in the thick of things, and while Wake may keep it close, Clemson should pull away.
Alabama A&M 0, #15 Auburn 48 (7:30 PM, SECN)
Another FCS cupcake in the SEC. Auburn suffered a crushing defeat at the hands of Georgia last week, eliminating the Tigers from the SEC Championship race. Regardless, they can take out their frustrations on 4-6 Alabama A&M.
Arizona State 20, #6 Washington 52 (7:30 PM, FOX)
After falling last week to USC, the Huskies are still in the thick of things, but not in as comfortable a position as Michigan and Clemson. Washington is probably looking ahead to a tilt with Washington State next week to see who goes to the Pac-12 Championship.
#9 Oklahoma 48, #14 West Virginia 35 (8:00 PM, ABC)
Although the Big 12 is on the outside looking in as far as the College Football Playoff is concerned, this game is still a big one in the race for the conference. Oklahoma has faced a lot tougher competition than West Virginia, and I think the Sooners are a much better team.
#8 Penn State 45, Rutgers 14 (8:00 PM, BTN)
Penn State just needs to beat 2-8 Rutgers and 3-7 Michigan State, since the Nittany Lions hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over Ohio State. The Scarlet Knights' two wins this season came against Howard and New Mexico.
#13 USC 42, UCLA 28 (10:30 PM, ESPN)
If UCLA still had quarterback Josh Rosen, I might like their chance more. USC looked mighty impressive in a win over Washington last week, and although this may be close, since its a rivalry game (and a late night Pac-12 game), the Trojans should emerge victorious.

Saturday, November 12, 2016

NFL Week 10 Picks

In the wake of Tuesday's Presidential election, there has been a lot of negativity in this country. Even not taking into account the election, there is still a lot of negativity. So in this week's NFL picks, I will just say positive things, because nobody likes negativity. It'll be easier to do since the Browns already played this week.


Last Week: 11-2 (9-4 vs. Spread)
Overall: 78-53 (68-64 vs. Spread)

(The Ravens beat the Browns 28-7 on Thursday night)

(Home Team Listed Last)

Sunday
Packers 34, Titans 21 (1:00 PM, FOX)
Aaron Rodgers is just fine. After throwing 10 touchdown passes and four interceptions the first five games combined, he has thrown 10 touchdowns and one pick the last three weeks. He and the Pack will face a Titans team that is third in the NFL in rushing.
Vikings 24, Redskins 28 (1:00 PM, FOX)
Despite dropping three in a row, Minnesota still owns the best scoring defense in the NFL, and still leads the NFC North. After a first week blowout loss to Pittsburgh, Washington is 4-2-1, with those two losses coming by a combined seven points.
Bears 21, Buccaneers 32 (1:00 PM, FOX)
Jay Cutler is back under center for the Bears, which means good things for Alshon Jeffery, who had his first touchdown catch of the season in a win over the Vikings last week. Tampa's Mike Evans leads all receivers in touchdowns with eight on the season.
Chiefs 24, Panthers 17 (1:00 PM, CBS)
The 6-2 Chiefs have won four in a row, and have only allowed 20 or more points twice (both wins). The Panthers have won two straight, and despite not having the best season thus far, they are still in the top ten in rushing yards as a team.
Falcons 35, Eagles 28 (1:00 PM, FOX)
Matt Ryan (who leads the NFL in passing yards) and the Falcons have the best offense in the league, and they currently lead the NFC South. The Eagles are 4-4, but all four of their losses have come by one possession.
Rams 21, Jets 24 (1:00 PM, FOX)
The L.A. Rams have one of the best defenses in the NFL, and they've come very close to winning in their last two games. Jets running back Matt Forte has shown he still has it so far this season, running for 634 yards and seven touchdowns.
Broncos 24, Saints 31 (1:00 PM, CBS)
Denver, unsurprisingly, has been one of the best defensive teams in the league this season. New Orleans, unsurprisingly, has been one of the best offensive teams in the league this season (and the top passing team).
Texans 27, Jaguars 16 (1:00 PM, CBS)
Houston continues to lead the AFC South (by over one game), largely thanks to their defense (even without J.J. Watt) and running game (namely Lamar Miller). The Jaguars have one of the coolest helmets in the NFL.
Dolphins 30, Chargers 33 (4:05 PM, CBS)
Jay Ajayi has been a revelation for the Dolphins. Here are his rushing yard totals the last three games (all wins): 204, 214, 111. Phillip Rivers (fourth in the NFL in passing yards) and Melvin Gordon (third in rushing yards) highlight one of the most prolific offenses in the league.
Cowboys 38, Steelers 31 (4:25 PM, FOX)
Dallas, behind rookie sensations Dak Prescott and Zeke Elliott, has been (along with New England) the best team in the league. Good news for the Steelers: they've activated tight end Ladarius Green from the Physically Unable to Perform (PUP) list, giving Big Ben another talented target.
49ers 14, Cardinals 32 (4:25 PM, FOX)
San Francisco running back Carlos Hyde is in the top ten in the league in rushing touchdowns despite missing two games. Arizona's defense has been (once again) lethal. The most points they've allowed in a game this season is 21.
Seahawks 28, Patriots 35 (8:30 PM, NBC)
This should be a great game. The Pats have rolled through most of the teams they've played (just two of their seven wins - the first two - have been by one score). Seattle's defense has once again been stifling this season.

Monday
Bengals 27, Giants 30 (8:30 PM, ESPN)
Andy Dalton is in the top ten in the league in both passing yards and passing touchdowns so far this season. The Giants have won three straight, and Odell Beckham Jr. has had four total touchdowns in those three games.

Early Season Tournament Preview

It's that time of year again. Air is getting colder, days are getting shorter, more flannels are being worn, and most importantly of all, college basketball is back. The season is only hours old and already it has produced some outstandingly entertaining games.

One of the highlights of the beginning of college hoops season are the early basketball tournaments. Teams can make a name for themselves and pick up some quality wins that could help them out on Selection Sunday. Since I'm such a nice guy, I've compiled a list of what should be the top ten early season tournaments, as well as making some predictions for each.

If you didn't see your favorite team, or you're just curious about what's going on in the other tournaments not mentioned, here's a link to a complete list of the early season tournaments. Click Here.

*Times are subject to change and are listed in Eastern Time.

10. CBE Hall of Fame Classic

Dates - 11/21-11/22

Location - Kansas City, Missouri

Semi-Final Matchups (Winner in Bold) - 11/21
George Washington vs Georgia (7 PM ESPN U)
Kansas vs UAB (9 PM ESPN 2) 

Consolation Game - 11/22
George Washington vs UAB (7:30 PM ESPN 3)

Championship Game - 11/22
Georgia vs Kansas (9:30 PM ESPN 2)

Most Interesting Matchup - George Washington vs Georgia (Semi-Final Game)
George Washington is year-in-year-out a solid mid-major team who has given power conference teams problems, while Georgia is a team that always seems to be on the cusp of being a very competitive team.

Most Interesting (Potential) Matchup - Georgia vs Kansas (Championship Game)
I do not expect either of the final matchups to be overly competitive matchups, so this game was almost chosen by default, since it is the championship game. 



9. Hall of Fame Tip-Off Tournament

Dates - 11/19-11/20

Location - Uncasville, Connecticut 

Semi-Final Matchups (Winner in Bold) - 11/19
Duke vs Penn State (12:30 PM ESPN 3) 
Cincinnati vs Rhode Island (3 PM ESPN 3)

Consolation Game - 11/20
Penn State vs Rhode Island (3:30 PM ESPN 2)

Championship Game - 11/20
Duke vs Cincinatti (1 PM ESPN) 

Most Interesting Matchup - Duke vs Penn State (Semi-Final Game)
I entirely expect Duke to win by double digits, but a Penn State team that continues to improve every year should give them all they can handle. 

Most Interesting (Potential) Matchup - Duke vs Cincinnati (Championship Game)
Again, I entirely expect Duke to pull this one out, but Cinci should put up a good fight against the Blue Devils. 


8. 2K Classic

Dates - 11/17-11/18

Location - New York City, New York

Semi-Final Matchups (Winner in Bold) - 11/17
Pittsburgh vs SMU (7 PM ESPN 2)
Michigan vs Marquette (9:30 PM ESPN 2)

Consolation Game - 11/18
SMU vs Marquette (4:30 PM ESPN 2)

Championship Game - 11/18
Pittsburgh vs Michigan (7 PM ESPN 2)

Most Interesting Matchup - Michigan vs Marquette
Most games in this tournament should be entertaining, but the matchup of Michigan and Marquette should be a battle. 

Most Interesting (Potential) Matchup - Pittsburgh vs Michigan (Championship Game)
These are two teams that would benefit from having an extra win over a power conference team at the end of the year, so they'll both be playing hard to get it.



7. Emerald Coast Classic

Dates - 11/25-11/26

Location - Niceville, Florida

Semi-Final Matchups (Winner in Bold) - 11/25
Virginia vs Iowa (6 PM CBS Sports Network)
Providence vs Memphis (8:30 PM CBS Sports Network)

Consolation Game - 11/26
Iowa vs Providence (3 PM)

Championship Game - 11/26
Virginia vs Memphis (6PM CBS Sports Network)

Most Interesting Matchup - Virginia vs Iowa
Two of the better coaches in the nation get to face off in the first round of this tournament. 

Most Interesting (Potential) Matchup - Iowa vs Providence (Consolation Game)
Two teams that have lost key players since last year get to try to prove they can move on from those loses. 


6. Wooden Legacy 

Dates: 11/24-27

Location - Anaheim, California

Quarter-Final Matchups (Winner in Bold) - 11/24
Texas A&M vs CSUN (2 PM ESPN 3)
New Mexico vs Virginia Tech (4:30 PM ESPN)
Dayton vs Nebraska (8:30 PM ESPN U)
Portland vs UCLA (11 PM ESPN 2) 

Consolation Semi-Final Games - 11/25
CSUN vs New Mexico (3 PM ESPN U)
Nebraska vs Portland (9:30 PM ESPN 3)

Championship Semi-Final Games - 11/25
Texas A&M vs Virginia Tech (5:30 PM ESPN 2)
Dayton vs UCLA (Midnight ESPN 2)

7th-8th Place Game - 11/27
CSUN vs Portland (11 PM ESPN U)

5th-6th Place Game - 11/27
New Mexico vs Nebraska (2 PM ESPN U)

3rd-4th Place Game - 11/27
Virginia Tech vs Dayton (4 PM ESPN U)

Championship Game - 11/27
Texas A&M vs UCLA (8:30 PM ESPN)

Most Interesting Matchup - New Mexico vs Virginia Tech
VT should be much improved coming into this season, while New Mexico remains one of the tougher mid-major outs. 

Most Interesting (Potential) Matchup - Virginia Tech vs Dayton (3rd-4th Place Game)
The more improved VT team gets to play one of the most consistent mid-major teams around. 


5. AdvoCare Invitational

Dates - 11/24-11/27

Location - Orlando, Florida

Quarter-Final Matchups (Winner in Bold) - 11/24
Indiana State vs Iowa State (12:30 PM ESPN or ESPN U)
Stanford vs Miami (2:30 PM ESPN or ESPN U)
Gonzaga vs Quinnipiac (6:30 PM ESPN 2)
Seton Hall vs Florida (8:30 PM ESPN 2)

Consolation Semi-Final Games - 11/25
Indiana State vs Miami (1 PM ESPN 3)
Quinnipiac vs Seton Hall (7:30 PM EPSN 2)

Championship Semi Games - 11/25
Iowa State vs Stanford (11 AM ESPN 2)
Gonzaga vs Florida (9:30 PM ESPN 2)

7th-8th Place Game - 11/27
Indiana State vs Quinnipiac (11 AM ESPN 3)

5th-6th Place Game - 11/27
Miami vs Seton Hall (7 PM ESPN U)

3rd-4th Place Game - 11/27
Stanford vs Florida (4:30 PM ESPN 2)

Championship Game - 11/27
Iowa State vs Gonzaga (1:30 PM ESPN)

Most Interesting Matchup - Stanford vs Miami 
This was one of the hardest games for me to pick, and I could easily see it going to opposite way, which I have it picked.

Most Interesting (Potential) Matchup -  Iowa State vs Gonzaga (Championship Game)
If this ends up being the finals of this tournament, get ready for an offensive war between two of the country's best scoring teams.


4. Legends Classic

Dates - 11/21-11/22

Location - Brooklyn, New York

Semi-Final Matchups (Winners in Bold) - 11/21
Notre Dame vs Colorado (7 PM ESPN 2)
Texas vs Northwestern (9:30 PM ESPN 3)

Consolation Game - 11/22
Colorado vs Northwestern (3:30 PM ESPN U)

Championship Game - 11/22
Notre Dame vs Texas (6 PM ESPN 2)

Most Interesting Matchup - Texas vs Northwestern
Texas is looking to make a big leap forward under Shaka Smart, and Northwestern is looking to continue to steadily improve under Chris Collins.

Most Interesting (Potential Matchup) - Notre Dame vs Texas (Championship Game)
Notre Dame has been consistently good over the past few years, while Texas plays a highly aggressive style that's hard to handle. 


3. Tire Pros Puerto Rice Tip-Off

Dates - 11/17-11/20

Location - Orlando, Florida

Quarter-Final Matchups (Winner in Bold) - 11/17
Clemson vs Davidson (11 AM ESPN U)
Xavier vs Missouri (1 PM ESPN U)
Northern Iowa vs Arizona State (4:30 PM ESPN U)
Tulane vs Oklahoma (7 PM ESPN 2 or ESPN U)

Consolation Semi-Final Games - 11/18
Davidson vs Missouri (11:30 AM ESPN U)
Arizona State vs Tulane (5 PM ESPN U)

Championship Semi-Final Games - 11/18
Clemson vs Xavier (1:30 PM ESPN U)
Northern Iowa vs Oklahoma (7 PM ESPN U)

7th-8th Place Game -11/20
Missouri vs Tulane (Noon ESPN 3)

5th-6th Place Game - 11/20
Davidson vs Arizona State (2:30 PM ESPN U)

3rd-4th Place Game - 11/20
Clemson vs Northern Iowa (5 PM ESPN U)

Championship Game -11/20
Xavier vs Oklahoma (7:30 PM ESPN 2)

Most Interesting Matchup - Northern Iowa vs Arizona State
UNI played two of the most entertaining games of March Madness last season, and Arizona State looks to continue to improve in their second season under Bobby Hurley.

Most Interesting (Potential) Matchup - Xavier vs Oklahoma (Championship Game)
A game between a final four team and one of last year's biggest surprises. We'll have to see if Xavier can equal last year's success, and how Oklahoma bounces back after losing a lot of experience from last year's team.


2. Battle 4 Atlantis

Dates - 11/23-11/25

Location - Paradise Island, Bahamas 

Quarter-Final Matchups (Winner in Bold) -11/23
Witchita State vs LSU (Noon ESPN 2)
Baylor vs VCU (2:30 PM ESPN 2)
Michigan State vs St. John's (7 PM AXS TV)
Old Dominion vs Louisville (9:30 PM AXS TV)

Consolation Semi-Final Games - 11/24
St. John's vs VCU (7 PM AXS TV)
LSU vs Old Dominion (9:30 PM AXS TV)

Championship Semi-Final Games - 11/24
Michigan State vs Baylor (Noon ESPN)
Witchita State vs Louisville (2:30 PM ESPN)

7th-8th Place Game - 11/25
St. John's vs Old Dominion (9:30 PM AXS TV)

5th-6th Place Game - 11/25
VCU vs LSU (7 PM AXS TV)

3rd-4th Place Game - 11/25
Baylor vs Witchita State (1 PM ESPN or ESPN 2)

Championship Game - 11/25
Michigan State vs Louisville (3:30 PM ESPN or ESPN 2)

Most Interesting Matchup - Baylor vs VCU
This will be a matchup between two teams that are normally among the most athletic in the nation.

Most Interesting (Potential) Matchup - Michigan State vs Louisville (Championship Game)
For fans of early season battles between consistent powerhouse programs, this game should be a must-watch. 


1. Maui Invitational

Dates - 11/21-11/23

Location - Maui, Hawai'i

Quarter-Final Matchups (Winner in Bold) -11/21
Tennessee vs Wisconsin (2:30 PM ESPN 2)
Georgetown vs Oregon (4:30 PM ESPN 2)
Oklahoma State vs UCONN (9 PM ESPN U)
North Carolina vs Chaminade (11:30 PM ESPN 2)

Consolation Semi-Final Games - 11/22
Tennessee vs Georgetown (1:30 PM ESPN 2)
Oklahoma State vs Chaminade (3:30 PM ESPN 2)

Championship Semi-Final Games - 11/22
Wisconsin vs Oregon (8 PM ESPN 2)
UCONN vs North Carolina (10:30 PM ESPN)

7th-8th Place Game - 11/23
Tennessee vs Chaminade (2 PM ESPN U)

5th-6th Place Game - 11/23
Georgetown vs Oklahoma State (4:30 PM ESPN 2)

3rd-4th Place Game - 11/23
Oregon vs UCONN (7:30 PM ESPN 2)

Championship Game - 11/23
Wisconsin vs North Carolina (9:30 PM ESPN 2)

Most Interesting Matchup - Georgetown vs Oregon
The Maui Invitation is insanely tough this year. There are three games in the opening day that I could have picked, but I think these two teams match up well against each other and should make for an entertaining game. 

Most Interesting (Potential) Matchup - Wisconsin vs Oregon (Semi-Final Game)
Again, there are so many games I could have put in this spot, but a matchup of two preseason top ten teams in the semi-finals is too good to pass up. If you're a basketball fan, you better be watching on days two and three of this tournament. 

EmerPenn St. Loser vs Cincinnati/Rhode Island Lose

Thursday, November 10, 2016

Week 11 CFB Picks


We continue getting closer and closer to the fateful day: the selection of the four teams in the playoff. A potential controversy was extinguished when #4 Texas A&M lost last weekend, elevating unbeaten Washington to the final playoff spot. A lot more shuffling in the rankings can (and probably will) take place between now and the end of the season.

Note: I just realized I did not put a predicted score for Boise State last week, so that game does not count towards my record against the spread.

Last Week: 18-3 (8-12 vs. Spread)
Overall: 132-46 (88-95 vs. Spread)

(#23 Western Michigan beat Kent State 37-21 in Tuesday's MACtion. I forgot to make a prediction, probably because there was some more important event going on Tuesday, I think)

(Home Team Listed Last)

Thursday
#17 North Carolina 40, Duke 24 (7:30 PM, ESPN)
This matchup isn't quite as enticing on the football field as it is on the basketball court, but it might still be an interesting game. These teams are going in opposite directions, as UNC has won three in a row, while 3-6 Duke has lost its last three.
#15 Utah 32, Arizona State 24 (9:30 PM, FS1)
This should be a pretty competitive Thursday night PAC-12 matchup. Both teams are coming off losses, but while Utah's was by seven points to unbeaten Washington two weeks ago, ASU's was its third straight, a 19-point drubbing to Oregon last week.
Friday
Boston College 14, #18 Florida State 38 (7:30 PM, ESPN2)
After falling just short against Clemson, the Seminoles struggled in a 24-20 win over NC State last weekend. Boston College got stomped by Louisville last week and Clemson earlier in the season, and the Eagles will probably get stomped by Florida State as well.
Saturday
#16 West Virginia 38, Texas 42 (Noon, FS1)
Although the Big 12 is basically eliminated from the College Football Playoff, there are some big conference matchups Saturday. One of those is between the one-loss Mountaineers and the Longhorns, who have pulled off two straight wins (against Baylor and Texas Tech).
Baylor 35, #11 Oklahoma 52 (Noon, ABC/ESPN2)
Another key Big 12 battle Saturday is the Bears, coming off their first two losses of the season, going to Norman to take on the lone unbeaten remaining in conference play (both of Oklahoma's losses were non-conference games). Baylor showed last week (a blowout loss to TCU) it was a pretender.
Mississippi State 3, #1 Alabama 38 (Noon, ESPN)
Mississippi State eliminated Texas A&M from postseason contention last weekend, but don't expect the Bulldogs to make it two shocking upsets in a row on Saturday. The Tide have continued rolling, and should keep it rolling this weekend at home.
#10 Penn State 35, Indiana 28 (Noon, ABC/ESPN2)
The Hoosiers have kept it close against some good teams in the Big Ten, so this might be a nail-biter in Bloomington. However, the Nittany Lions, who have built off the Ohio State win with dismantlings of Purdue and Iowa, should get the victory.
Illinois 7, #7 Wisconsin 42 (3:30 PM, ESPN)
Wisconsin, the third best team in the Big Ten, should have absolutely no problem dispatching of 3-6 Illinois on Saturday in Madison. The Badgers are currently in a three way tie for first in the Big Ten West with Nebraska and Minnesota.
#5 Ohio State 55, Maryland 21 (3:30 PM, ESPN)
After scuffling for most of October, the Buckeyes opened November by playing to their potential, destroying Nebraska last Saturday night. They clicked on all sides of the ball after struggling on offense and special teams the prior few weeks, and should be able to blow by Maryland.
#9 Auburn 28, Georgia 17 (3:30 PM, CBS)
The Tigers sit around where the Bulldogs expected to be when this season started. Instead, Georgia is 5-4 and out of the SEC Championship race. This will probably be a dogfight (or, technically, a dog vs. cat fight), but Auburn, like Ole Miss, Tennessee, Vandy, and Florida, will top Georgia.
Texas Tech 57, #13 Oklahoma State 62 (3:30 PM, FS1)
Expect to see lots of scoring in this game. Both teams are among the most offensively prolific in the nation. The Cowboys of Oklahoma State are just behind their in-state rivals atop the Big 12, while the Red Raiders, at 4-5. are looking to get in a bowl.
Pittsburgh 14, #2 Clemson 35 (3:30 PM, ABC)
Pittsburgh is 5-4, with three of those losses coming by one possession. However, the other loss, a 51-28 loss to Miami, was last week. Clemson continued its unbeaten season by rolling over Syracuse 54-0 last week, and they may roll again this Saturday.
Georgia Tech 17, #14 Virginia Tech 38 (3:30 PM, ESPNU)
Georgia Tech lost to North Carolina, a team Virginia Tech crushed earlier this season, by 28 last weekend. Unless the Hokies spontaneously combust like they did a few weeks ago in a 31-17 loss to Syracuse, they should emerge victorious.
Wake Forest 10, #6 Louisville 48 (7:00 PM, ESPN2)
Lamar Jackson's Heisman campaign will more than likely continue this week at home against the Deamon Deacons, who aren't horrible (they're 6-3, and they beat Virginia, which almost beat Louisville the week before, last week), but they're no match for the Cardinals.
#22 Boise State 38, Hawaii 14 (7:00 PM, CBSSN)
The Blue Field Broncos get to take a trip to the island state this weekend, and it should be about as competitive as a vacation. The Rainbow Warriors lost 55-0 to San Diego State last week. It might be a similar result this week, but I'm expecting a somewhat closer outcome.
#24 LSU 21, #25 Arkansas 14 (7:00 PM, ESPN)
One of the week's two ranked battles is an SEC contest between the two worst ranked teams (strictly according to the rankings). It will be a fight to the finish. The Tigers couldn't score on Bama last weekend, but the Tide struggled scoring on them. I think Arkansas will as well.
Ole Miss 21, #8 Texas A&M 38 (7:30 PM, SECN)
The wheels have fallen off the wagon for Ole Miss. A team that was expected to compete for the SEC is now 4-5 and without its senior starting quarterback. Texas A&M is no longer in contention for the playoff, but they should take care of Ole Miss.
#20 USC 34, #4 Washington 38 (7:30 PM, FOX)
This might be the best game on this weekend's slate. Washington has rolled to 9-0, but the 6-3 Trojans should not be overlooked. USC is very talented and on a five-game win streak. I expect the Huskies to win, but it could be really close.
Minnesota 14, #19 Nebraska 32 (7:30 PM, BTN)
Minnesota and Nebraska are both 7-2, but while the Cornhuskers have been tested (their two losses were to Wisconsin and Ohio State), the Golden Gophers haven't faced a top team aside from Penn State, whom they lost to. If Tommy Armstrong Jr. plays, it might be a blowout.
#3 Michigan 42, Iowa 7 (8:00 PM, ABC)
The Wolverines are just tuning up in preparation for November 26 at this point. Of Michigan's nine wins, just one has come by one score (a 14-7 win over Wisconsin). This game probably won't be very close either.
#12 Colorado 40, Arizona 21 (10:00 PM, FS1)
The Buffs are surprisingly in the hunt for the Pac-12. They currently lead the Pac-12 South, and they will probably lead the Pac-12 South after this weekend. Arizona is 2-7, with those two wins coming against Grambling and Hawaii.
California 35, #23 Washington State 52 (10:30 PM, ESPN)
What a great way to finish off the weekend of college football! A game that will surely not end until well after 1:00 AM. The passomistic (I had to fill my pun quota) Cougars will score all over a Cal team that gave up 66 to Washington last week.

Thursday, November 3, 2016

NFL Week 9 Picks

We are in Week 9 of the NFL season, which means the Trade Deadline has come and gone. Per usual, their was very little action at the NFL trade deadline. In fact, there was only one trade on the day of the deadline (which was Tuesday). However, a pretty shocking trade involving an All-Pro player went down on Monday, and few (including myself) could believe it. The Cleveland Browns, they worst team in the league, sent a conditional 3rd round pick (if they get one, which they're expected to; if not, it will be a 4th-rounder) to the New England Patriots, the best team in the league, for star linebacker Jamie Collins. Now, there have been many explanations for why Bill Belichick sent Collins packing, including the fact that he is a free agent after this season and was apparently asking for more money than New England was willing to give him. Regardless of the reasoning, I love this trade for the Browns. Yes, I am biased, but the Browns are basically risking nothing for a potentially high reward. They had tons of draft capital to spend, and instead of using one of those many picks to draft someone they hope will turn into a major contributor, they went out and got someone who has already shown he can be a major contributor. Plus, if they can't re-sign him (which I think they will), they'll more than likely get a conditional third round pick next year. So, while the only remaining winless team in the NFL might not win a game this season, they pulled off a pretty good trade Monday and look to be headed in the right direction.

Last Week: 9-4 (7-6 vs. Spread)
Overall: 67-51 (59-60 vs. Spread)

(Home Team Listed Last)

Thursday
Falcons 32, Buccaneers 24 (8:25 PM, NFLN)
The Bucs beat Atlanta the first week of the season, but there is no way the talented Falcons let that happen again. They are 5-2 since that Week 1 loss, while Tampa Bay is 2-4 since that first win. Atlanta won't have Tevin Coleman again but they beat Green Bay on Sunday without him.

Sunday
Cowboys 34, Browns 28 (1:00 PM, FOX)
Two rookie third-round quarterbacks will probably be facing off against each other (Hue Jackson hasn't said who's starting) as Dak Prescott goes up against Cody Kessler. Both have played solidly, but Prescott has a far superior supporting cast.
Steelers 32, Ravens 21 (1:00 PM, CBS)
Ben Roethlisberger looks like he might return Sunday, and if he does, Pittsburgh had more than enough talent to take out Baltimore. If he can't go, it gets a little cloudier. The Steelers have lost the last two weeks, but that was against the Pats, and against Barry Sanders Jay Ajayi and Miami.
Jaguars 17, Chiefs 35 (1:00 PM, CBS)
The Jags are not good. I've tried to talk myself into them, but they keep talking me out. The Chiefs, meanwhile, continue to look like a playoff team built off defense and rushing, even without Jamaal Charles and now Alex Smith.
Jets 20, Dolphins 24 (1:00 PM, CBS)
These are two not-very-good teams, but both are riding two-game win streaks. I'm more impressed by Miami's streak (and Jay Ajayi's two straight 200-yard games), as they've beaten Pittsburgh (albeit sans Big Ben) and Buffalo.
Eagles 24, Giants 31 (1:00 FOX)
This should be a good game. Both teams currently sit in second place in the NFC East behind Dallas, but while Philadelphia has lost three of its last four (including last week), the Giants have won two straight and are at home.
Lions 24, Vikings 17 (1:00 PM, FOX)
After surprisingly starting the season 5-0 despite injuries to key offensive players, the Vikings have lost two in a row. It looks like their offensive deficiencies (namely the line) are finally catching up with them. Ziggy Ansah and company may give Minnesota problems on Sunday.
Panthers 32, Rams 27 (4:05 PM, FOX)
The Panthers got their second win of the season last week, beating Arizona, while the Rams lost their third straight (this time to the Giants in London). I'll take Cam Newton over Case Keenum any day of the week, even a Cam who's beaten up and 2-5.
Saints 42, 49ers 27 (4:05 PM, FOX)
I think the Niners may have the worst team in football (yeah, even worse than the 0-8 Browns). That doesn't mean they don't have talent though. Carlos Hyde will have a field day against New Orleans' defense, and Kap should look better. But they won't be able to stop the Saints' offense.
Titans 21, Chargers 28 (4:25 PM, CBS)
The Titans, at 4-4, have a better record than the 3-5 Chargers, but Tennessee's four wins came against Detroit, Miami, Cleveland, and Jacksonville, which are a combined 9-21. San Diego's three wins came against Jacksonville, Denver, and Atlanta, which are a combined 13-10.
Colts 32, Packers 38 (4:25 PM, CBS)
The Colts continue to scuffle (Andrew Luck not included), while it looks like Aaron Rodgers is still - surprise, surprise - Aaron Rodgers. This will probably be a high-scoring game, considering the quarterbacks and offenses (and the fact that both these defenses gave up over 30 points last week).
Broncos 27, Raiders 30 (8:30 PM, NBC)
This week's Sunday night game features two 6-2 AFC contenders, one the defending champion, the other a breakout team. Derek Carr has drawn MVP talk thus far, and although he will face a tough test in the Denver defense, I think he and the Raiders will pull it out.

Monday
Bills 23, Seahawks 27 (8:30 PM, ESPN)
Seattle has had a rough last two weeks, tying Arizona 6-6 and then losing 25-20 to New Orleans last week. The Bills have also not had the best couple of weeks, losing to Miami and New England. I'll take the 'Hawks at home.

Week 10 CFB Picks

The first College Football Playoff rankings this season came out on Tuesday. The top three teams (Alabama, Clemson, Michigan) were expected, but the committee provided a surprise at #4: one-loss Texas A&M. They put the Aggies ahead of unbeaten Washington, causing some consternation among fans and pundits alike. A&M's lone loss, of course, came against Alabama, a game it got routed in. The Aggies have played a tougher schedule than the Huskies, but it's hard to put a one-loss team ahead of a undefeated Power 5 conference team. It'll be interesting to see how the rankings change and shape as we get closer to bowl season.

Last Week: 12-5 (6-10 vs. Spread)
Overall: 114-43 (80-83 vs. Spread)

(Home Team Listed Last)

(In MACtion this week, #17 Western Michigan beat Ball State 52-20. I picked Western Michigan to win 42-21)


Thursday
#14 Oklahoma 48, Iowa State 20 (7:30 PM, ESPN)
The 6-2 Sooners travel to Ames for a Thursday night meeting with the 1-7 Cyclones, whose only win is against San Jose State. High-scoring Oklahoma (fifth in the nation in points scored) has won five in a row and should make it six in a row tonight.
UCLA 28, #15 Colorado 45 (9:00 PM, FS1)
In late-night Pac-12 action this week, UCLA battles Colorado. But instead of the Bruins being the ranked team, as many people expected at the beginning of the season, the Buffs are the number 15 team in the country. UCLA will struggle even more without quarterback Josh Rosen.

Friday
San Jose State 3, #24 Boise State (10:15 PM, ESPN2)
Boise State's hopes of making a New Year's Six Bowl were shattered last week, when the Broncos lost to Wyoming. They should get back on track on the blue field this week against 3-6 San Jose State, the team responsible for Iowa State's lone win.

Saturday
#4 Texas A&M 38, Mississippi State 21 (Noon, SECN)
The Aggies, who would be in the College Football Playoff if the season ended today, cannot trip up again if they hope to get in the playoff. They shouldn't this week against a 3-5 Mississippi State team that has lost to South Alabama, BYU, and Kentucky.
Vanderbilt 14, #9 Auburn 35 (Noon, ESPN)
Auburn got in the top ten in the inaugural Playoff rankings, its two losses being to #2 Clemson and #4 Texas A&M. Vandy doesn't pose much of a threat to the strong defense (8th in the nation in points against) and running game (3rd in the nation) of the Tigers.
#7 Louisville 45, Boston College 13 (Noon, ESPN2)
Louisville survived a big scare last Saturday against Virginia, thanks to Heisman favorite Lamar Jackson. Jackson and company shouldn't need to save the day this Saturday against an unspectacular Boston College team.
#8 Wisconsin 32, Northwestern 21 (Noon, ABC)
Northwestern almost pulled off an upset of Ohio State last weekend in Columbus, but the Buckeyes pulled it out. This week, star receiver Austin Carr and company face another test in Wisconsin, a team that just gave Nebraska its first loss.
Georgia Tech 24, #21 North Carolina 35 (12:30 PM, ACCN)
The triple option attack of the Yellow Jackets may keep it somewhat close, but Mitch Trubisky and the Tar Heels, who are fighting with Virginia Tech to win the ACC Coastal Division (and play in the ACC Championship) will get the win.
Maryland 17, #3 Michigan 40 (3:30 PM, ESPN)
Maryland in a solid 5-3, but the best of those five wins came against Howard, Florida International, Central Florida, Purdue, and two-win Michigan State. The Wolverines are 8-0, with just one of their wins coming by single digits.
Syracuse 21, #2 Clemson 38 (3:30 PM, ABC/ESPN2)
Unbeaten Clemson has had to hold its breath often this season, surviving scares from Auburn (19-13), Troy (30-24), Louisville (42-36), NC State (24-17), and Florida State (37-34) The Tigers may have to survive another scare, but Syracuse isn't as big of a threat (although it did beat Virginia Tech).
#19 Virginia Tech 31, Duke 17 (3:30 PM, ESPNU)
Duke has beaten Notre Dame and played Louisville close. However, the Fighting Irish aren't very good this year, and the Cardinals still won by ten. Virginia Tech bounced back from a loss to Syracuse with wins over Miami and Pittsburgh.
#18 Oklahoma State 35, Kansas State 24 (3:30 PM, ABC/ESPN2)
This should be a good game between two decent Big 12 teams, and the final outcome could sway either way. I'll go with the Cowboys, who just gave West Virginia its first loss last week, over the Wildcats, who almost blew a lead to Iowa State last week (they won 31-26).
TCU 48, #17 Baylor 52 (3:30 PM, FOX)
Another enticing Big 12 matchup, this is sure to be a shootout. Baylor fell to Texas last Saturday, suffering its first loss of the season. The 4-4 Horned Frogs have faced tougher competition than the Bears, but they've lost two in a row and they're on the road.
#11 Florida 28, Arkansas 13 (3:30 PM, CBS)
The Gators have played pretty well (minus a ten-point loss to Tennessee), and this weekend they play Arkansas, which was ranked last week before losing to Auburn. Arkansas definitely has the ability to win this, but I'll go with Florida.
Arizona 28, #25 Washington State 48 (4:00 PM, PAC12N)
Mike Leach's pass-happy Cougars make their debut in the rankings this week. After losing their first two games of the season (Eastern Washington and Boise State), they have won five in a row, all within the Pac-12. Let's make it 6-0 in the conference after this weekend.
Kansas 7, #20 West Virginia 45 (7:00 PM, ESPN2)
West Virginia suffered its first loss of the season last week, getting routed by Oklahoma State and making the chances of a Big 12 team getting into the final four almost impossible. Fortunately for for the Mountaineers, they get 1-7 Kansas at home on Saturday.
#22 Florida State 32, NC State 24 (7:00 PM, ESPNU)
Florida State wasn't able to knock off Clemson last week, but it came very close. You know what other team came very close to knocking off Clemson? NC State. I expect the Seminoles to win, but the Wolfpack will make it interesting.
Iowa 17, #12 Penn State 28 (7:30 PM, BTN)
After starting the season ranked (and coming off a great 2015 season), 5-3 Iowa has fallen off. On the other hand, 6-2 Penn State has risen, especially after shocking Ohio State. Expect the Nittany Lions to take this one in Happy Valley.
#1 Alabama 38, #13 LSU 28 (8:00 PM, CBS)
Now we get to arguably the best games (on paper) of the weekend, both of which happen to be at 8:00 on Saturday night. I'd like to say LSU can pull the upset (and they do have a chance), but the Crimson Tide have looked unstoppable.
#10 Nebraska 28, #6 Ohio State 35 (8:00 PM, ABC)
The Buckeyes have been in a funk, especially offensively, following the Penn State loss with a poor showing in a win over Northwestern. They'll need to play better against Nebraska, which just suffered its first loss, and I think they will (especially at home in their throwback uniforms).
#5 Washington 52, California 44 (10:30 PM, ESPN)
The Huskies probably feel a little cheated after getting jumped by a one loss team, but all they can do now is continue winning. Anything can happen out west in the late hours, but Washington should be able to handle 4-4 Cal.