Wednesday, September 10, 2014

Week 1 Review of Preview

The first week of the 2014 NFL season was an exciting one. this is kind of like a review of the week and a review of my week preview rolled in one. This isn't just so you can see if you should ever listen to me again, it's also for me to see how well I did. We all get to see mistakes I made and parts where I was spot on. This is kind of like a film session. Remember, bold predictions are called bold predictions for a reason. But if they're at least close, then I was sort of right. The point of the bold prediction is to highlight someone/something I feel strong about in the game. A lot of the players I boldly predicted would have amazing games did play very well, but not amazing.

Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers (CBS, 1:00)
Matchup To Watch: Steelers WR Antonio Brown vs. Browns CB Joe Haden
Winner: Brown (5 catches, 116 yards, TD)
Bold Prediction: Ben Tate will run for at least 100 yards.
Result: Incorrect. Tate had 41 yards on six carries before leaving in the second quarter with a sprained knee. His backup Terrance West, however, had 100 yards on 16 carries.
Pick: Steelers 24, Browns 16  Result: Steelers 30, Browns 27
Result: Correct 
Difference Between Pick and Result: Steelers: -6  Browns: -11
Predicted Margin: Steelers by 8
Actual Margin: Steelers by 3

New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons (FOX, 1:00)
Matchup To Watch: Falcons LT Jake Matthews vs. Saints DE Cam Jordan
Winner: Matthews (Jordan: one tackle)
Bold Prediction: Pierre Thomas will have at least 80 yards rushing and 60 yards receiving.
Result: Incorrect. Thomas almost got to 60 receiving yards (58), but was well short on rushing yards (31) as he had less carries than Mark Ingram (seven to Ingram's 13).
Pick: Saints 34, Falcons 24  Result: Falcons 37, Saints 34 (OT)
Result: Incorrect
Difference Between Pick and Result: Saints: 0  Falcons: -13
Predicted Margin: Saints by 10
Actual Margin: Falcons by 3

Minnesota Vikings @ St. Louis Rams (FOX, 1:00)
Matchup To Watch: Vikings RB Adrian Peterson vs. Rams Defensive Line
Winner: Peterson (21 carries, 75 yards; Cordarrelle Patterson: 3 carries, 106 yards, TD)
Bold Prediction: Shaun Hill will throw for over 200 yards.
Result: Incorrect. Hill struggled, going 8-13 with 81 yards and a touchdown. He only played one half due to a strained quad.
Pick: Vikings 24, Rams 17  Result: Vikings 34, Rams 6
Result: Correct 
Difference Between Pick and Result: Vikings: -10  Rams: +11
Predicted Margin: Vikings by 7
Actual Margin: Vikings by 28
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Philadelphia Eagles (CBS, 1:00)
Matchup To Watch: Jaguars RB Toby Gerhart vs. Eagles Defense
Winner: Eagles Defense (Gerhart: 18 carries, 42 yards)
Bold Prediction: The Jaguars will score at least 17 points.
Result: Correct. The Jaguars scored exactly 17 points. In fact, they were up 17-0 at one point.
Pick: Eagles 35, Jaguars 17  Result: Eagles 34, Jaguars 17
Result: Correct 
Difference Between Pick and Result: Eagles: +1  Jaguars: 0
Predicted Margin: Eagles by 18
Actual Margin: Eagles by 17
Oakland Raiders @ New York Jets (CBS, 1:00)
Matchup To Watch: Raiders QB Derek Carr (And His Receivers) vs. Jets Corners
Winner: Jets Corners (Carr: 20-32, 151 yards)
Bold Prediction: Derek Carr will throw for at least 200 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Result: Incorrect. Carr did have two touchdowns, but was 49 yards short of 200.
Pick: Raiders 28, Jets 24  Result: Jets 19, Raiders 14
Result: Incorrect
Difference Between Pick and Result: Raiders: +14  Jets: +5
Predicted Margin: Raiders by 4
Actual Margin: Jets by 5
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens (CBS, 1:00)
Matchup To Watch: Ravens RB Bernard Pierce vs. Bengals Defense
Winner: Bengals Defense (Pierce: 6 carries, 14 yards, fumble)
Bold Prediction: Gio Bernard will have at least 200 total yards.
Result: Incorrect. My bold prediction was a little too bold. Bernard had 110 total yards (42 rushing, 62 receiving)
Pick: Bengals 28, Ravens 17  Result: Bengals 23, Ravens 16
Result: Correct 
Difference Between Pick and Result: Bengals: +5  Ravens: +1
Predicted Margin: Bengals by 11
Actual Margin: Bengals by 7
Buffalo Bills @ Chicago Bears (FOX, 1:00)
Matchup To Watch: Bears QB Jay Cutler vs. Bills Pass Rush
Winner: Bills Pass Rush (2 sacks, 3 QB hits, 2 forced INT)
Bold Prediction: Sammy Watkins will catch 3 passes or less.
Result: Correct. Watkins had exactly three catches for 31 yards.
Pick: Bears 31, Bills 17  Result: Bills 23, Bears 20 (OT)  
Result: Incorrect
Difference Between Pick and Result: Bears: +11  Bills: -6
Predicted Margin: Bears by 14
Actual Margin: Bills by 3
Washington Redskins @ Houston Texans (FOX, 1:00)
Matchup To Watch: Redskins QB Robert Griffin III vs. Texans Pass Rush
Winner: Texans Pass Rush (3 sacks, 14 QB hits, forced fumble)
Bold Prediction: Robert Griffin III will throw at least two interceptions.
Result: Incorrect. RGIII only threw for 267 yards and only ran for two (on three carries), but he did not throw an interception.
Pick: Texans 17, Redskins 13  Result: Texans 17, Redskins 6
Result: Correct 
Difference Between Pick and Result: Texans: 0  Redskins: +7
Predicted Margin: Texans by 4
Actual Margin: Texans by 11
Tennessee Titans @ Kansas City Chiefs (CBS, 1:00)
Matchup To Watch: Titans kicker Ryan Succop vs. Chiefs Kicker Cairo Santos
Winner: Succop (4-4, 14 points; Santos: 1-2, 4 points)
Bold Prediction: Jake Locker will throw for over 300 yards.
Result: Incorrect. Locker almost got there, throwing for 266 yards and two touchdowns.
Pick: Titans 31, Chiefs 28  Result: Titans 26, Chiefs 10
Result: Correct 
Difference Between Pick and Result: Titans: +5  Chiefs: +18 
Predicted Margin: Titans by 3
Actual Margin: Titans by 16
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins (CBS, 1:00)
Matchup To Watch: Dolphins Offensive Line vs. Patriots Defensive Line
Winner: Dolphins Offensive Line (Patriots: 1 sack, 2 QB hits)
Bold Prediction: Mike Wallace will have at least 100 receiving yards.
Result: Incorrect. Again, close to the bold prediction. Wallace seven receptions for 81 yards and a touchdown. (Note: In the Week 1 Preview, I accidentally called him Mike Wiliams. Williams, Wallace, same difference.)
Pick: Patriots 28, Dolphins 27  Result: Dolphins 33, Patriots 20
Result: Incorrect
Difference Between Pick and Result: Patriots: +18  Dolphins: -5 
Predicted Margin: Patriots by 1
Actual Margin: Dolphins by 13
Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4:25, FOX)
Matchup To Watch: Buccaneers Offensive Line vs. Panthers Front Seven
Winner: Panthers Front Seven (3 sacks, 4 tackles for loss, 7 QB hits)
Bold Prediction: Josh McCown will throw at least 3 touchdown passes.
Result: Incorrect. McCown didn't play very well, but he still had two touchdowns.
Pick: Buccaneers 31, Panthers 17  Result: Panthers 20, Buccaneers 14
Result: Incorrect
Difference Between Pick and Result: Buccaneers: +17  Panthers: -3
Predicted Margin: Buccaneers by 14
Actual Margin: Panthers by 6
San Francisco 49ers @ Dallas Cowboys (4:25, FOX)
Matchup To Watch: 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick vs. Cowboys QB Tony Romo
Winner: Kaepernick (Kaepernick: 16-23, 201 yards, 2 TD; Romo: 23-37, 281 yards, 1 TD, 3 INT)
Bold Prediction: A kicker will miss a field goal.
Result: Correct. 49ers kicker Phil Dawson missed a 37-yarder.
Pick: 49ers 41, Cowboys 38  Result: 49ers 28, Cowboys 17
Result: Correct 
Difference Between Pick and Result: 49ers: +13  Cowboys: +21
Predicted Margin: 49ers by 3
Actual Margin: 49ers by 11
Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos (8:30, NBC)
Matchup To Watch: Colts Quarterback Andrew Luck vs. Broncos QB Peyton Manning
Winner: Manning (22-36, 269, 3 TD; Luck: 35-53, 370 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT)
Bold Prediction: Andrew Luck will throw for more yards than Peyton Manning. 
Result: Correct. Luck threw for more yards than Manning, but Manning had one more touchdown and two less interceptions.
Pick: Broncos 35, Colts 27  Result: Broncos 31, Colts 24
Result: Correct 
Difference Between Pick and Result: Broncos: +4  Colts: +3
Predicted Margin: Broncos by 8
Actual Margin: Broncos by 7
New York Giants @ Detroit Lions (7:10 Mon, ESPN)
Matchup To Watch: Giants Offensive Line vs. Lions Defensive Line
Winner: Lions Defensive Line (2 sacks, 3 tackles for loss, 9 QB hits)
Bold Prediction: Eli Manning throws zero interceptions.
Result: Incorrect. Well, that's why there called "bold" predictions. Manning threw two picks.
Pick: Lions 34, Giants 28  Result: Lions 35, Giants 13
Result: Correct 
Difference Between Pick and Result: Lions: -1  Giants: +15
Predicted Margin: Lions by 6
Actual Margin: Lions by 22
San Diego Chargers @ Arizona Cardinals (10:20 Mon, ESPN)
Matchup To Watch: Chargers WR Keenan Allen vs. Cardinals CB Patrick Peterson
Winner: Peterson (Allen: 9 targets, 5 catches, 37 yards)
Bold Prediction: Michael Floyd leads all receivers in yards and touchdowns.
Result: Incorrect. I should've just said yards. Floyd led all players in receiving yards with 119, but had zero touchdowns.
Pick: Chargers 27, Cardinals 21  Cardinals 18, Chargers 17
Result: Incorrect
Difference Between Pick and Result: Chargers: +10  Cardinals: +3
Predicted Margin: Chargers by 6
Actual Margin: Cardinals by 1

Bold Predictions Record: 4-11
Week 1 Record: 9-6
Season Bold Predictions Record: 4-11
Season Record: 9-6

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