Tuesday, July 15, 2014

G-Rex All-Star Picks Review

The 2014 MLB All-Star Game is tonight at 7:30 ET on FOX. To prepare everyone for the game, I'm reviewing my All-Star picks from two weeks ago. I made a few mistakes-wrong picks and typos- but for the most part, I projected most of the All-Stars.
NL
Starters
C Jonathan Lucroy-Brewers-Starter (Replaced Yadier Molina as Starter)
1B Paul Goldschmidt-D-Backs
2B Dee Gordon-Dodgers-Reserve
3B Todd Frazier-Reds-Reserve
SS Troy Tulowitzki-Rockies-Starter
LF Andrew McCutchen-Pirates-Starter (CF)
CF Carlos Gomez-Brewers-Starter (LF)
RF Giancarlo Stanton-Marlins-Starter (DH)
DH Yasiel Puig-Dodgers-Starter (RF)
SP Adam Wainwright-Cardinals-Starter
Reserves
C Devin Mesoraco-Reds-Reserve
C Buster Posey-Giants-Not All-Star
1B Anthony Rizzo-Cubs-Reserve
1B Freddie Freeman-Braves-Reserve
2B Chase Utley-Phillies-Starter
2B Daniel Murphy-Mets-Reserve
3B Casey McGehee-Marlins-Not All-Star
3B Anthony Rendon-Nationals-Not All-Star
SS Starlin Castro-Cubs-Reserve
OF Jason Heyward-Braves-Not All-Star
OF Billy Hamilton-Reds-Not All-Star
OF Seth Smith-Padres-Not All-Star

Pitchers
Johnny Cueto-Reds-All-Star
Clayton Kershaw-Dodgers-All-Star
Tim Hudson-Giants-All-Star (Replaced Madison Bumgarner)
Julio Teheran-Braves-All-Star (Replaced Jeff Samardzija)
Henderson Alvarez-Marlins-Replaced Jordan Zimmerman)
Jordan Zimmerman-Nationals-All-Star
Alfredo Simon-Reds-All-Star (Replaced Johnny Cueto)
Zack Grienke-Dodgers-All-Star
Francisco Rodriguez-Brewers-All-Star
Aroldis Chapman-Reds-All-Star
Craig Kimbrel-Braves-All-Star
Huston Street-Padres-All-Star (Replaced Tyson Ross)
AL 
Starters
C Salvador Perez-Royals-Starter (Replaced Matt Wieters as Starter)
1B Edwin Encarnacion-Blue Jays-Reserve
2B Jose Altuve-Astros-Reserve
3B Josh Donaldson-A's-Starter
SS Derek Jeter-Yankees-Starter
LF Nelson Cruz-Orioles-Starter (DH)
CF Mike Trout-Angels-Starter (LF)
RF Yoenis Cespedes-A's-Reserve
DH Victor Martinez-Tigers-Reserve
SP Felix Hernandez-Mariners-Starter
Reserves
C Derek Norris-A's-Reserve
C Kurt Suzuki-Twins-Reserve 
1B Jose Abreu-White Sox-Reserve
1B Miguel Cabrera-Tigers-Starter
2B Ian Kinsler-Tigers-Reserve (Replaced Victor Martinez)
2B Robinson Cano-Mariners-Starter
3B Kyle Seager-Mariners-Reserve (Replaced Edwin Encarnacion)
3B Adrian Beltre-Rangers-Reserve
SS Erick Aybar-Angels-Reserve (Replaced Alex Gordon)
SS-Alexei Ramirez-White Sox-Reserve
OF Jose Bautista-Blue Jays-Starter (RF)
OF Alex Gordon-Royals-Reserve
OF Michael Brantley-Indians-Reserve
Pitchers
Masahiro Tanaka-Yankees-All-Star
Corey Kluber-Indians-Not All-Star
Yu Darvish-Rangers-All-Star
Scott Kazmir-A's-All-Star
Mark Buehrle-Blue Jays-All-Star
Dallas Keuchel-Astros-Not All-Star
Garrett Richards-Angels-Not All-Star
David Price-Rays-All-Star
Fernando Rodney-Mariners-All-Star (Replaced David Price)
Sean Doolittle-A's-All-Star
Greg Holland-Royals-All-Star
Koji Uehara-Red Sox-All-Star (Replaced Masahiro Tanaka)

All-Stars Not on My All-Star Team
NL
C Yadier Molina-Cardinals
C Miguel Montero (Replaced Yadier Molina)-D-Backs
3B Matt Carpenter-Cardinals
IF/OF Josh Harrison-Pirates
OF Charlie Blackmon-Rockies
OF Hunter Pence-Giants
P Tyson Ross-Padres
P Tony Watson-Pirates
P Pat Neshek-Cardinals
P Tyler Clippard (Replaced Julio Teheran)-Nationals
AL
1B/OF Brandon Moss-A's
P Max Scherzer-Tigers
P Jon Lester-Red Sox
P Glen Perkins-Twins
P Dellin Betances-Yankees










Monday, July 14, 2014

2014 Home Run Derby Preview

Contestants
American League:
Jose Bautista (Captain)-Blue Jays
Yoenis Cespedes-Athletics
Josh Donaldson-Athletics
Brian Dozier-Twins
Adam Jones-Orioles
National League:
Todd Frazier-Reds
Justin Morneau-Rockies
Yasiel Puig-Dodgers
Giancarlo Stanton-Marlins
Troy Tulowitzki (Captain)-Rockies
American League
Jose Bautista
Stats: 17 HR, .502 SLG, .210 ISO
Derby Appearances: 2 (2011-1st Round; 2012-Runner-Up)
Analysis: Bautista, the AL captain, is always a power threat, and has experience, so he is among the contenders.
Prediction: Quarterfinals
Yoenis Cespedes
Stats: 14 HR, .442 SLG, .195 ISO
Derby Appearances: 1 (2013- Champion)
Analysis: Cespedes is the defending champion, so he's obviously on everyone's favorites list. But recent history doesn't bode well for Cespedes, as Robinson Cano, the 2012 champ, hit 0 in last year's Derby.
Prediction: Runner-Up
Josh Donaldson
Stats: 20 HR, .449 SLG, .211 ISO
Derby Appearances: 0
Analysis: Donaldson, Cespedes's teammate, has a nice home run total this year and is excited to be participating. He's a dark horse candidate.
Prediction: Round 1
Brian Dozier
Stats: 18 HR, .436 SLG, .194 ISO
Derby Appearances: 0
Analysis: Dozier is probably an underdog, being a middle infielder who didn't show much power before recently. But he does have familiarity with Target Field and the support of the home crowd.
Prediction: Semifinals
Adam Jones
Stats: 16 HR, .486 SLG, .186 ISO
Derby Appearances: 0
Analysis: Jones will be entertaining and a power threat, although he plays in the homer-friendly Camden Yards and has one of the lesser home run totals among the participants. 
Prediction: Round 1
National League
Todd Frazier
Stats: 19 HR, .500 SLG, .210 ISO 
Derby Appearances: 0
Analysis: I, of course, will be rooting for the Toddfather tonight, and believe he is a strong dark horse candidate. Remember, this is the same man who did this: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=MSqZC1uW1TM
Prediction: Semifinals
Justin Morneau
Stats: 13 HR, .502 SLG, .182 ISO
Derby Appearances: 0
Analysis: this is a nice story, as Morneau was a fan favorite in Minnesota for a number of years. However, he only has 13 home runs and plays in Coors Field.
Prediction: Round 1
Yasiel Puig
Stats: 12 HR, .522 SLG, .213 ISO
Derby Appearances: 0
Analysis: Puig will provide lots of entertainment and showmanship, but he only has 12 home runs. Then again, he may thrive in this environment.
Prediction: Quarterfinals
Giancarlo Stanton
Stats: 21 HR, .538 SLG, .241 ISO
Derby Appearances: 0
Analysis: Stanton is the clear-cut favorite, as he smashes moon shots regularly, and he has the largest average home run distance in the league. He's the guy to beat.
Prediction: Champion
Troy Tulowitzki
Stats: 21 HR, .613 SLG, .268 ISO
Derby Appearances: 0
Analysis: Tulo, the NL captain, has impressive numbers and is by far the best shortstop in Major League Baseball, but he, like Morneau, plays in the Mile High City, and his Home-Road splits (Home: .419/.497/.748; Away: .265/.367/.463) show the effects of Coors Field.
Prediction: Round 1

These predictions are basically stabs in the dark, as anyone of these competitors could take home the trophy.  I used ESPN.com and FanGraphs as statistical references. 
The 2014 Home Run Derby is tonight at 8:00 ET on ESPN from Target Field in Minneapolis.
(Note: SLG=Slugging Percentage; ISO=Isolated Power (Slugging percentage minus average). Slash lines are AVG/OBP/SLG)


Saturday, July 5, 2014

Evaluation of the A's-Cubs Trade (Plus the D-Backs-Angels Trade)

Last night the Chicago Cubs traded pitchers Jeff Samardzijia and Jason Hammel to the Oakland A's for shortstop Addison Russell (the A's top prospect and 2012 first-round pick), pitcher Dan Straily (second-year starter for the A's who was demoted to AAA), outfielder Billy McKinley (the A's #2 prospect and 2013 first-round draft pick), and the good old PTBNL (Player To Be Named Later). Obviously it's hard to gauge a trade right after it happens, especially when there are prospects involved. It's a waiting game. But as it stands right now, it looks like a win-win. Billy Beane and the A's bolster their rotation, making then a World Series favorite (they already have the best record in Major League Baseball) and Theo Epstein and the Cubs get another top prospect to add to their glut of future stars, including third baseman Kris Bryant and shortstop Javier Baez. One might question the Cubs stockpiling young shortstops, with Starlin Castro already entrenched there at the big league level, but they will probably move one of the shortstops to second base and trade another (probably Baez) for young pitching. As for the A's, their rotation goes from Sonny Gray-Scott Kazmir-Tommy Milone-Brad Mills-Jesse Chavez to Jeff Samardzijia-Jason Hammel-Sonny Gray-Scott Kazmir-Jesse Chavez (or something like that). That's an upgrade.
In other (more minor) news, the Arizona Diamandbacks traded reliever Joe Thatcher and outfielder Tony Campana to the L.A. Angels for two prospects, outfielder Zack Borenstein and pitcher Joey Krehbeil. This trade is a small response to the A's trade as the Angels bolster their bullpen to try to keep up with the A's in the AL West. The D-Backs, like the Cubs, get pieces for the future, as they are out of contention this year.o)
Last night the Chicago Cubs traded pitchers Jeff Samardzijia and Jason Hammel to the Oakland A's for shortstop Addison Russell (the A's top prospect and 2012 first-round pick), pitcher Dan Straily (second-year starter for the A's who was demoted to AAA), outfielder Billy McKinley (the A's #2 prospect and 2013 first-round draft pick), and the good old PTBNL (Player To Be Named Later). Obviously it's hard to gauge a trade right after it happens, especially when there are prospects involved. It's a waiting game. But as it stands right now, it looks like a win-win. Billy Beane and the A's bolster their rotation, making then a World Series favorite (they already have the best record in Major League Baseball) and Theo Epstein and the Cubs get another top prospect to add to their glut of future stars, including third baseman Kris Bryant and shortstop Javier Baez. One might question the Cubs stockpiling young shortstops, with Starlin Castro already entrenched there at the big league level, but they will probably move one of the shortstops to second base and trade another (probably Baez) for young pitching. As for the A's, their rotation goes from Sonny Gray-Scott Kazmir-Tommy Milone-Brad Mills-Jesse Chavez to Jeff Samardzijia-Jason Hammel-Sonny Gray-Scott Kazmir-Jesse Chavez (or something like that). That's an upgrade.
In other (more minor) news, the Arizona Diamandbacks traded reliever Joe Thatcher and outfielder Tony Campana to the L.A. Angels for two prospects, outfielder Zack Borenstein and pitcher Joey Krehbeil. This trade is a small response to the A's trade as the Angels bolster their bullpen to try to keep up with the A's in the AL West. The D-Backs, like the Cubs, get pieces for the future, as they are out of contention this year.

Thursday, July 3, 2014

G-Rex's 2014 MLB All-Star Team


I'm Baaaaaaaaaack! It's been a long hiatus for this busy dinosaur, but I'm back with my picks for the 2014 MLB All-Star Game at Target Field in Minnesota. With fan voting ending tonight, I felt it was the best time to reveal my picks. So, without further ado, here it is:

2014 All-Star Team
NL
Starters
C Jonathan Lucroy-Brewers
1B Paul Goldschmidt-D-Backs
2B Dee Gordon-Dodgers
3B Todd Frazier-Reds
SS Troy Tulowitzki-Rockies
LF Andrew McCutchen-Pirates
CF Carlos Gomez-Brewers
RF Giancarlo Stanton-Marlins
DH Yasiel Puig-Dodgers
SP Adam Wainwright-Cardinals 
Reserves
C Devin Mesoraco-Reds
C Buster Posey-Giants
1B Anthony Rizzo-Cubs
1B Freddie Freeman-Braves
2B Chase Utley-Phillies
2B Daniel Murphy-Mets
3B Casey McGehee-Marlins
3B Anthony Rendon-Nationals
SS Starlin Castro-Cubs
OF Jason Heyward-Braves
OF Billy Hamilton-Reds
OF Seth Smith-Padres
Pitchers
Johnny Cueto-Reds
Clayton Kershaw-Dodgers
Tim Hudson-Giants
Julio Teheran-Braves
Henderson Alvarez-Marlins
Jordan Zimmerman-Phillies
Alfredo Simon-Reds
Zack Grienke-Dodgers
Francisco Rodriguez-Brewers
Aroldis Chapman-Reds
Craig Kimbrel-Braves
Huston Street-Padres
AL
Starters
C Salvador Perez-Royals
1B Edwin Encarnacion-Blue Jays
2B Jose Altuve-Astros
3B Josh Donaldson-A's
SS Derek Jeter-Yankees
LF Nelson Cruz-Orioles
CF Mike Trout-Angels
RF Yoenis Cespedes-A's
DH Victor Martinez-Tigers
SP Felix Hernandez-Mariners
Reserves
C Derek Norris-A's
C Kurt Suzuki-Twins
1B Jose Abreu-White Sox
1B Miguel Cabrera-Tigers
2B Ian Kinsler-Tigers
2B Robinson Cano-Mariners
3B Kyle Seager-Mariners
3B Adrian Beltre-Rangers
SS Erick Aybar-Angels
SS-Alexei Ramirez-White Sox
OF Jose Bautista-Blue Jays
OF Alex Gordon-Royals
OF Michael Brantley-Indians
Pitchers
Masahiro Tanaka-Yankees
Corey Kluber-Indians
Yu Darvish-Rangers
Scott Kazmir-A's
Mark Buehrle-Blue Jays
Dallas Keuchel-Astros
Garrett Richards-Angels
David Price-Rays
Fernando Rodney-Mariners
Sean Doolittle-A's
Greg Holland-Royals
Koji Uehara-Red Sox

If you aren't familiar with the All-Star voting rules, here they are: 34 players from each league are selected via fan voting, player voting, coaches selection, and a final fan vote. At least one player from each team must be in the game. This is a mix of who I think WILL be in the All-Star Game and who I think SHOULD be in the All-Star Game (Example: Derek Jeter isn't playing very well this season, but because he's a future Hall-of-Famer in his last season, he will get voted in as a starter). There are a few players I had  a somewhat tough time omitting. I was especially torn on pitchers (apologies to relievers who aren't closers, such as Jonathan Broxton, Dellin Betances, and Jake McGee). I used various stats and references to make these selections. Feel free to disagree.