It's that time of year again: football season. High school football has already started, college football ramps up this week, and the NFL season is less than two weeks away. That also means it's Madden Season. This year's installment came out August 25th, and I bought it August 27th. I haven't played it a ton thus far, but I have played it enough to at least share some impressions of it.
Gameplay
The big calling card for Madden 16 is the new gameplay controls in the passing game. This year, you have a lot of different options as to how you want to throw a pass. You can throw a bullet pass, a touch pass, a lob pass, a low pass, or a high pass. This gives couch quarterbacks a lot more control. They can throw a low pass on hitches and curls to try and prevent interceptions, they can put some touch on a pass over the middle just over the linebackers' heads, and they can heave a jump ball and hope their star receiver comes down with it. This brings us to the other part: catching the ball. This year there are several new catching animations, and different new ways to catch passes. You have the option of making a possession catch (better chance of holding on to the ball), RAC, or Run After Catch (better chance of gaining yards after the catch), or aggressive catch (for jump balls). There are also new catching mechanics on the defensive side of the ball. Now you can switch to the closest defender and try to defend a pass or pick it by either choosing to play the ball or play the receiver. I haven't quite gotten the hang of all of the new passing and receiving controls (especially pass defense, which I often struggle at), but I have used them to my advantage a few times. In previous versions of Madden, I would rarely ever be able to complete deep passes, and they would often result in interceptions. I've already found more success this year. At least a few times I have thrown up a deep jump ball and a receiver has come down with it, even in double coverage. Don't worry, it doesn't make every single jump ball end in a spectacular catch. A lot of times, my receiver has caught the ball in the air but lost control of it coming down. The Madden team has also focused on making players more realistic in the game. They want you to be able to clearly notice the difference between a quarterback like Aaron Rodgers and one like Blaine Gabbert. I've used a few quarterbacks so far, and I can tell you there was a noticeable difference between someone like Brock Osweiler or Johnny Manziel and a slightly better and more experienced quarterback like Colin Kaepernick. I've missed some wide open throws with worse quarterbacks. I think the same goes for other positions, but the position I've really noticed it in so far is quarterback (I've only played a few games, so I haven't been able to notice any profound differences). Overall (so far), gameplay has really been improved this year and makes for a more enjoyable experience.
Presentation
Madden is still behind titles such as NBA 2K in presentation and graphics, but they have still made significant improvements. The graphics are better, especially in the stands and on the sideline. Virtual coaches actually resemble their real-life counterparts this year, and the crowd seems into it more. The bland commentary doesn't seem to be changed, but there are some presentation improvements, including more player celebrations, which adds more excitement to the gameplay. I'd also like to see big moments feel even more exciting and pressure-packed, but it's still a more enjoyable atmosphere. Another qualm I might have, and one I've read about in other reviews, is the inability/difficulty of skipping cutscenes, as well as the opening scenario between the Steelers (whom you control) and Cardinals in Super Bowl 50 (I don't even like the Steelers). This slows down the game a bit, but that's just nitpicking. Off of the field, the menus are mostly still in "blocks", but they are much better organized and more visually appealing. EA Trax also makes a welcome return, providing decent music instead of the same generic instrumental music over and over. Presentation in Madden still lags behind other sports games, and there are always some glitches and bugs, but that doesn't mean it isn't still a visually appealing game that provides an exciting atmosphere.
Draft Champions
Unfortunately, I've only been able to try this much-heralded new mode once, because I have to buy a subscription to Playstation Plus to play it, which I find stupid. However, the one time I played it (I got a two-day free trial), it felt like a strong new addition. In this mode, you pick between three coaches and get a base team of average players, and then you go through a 15-round draft. Each round you are given the choice between three different players, and the quality of players can vary round-per-round. For example, I passed on a quarterback in an early round for a better player at another position, thinking I could get a quarterback later. I wasn't able to, and I had to start Matt Schaub. Those are the kinds of decisions you must make in Draft Champions. Another is whether to pick the best player available or pick a player who fits your coach's philosophy. In the 15th round, you get to choose between three legends. Then you play three games with your team (either head-to-head or vs. CPU) and hope to win the Draft Champions championship. If you lose, you're done. It's a very quick and easy mode. I like the whole fantasy draft thing, but I'd like it if they expanded on the mode or combined it with Madden Ultimate Team, which they may do in the future. It's a good start, though, and it is an enjoyable mode (other than the fact that they make me have to pay to play) filled with strategy and risk-taking.
Madden Ultimate Team
I've never really gotten into Madden Ultimate Team (MUT), but for those who are really into it, I think it's more or less the same, with some minor improvements.
Franchise
Now time for my favorite part of sports video games, Franchise Mode. I haven't gotten really in-depth in Franchise Mode yet, because I'm waiting on Madden to put out a patch to fix all of the bugs in the mode, but I have started one. I usually like to fantasy draft to start it out, and I hope they continue to improve the fantasy draft interface. I do like the fact that you no longer have to scroll all the way over to see all of a player's attributes. You can now see them all on the player card. There is also a much more user-friendly visual depth chart so you can easily make personnel changes. I haven't gotten to scouting and the draft, but improvements have been made on that front as well, including combine stats, which I like. There are also new player goals and notifications during games about where players are with those goals. As it has been, it allows you to start as an owner, a coach, or a player, and still has features like Owner Mode, relocation, interviews, etc.
Overview
I didn't think that highly of the last couple of Maddens, but, although it still has it's drawbacks, Madden 16 is a major improvement and worthy of buying, as it's more than just a roster update. Thanks to improved passing mechanics and realism, as well as the enjoyable new little mode Draft Champions, it's a big step in the right direction.
Grade: 8/10
Monday, August 31, 2015
Monday, August 3, 2015
G-Rex's 2015 Fantasy Football Preview
Summer is winding down, school is starting up again, and football season is just around the corner, which also means fantasy football season is just around the corner. I love fantasy football. It's a great way to have fun and compete with friends, and it gives you a rooting interest in more than just the game your favorite team is playing in. Whether you play fantasy football for money, or for bragging rights; whether you play in a 10-team standard league, or a 20-team dynasty league; whether you just go into your league's draft and wing it, or you pore over magazines and do mock drafts, hopefully this fantasy football preview will help you in your draft. However, I do not guarantee this will lead you to a championship (especially if you're in a league with me). Regardless, I hope you find this guide helpful and use it to draft a formidable fantasy squad. And good luck this season!
Top Pick is my number one rated player at that position heading into the season. "Safe" Picks are reliable and durable fantasy players who can consistently put up solid fantasy numbers. Boom/Bust are players who are the opposite of the safe picks, inconsistent fantasy performers who could break out one week and put up a dud the next week. Sleepers are players I believe could have breakout seasons and could provide value in the draft. Deep Sleepers/Keepers are players I believe could provide value in deeper leagues (or even normal leagues) and are good players to target in keeper/dynasty leagues. Dual-Threats are players who provide extra value in fantasy because of their involvement in the running game and passing game. Injury Risks are talented players who are injury prone, and are high-risk, high-reward picks.
Stats and information via ESPN.com
QB
Top Pick: Aaron Rodgers (2014 Stats: 341-520, 4381 yards, 38 TD, 5 INT)
Rodgers was the best quarterback in fantasy last year, and there is no reason he won't be again this year. Last year's MVP has elite quarterback skills and an array of weapons in Green Bay, and he can easily tear up any defense. He is the clear number one quarterback in fantasy this year.
"Safe" Picks: Drew Brees (456-659, 4952 yards, 33 TD, 17 INT)
& Matt Ryan (415-628, 4695 yards, 28 TD, 14 INT)
Brees has thrown for over 4,000 yards the past nine years (over 5,000 yards four of those years) and over 30 touchdowns the past seven years. I know he lost his top target (Jimmy Graham) and the Saints might not throw as much as in past years, but he'll still throw a lot. Ryan has thrown for over 4,000 yards the past four years, and still has Julio Jones and Roddy White, plus a new coach and offensive coordinator (Kyle Shanahan, who loves to throw the ball downfield).
Boom/Bust: Matthew Stafford (363-602, 4257 yards, 22 TD, 12 INT)
& Jameis Winston (Rookie)
There is no question Matthew Stafford has the arm talent (he has immense arm strength and the ability to throw from many different arm slots) and talented targets (Calvin Johnson, Golden Tate), but he's plagued by inconsistency and poor decision-making on many throws. Winston is said to be pro-ready, and he has numerous red-zone threats (The tall trio of Mike Evans, Vincent Jackson, and Austin Sefarian-Jenkins), but he's just a rookie, the interception number last year (18) concerns me, and Tampa's offense was awful last season.
Sleepers: Ryan Tannehill (392-590, 4045 yards, 27 TD, 12 INT)
& Derek Carr (348-599, 3270 yards, 21 TD, 12 INT)
Tannehill showed great improvement last season, and should improve even more this year. He is athletic and can get fantasy owners some extra points on the ground, and he now has a strong group of pass-catchers (Kenny Stills, Jarvis Landry, DeVante Parker, and Jordan Cameron). Carr put up decent stats as a rookie in a weak offense, and now he has a legitimate number one receiver in Amari Cooper.
Deep Sleepers/Keepers: Marcus Mariota (Rookie)
& Blake Bortles (280-475, 2908 yards, 11 TD, 17 INT)
I believed Mariota was the best quarterback in this year's draft, and I still believe that. However, Tennessee isn't the greatest place to succeed. He is, though, an athletic and intelligent dual-threat quarterback (I think of him as a bigger Russell Wilson), and he is a definite target in keeper/dynasty leagues. Bortles is also an athletic QB with talent (though not as much as Mariota), but he struggled with accuracy as a rookie, and, like Mariota, plays with a less-than-ideal supporting cast. If he can make a leap in his second year, he could provide some value.
Dual-Threats: Cam Newton (262-448, 3127 yards, 18 TD, 12 INT; 103 rushes, 539 yards, 5 TD)
& Colin Kaepernick (289-478, 3369 yards, 19 TD, 10 INT; 104 rushes, 639 yards, 1 TD)
Cam is always a good starting quarterback option in fantasy based solely on his legs. He wasn't quite as good last season (due to injuries and not running as much), but was still solid, and if he can improve his passing, he could become an elite fantasy option. Kaepernick got a lot of flak for San Francisco's struggles last year, but he actually put up decent numbers, and he has undeniable talent. With a new coach and the addition of Torrey Smith, he could be a big bounce-back candidate this season.
Injury Risks: Sam Bradford (Did Not Play)
& Carson Palmer (141-224, 1626 yards, 11 TD, 3 INT)
Sam Bradford has the arm and pocket presence to be a good quarterback, but he can't stay healthy. He tore his ACL (again) last year. Now with the up-tempo Eagles, if he can stay healthy (a huge if), he could be a top-10 fantasy QB. Palmer quietly did a good job of stabilizing the Cardinal offense (when healthy) before tearing his ACL (those darn Anterior Collateral Ligaments!) in Week 10. If healthy, he'll be a solid fantasy starter.
G-Rex's Top 10:
1. Aaron Rodgers, Packers
2. Andrew Luck, Colts
3. Russell Wilson, Seahawks
4. Peyton Manning, Broncos
5. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers
6. Drew Brees, Saints
7. Tony Romo, Cowboys
8. Cam Newton, Panthers
9. Matt Ryan, Falcons
10. Ryan Tannehill, Dolphins
Rodgers is the current king of fantasy quarterbacks, while Luck is probably the future king of fantasy quarterbacks. Wilson is a dual-threat playing for an elite team that just got an elite tight end. He could be even better this season. While Manning, Big Ben, and Brees aren't getting any younger, they'll continue to be among the best at the position. Newton running ability will always make him a good fantasy quarterback, and when he becomes a better passer, he could potentially vault into the top five. Ryan is consistent, has talented receivers, and will throw a lot, and Tannehill is a breakout candidate if he continues to improve, especially with Miami's offensive additions.
RB
Top Pick: Jamaal Charles (2014 Stats: 206 carries, 1033 yards, 5 yards per carry, 9 TD)
Running back is the hardest position to determine a number one at. You could pick Charles, Eddie Lacy, Le'Veon Bell, Adrian Peterson, Arian Foster, Marshawn Lynch, Matt Forte, LeSean McCoy, DeMarco Murray... I'm not even sure about my pick for the top back. I honestly like Peterson and Foster more, but they have more question marks than Charles. Bell would probably be the pick if he wasn't suspended two games, and Lacy (or any of the other backs I named) is ranked number one by others, which I can't argue with. Ok, back to Charles: he won't get the most carries in the league, but he's a great runner who averaged 5 yards-per-carry last season and plays for an offense that will continue to run the ball a lot. He also called himself the Lebron James of football, so now I have to rank him number one.
"Safe" Picks: Marshawn Lynch (280 carries, 1306 yards, 4.7 YPC, 13 TD)
& LeSean McCoy (314 carries, 1319 yards, 4.2 YPC, 5 TD)
"Safe" could also be used to define many running backs in fantasy, including Lacy, Bell, Forte, and Murray, but I went with Lynch and McCoy. Marshawn, despite pundits warning of his decline, keeps on chugging at 29 years old. He's run for over 2,400 yards (and double-digit touchdowns) the last four seasons, and plays in a talented offense that likes to run the ball. Shady didn't perform as well last year as he did in his marvelous 2013 campaign, but he still ran for over 1,300 yards. Now he's a Bill, which could be good (doesn't have to share carries with Darren Sproles, will run the ball a lot due to shaky quarterback play) or bad (has to share carries with Fred Jackson, is in a weaker offense). I think he'll do well, as he's still the most elusive back in the league.
Boom/Bust: Adrian Peterson (Did Not Play)
& C.J. Anderson (179 carries, 849 yards, 4.7 YPC, 8 TD)
Look who's back! The guy who was the clear number one back in fantasy last year, Adrian Peterson. He still could be the best back in the league, but who knows? He only played in one game last year, so people aren't sure what to expect. I expect more or less the same guy. He'll go back to being a top-five (and possibly top-one) fantasy running back. Anderson burst out from a crowded Denver backfield late last season, but Montee Ball and Ronnie Hilllman are still there, and we'll see if he can sustain his stellar play.
Sleepers: Carlos Hyde (83 rushes, 333 yards, 4 YPC, 4 TD)
& Melvin Gordon (Rookie)
I've been on the Carlos Hyde bandwagon for awhile (it helps that he went to The Ohio State University). He has a great blend of size and speed, but was stuck behind Frank Gore last season. Now Gore is in Indy, so Hyde will be the lead back in San Fran, and the only real threat to him for touches is injury-prone Reggie Bush. Gordon is expected by to be the first rookie back selected in many fantasy drafts this year, and for good reason. The 2014 Heisman finalist will be the Chargers' Day 1 starter (sorry Donald Brown) and has big-play ability.
Deep Sleepers/Keepers: Letavius Murray (82 carries, 424 yards, 5.2 YPC, 2 TD)
& Todd Gurley (Rookie)
Murray looked promising after taking over late last season, and he has the skills to succeed. The only big questions are his injury history and the talent around/in front of him. Gurley may be the best running back in this year's rookie class, but with him coming off ACL surgery and the presence of Tre Mason, he might not get the majority of the carries right away. But make sure to stash him for when he does.
Dual-Threats: Matt Forte (266 carries, 1038 yards, 3.9 YPC, 6 TD; 102 rec, 808 yards, 4 TD)
& Le'Veon Bell (290 carries, 1361 yards, 4.6 YPC, 8 TD; 83 rec, 854 yards, 3 TD)
Bell would probably be the top fantasy running back if he weren't suspended for the first two games of the season due to a DUI and marijuana possession. Even with the suspension, he's a first round pick thanks to his production on the ground and through the air. He was the number two fantasy running back last year, and will probably be at least top five this year. Forte has been among the best dual-threats out of the backfield for years, including last year, when he set the running back record for catches in a season (102). He could regress this year due to age (30) and a new coach, but he will still be a top-10 fantasy running back.
Injury Risks: Arian Foster (260 carries, 1246 yards, 4.8 YPC, 8 TD)
& Jonathan Stewart (175 rushes, 809 yards, 4.6 YPC, 3 TD)
Foster can look like the best running back in the league when healthy; the problem is staying on the field. He's played all 16 games twice in his six-year career. Last year he played 13 games, and, like he usually does, produced when healthy. Stewart is no longer handcuffed to DeAngelo Williams, and was very impressive after taking over late last season. He is injury-prone, though, so we'll see if he can stay healthy now that he has a full-time gig. If so, he's a good sleeper candidate.
G-Rex's Top 10:
1. Jamaal Charles, Chiefs
2. Eddie Lacy, Packers
3. Le'Veon Bell, Steelers
4. Adrian Peterson, Vikings
5. Arian Foster, Texans
6. Marshawn Lynch, Seahawks
7. Matt Forte, Bears
8. DeMarco Muray, Eagles
9. LeSean McCoy, Bills
10. C.J. Anderson, Broncos
This is the toughest position to rank. You could conceivably rank the top 10 in just about any order; they're all very close. Charles is a highly-skilled back who was number one in fantasy two years ago, and could be again this year. Lacy and Bell are nearly impossible to take down, and could just as easily claim the top spot. I personally like Peterson and Foster (as long as Foster stays healthy and Peterson picks up where he left off). Lynch has yet to wear down due to age and workload, so there's no reason to believe he will this year. Forte provides value thanks to his receiving role. McCoy and Murray, last season's best running back, have changed teams, so it remains to be seen how that works out, but they are both talented. Anderson gets to play with Peyton Manning in Denver's elite offense, and if he can hold off Ball and Hillman, he can be a top-10 (or top-five) back. Running back may be the most important position in fantasy, and there are many to choose from (but they'll be gone quickly).
WR
Top Pick: Antonio Brown (2014 Stats: 129 rec, 1698 yards, 13.2 yards per catch, 13 TD)
Brown was a beast last season, ruling the wide receiver position. He was highly productive week in and week out, and is Ben Roethlisberger's top target in Pittsburgh. Arguments can be made for Dez Bryant (who just got paid) and Odell Beckham Jr., who could be in this section for years to come, as well as Peyton's top target, Demaryius Thomas, but Brown is the preseason number one at receiver after ending the season at number one in 2014.
"Safe" Picks: Dez Bryant (88 rec, 1320 yards, 15 YPC, 16 TD)
& Jordy Nelson (98 rec, 1519 yards, 15.5 YPC, 13 TD)
Dez is a force of nature in a high-scoring offense in Dallas, and there is no need to worry about him not playing now that he's gotten a new contract. He's a touchdown machine (he led all receivers in touchdowns last season), and has over 1,000 yards (and double-digit touchdowns) in three straight seasons. Jordy is the face of reliability. He's Aaron Rodgers' favorite target, which is always a plus, and he's only missed seven games his entire career (which spans seven years).
Boom/Bust: DeSean Jackson (56 rec, 1169 yards, 20.9 TPC, 6 TD)
& Torrey Smith (49 rec, 767 yards, 15.7 YPC, 11 TD)
DeSean Jackson is the definition of boom or bust. He averaged over 20 yards-per-catch last season and had six games of over 100 yards receiving, but he also had seven games under 50 yards (one he did not play in). Smith is another deep threat who is now in San Francisco. The Niners don't throw a ton, but Colin Kaepernick has a great arm and Smith is his number one guy now.
Sleepers: Jordan Matthews (67 rec, 872 yards, 13 YPC, 8 TD)
& Amari Cooper (Rookie)
Matthews had a strong rookie season in Chip Kelly's offense, seeing plenty of targets. Now he's the top guy (Jeremy Maclin's gone), and while he won't get all of the looks (there are plenty of other options), he'll surely get a healthy number of opportunities and could improve in his second season. Amari Cooper is likely to step in as Oakland's number one right away. The Heisman Trophy runner-up should have a productive rookie season, and could win Rookie of the Year.
Deep Sleepers/Keepers: Kevin White (Rookie)
& Allen Robinson (48 rec, 548 yards, 11.4 YPC, 2 TD)
White is not too far behind Cooper in this year's rookie class. Remember OBJ last year? There could be another like him this season, whether it be Cooper, White, or someone else. The major difference between Cooper and White in fantasy is that White will not be the first option in Chicago (that would be Alshon Jeffery). He should, however, get lots of targets and be productive. Robinson has turned into Jacksonville's top receiver, and if Blake Bortles takes a step (or two, or seven) forward this year, Robinson could really benefit.
Dual-Threats: Julian Edelman (92 rec, 972 yards, 10.6 YPC, 4 TD; 299 return yards, 1 TD)
& Cordarrelle Patterson (33 rec, 384 yards, 11.6 YPC, 1 TD; 871 return yards)
Edelman, when he stays healthy, is a reliable slot receiver in the Wes Welker mold who also provides value in the return game. The questions are if he can stay healthy and if he can have the same production with Jimmy Garoppolo at quarterback the first four games. I had to reach for the second player in this section. Yes, I'm talking about a favorite of mine, Cordarrelle Patterson. Patterson took a step back last season when many (me included) expected him to take a step forward, leaving him as the third option in Minnesota's passing game now, but he can still be an electrifying return man, and he will certainly improve as a receiver.
Injury Risks: Calvin Johnson (71 rec, 1077 yards, 15.2 YPC, 8 TD)
& Brandin Cooks (53 rec, 550 yards, 10.4 YPC, 3 TD)
Megatron is still an elite talent and one of the best receivers in the NFL, but he took a (baby) step back last season and was bothered by injury. He's still a top-10 fantasy receiver (easily), and if he can stay healthy, possibly top-five. Cooks showed flashes in his rookie year, but missed his last six games due to a thumb injury. With Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills gone, he may see more touches.
G-Rex's Top 10:
1. Antonio Brown, Steelers
2. Dez Bryant, Cowboys
3. Odell Beckham Jr., Giants
4. Demaryius Thomas, Broncos
5. Jordy Nelson, Packers
6. Julio Jones, Falcons
7. Calvin Johnson, Lions
8. A.J. Green, Bengals
9. Alshon Jeffery, Bears
10. Randall Cobb, Packers
Like the running backs, the wide receiver group could be ranked in several different orders. Any of the top three or four could be justified as the top fantasy receiver. Brown is a stud, Bryant's a force, Beckham is a human vacuum, Thomas has a lethal blend of size and speed, Nelson is strong, fast, and consistent, Jones is a supreme talent playing in a dome, Megatron is still Megatron, Green was hampered by injury last season, but is still among the best in the league, Jeffery is a red-zone threat free of Brandon Marshall, and Cobb is Aaron Rodgers' main deep threat.
TE
Top Pick: Rob Gronkowski (2014 stats: 82 rec, 1124 yards, 13.7 YPC, 12 TD)
This is a no-brainer. Gronk is among the best players at any position in the NFL. He is a monster (on the field and on the dance floor). While he is far-and-away the best tight end, he's probably not a smart first round pick (aside from deeper leagues) in fantasy due to his injury history, Tom Brady's suspension, and the the importance of other positions in fantasy relative to tight end.
"Safe" Picks: Greg Olsen (84 catches, 1008 yards, 12 YPC, 6 TD)
& Jason Witten (64 rec, 703 yards, 11 YPC, 5 TD)
These guys are as reliable as they come. Old Greg has at least five touchdowns in seven straight seasons (out of eight total) and continues to be a consistent target for Cam Newton. The sure-handed Witten slipped a little statistically last season, but still had over 700 yards for the 11th straight year (out of 12 total). Both guys are good bets for at least 700 yards and five touchdowns.
Boom/Bust: Travis Kelce (67 rec, 862 yards, 12.9 YPC, 5 TD)
& Julius Thomas (43 rec, 489 yards, 11.4 YPC, 12 TD)
Kelce burst on to the scene last season to become one of the best tight ends in fantasy for much of the year. The 25-year-old did not get playing time in the NFL before last season, so we'll see if he keeps this up. Thomas was a standout in Denver, but now the athletic tight end moves from Peyton Manning to Blake Bortles. The bright side is he becomes the top target in Jacksonville after being number two to Demaryius Thomas in Denver, but the Jaguars aren't the Broncos.
Sleepers: Austin Sefarian-Jenkins (21 rec, 221 yards, 10.5 YPC, 2 TD)
& Josh Hill (14 rec, 176 yards, 12.6 YPC, 5 TD)
I'm a fan of ASJ, a big, athletic tight end who has a much better quarterback this year than he did last year. He'll share targets with Vincent Jackson and fellow sophomore Mike Evans, but he could breakout this year with Jameis Winston at quarterback. Hill is the new starting tight end in New Orleans with Jimmy Graham gone. He's not Jimmy Graham, but someone has to replace all of those catches, and Hill showed promise in limited time last year. Drew Brees will throw him the ball a lot, and he could have a breakout season.
Deep Sleepers/Keepers: Eric Ebron (25 rec, 248 yards, 9.9 YPC, 1 TD)
& Maxx Williams (Rookie)
Ebron struggled as a rookie, playing behind Brandon Pettigrew. Rookies struggle sometimes, so the second year is key to players' development. Ebron has a strong quarterback and will get an opportunity to start this year. Williams was the first tight end drafted this year (out of Minnesota) and will be the primary tight end in Baltimore (with Owen Daniels gone and Dennis Pitta injured again). So the talented pass-catcher will get every opportunity to contribute right away.
Injury Risks: Kyle Rudolph (24 rec, 231 yards, 9.6 YPC, 2 TD)
& Dwayne Allen (29 rec, 395 yards, 13.6 YPC, 8 TD)
Many expected Rudolph to breakout last year under tight end-whisperer Norv Turner, but he couldn't stay healthy (a recurring problem for him). He was virtually nonexistent last season, but he has the ability and he could be a sleeper (if healthy) in 2015. Allen thrived with Andrew Luck last year, but missed some games with a high ankle sprain after missing 15 games due to injury the year before. Coby Fleener is also there, but if Allen doesn't get hurt, he'll get enough passes to be productive again and be a top-10 tight end.
G-Rex's Top 10:
1. Rob Gronkowski, Patriots
2. Jimmy Graham, Seahawks
3. Greg Olsen, Panthers
4. Travis Kelce, Chiefs
5. Martellus Bennett, Bears
6. Julius Thomas, Jaguars
7. Jason Witten, Cowboys
8. Zach Ertz, Eagles
9. Delanie Walker, Titans
10. Josh Hill, Saints
Gronk and Graham are in a class of their own, but the second tier of Olsen, Kelce, Bennett, Thomas, and Witten (and possibly Ertz) are very solid options if you don't get the top two. Walker is the best playmaker in Tennessee's option (although troubled rookie Dorial Green-Beckham is probably the most talented), so he benefits from plenty of action. Hill is a sleeper candidate who could be even higher in the rankings.
D/ST
Top Pick: Seahawks (2014 stats: 37 sacks, 13 INT, 10 fumble recoveries, 3 TD, 254 points allowed, 4274 yards allowed)
The Seahawks have held down the title of the top defense for the last few years now (although they did finish third in fantasy last season). That won't change in 2015. Their key pieces are still there, so there is no reason to think they won't still be an elite defense, both in real life and in fantasy (which is also real life) .
"Safe " Picks: Rams (40 sacks, 13 INT, 12 FR, 5 TD, 354 PA, 5626 YA)
& Texans (37 sacks, 20 INT, 14 FR, 6 TD, 307 PA, 5571 YA)
The Rams, like the Seahawks, started slow last season but finished strong. They have tons of playmakers, including a powerful defensive line that includes talented second-year tackle Aaron Donald, as well as talented ends Chris Long and Robert Quinn. The Texans are safe picks if only because of J.J. Watt, who is the Mike Trout of football (or is it the other way around?). 2014's fourth-ranked defense has other talented players around the NFL's best player.
Boom/Bust: Packers (41 sacks, 18 INT, 9 FR, 6 TD, 348 PA, 5541 YA)
& Eagles (49 sacks, 12 INT, 16 FR, 11 TD, 400 PA, 6009 YA)
The Pack have lost a bit of their luster, but they still can turn out huge fantasy outings. They are inconsistent, but have upside with a strong secondary and some skilled pass-rushers. The Eagles allowed a lot of points and yards last season, but were still the second-best defense in fantasy thanks to 11 touchdowns. That may not be repeatable, but then again, who knows? They did acquire talented linebacker Kiko Alonso and corner Byron Maxwell in the offseason.
Sleepers: Panthers (40 sacks, 14 INT, 12 FR, 3 TD, 374 PA, 5437 YA)
& Browns (30 sacks, 21 INT, 8 FR, 3 TD, 337 PA, 5857 YA)
The Panthers weren't nearly as good in 2014 as they were in 2013, but they were still solid, and still have the league's best tackler, Luke Kuechly, leading the squad. The Browns were good against the pass (thanks to Pro-Bowlers Joe Haden and Tashaun Gipson), but were dead-last against the run. They focused on fixing that by drafting nose tackle Danny Shelton and signing end Randy Starks. Look for them to improve against the run and be a solid streaming option depending on the matchup.
Deep Sleepers/Keepers: Chiefs (46 sacks, 6 INT, 7 FR, 3 TD, 281 PA, 5288 YA)
& Jaguars (45 sacks, 6 INT, 14 FR, 3 TD, 412 PA, 5932 YA)
No need to draft these defenses. But keep an eye on matchups, as they may be decent streaming options against certain teams. The Chiefs were good at limiting yardage and points last season, and they still have last year's sack leader Justin Houston. The Jags have improved, especially in the sack department, and will likely continue to get better.
G-Rex's Top 10:
1. Seahawks
2. Rams
3. Bills
4. Texans
5. Jets
6. Broncos
7. Ravens
8. Dolphins
9. Cardinals
10. Lions
After Seattle, two through four are pretty close, and all solid options, largely thanks to strong defensive lines. The Jets also have a strong defensive line and new additions Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie (welcome back!). They could be higher on the list, especially with new coach Bruce Arians (Arizona's former defensive coordinator). The Broncos have some strong pass rushers, The Ravens are a solid fantasy defense once again, the Dolphins signed Ndamakong Suh to pair with Cameron Wake and Olivier Vernon, the Cards lost some people (including their defensive coordinator), but are still a good play based on matchup, and while the Lions lost Suh, they did get Haloti Ngata to replace him.
K
Top Pick: Stephen Gostkowski (2014 stats: 35-37 FG (1-1 50+), 51-51 XP)
Gostkowski is once again the best fantasy kicker, thanks to the Patriots strong offense and his accuracy. Even though Tom Brady is out the first four games, Gostkowski should still be at or near the top of the fantasy kicker rankings.
"Safe Picks: Adam Vinatieri (30-31 FG (3-3 50+), 50-50 XP)
& Justin Tucker (29-34 FG (4-9 50+), 42-42 XP)
Vinatieri is still going strong, and there is no reason to think he'll stop all of the sudden. He was the most accurate kicker in the NFL last season, and the Colts play indoors, which always helps. Tucker is the most accurate kicker in NFL history so far in his career (89.8%), and he can also hit them from deep (4-9 from 50 yards or more last season).
Boom/Bust: Blair Walsh (26-35 FG (5-9 50+), 29-29 XP)
& Greg Zuerlein (24-30 FG (5-7 50+), 34-35 XP)
The Blair Walsh Project and Greg the Leg burst on to the scene as rookies three years ago. Walsh was a force, finishing first among all kickers in fantasy, and Zuerlein showed he had a rocket leg (he was 7-13 from 50 yards or more), earning nicknames such as Legatron and Young GZ (and earning the title of my favorite kicker). They haven't been quite that good since, but they are still both good young kickers with strong legs. If they play more like they did their rookie years, they are good kicking options.
Sleepers: Caleb Sturgis (29-37 FG (3-6 50+), 41-41 XP)
& Chandler Catanzaro (29-33 FG (2-3 50+), 27-27 XP)
Sturgis was a busy man last season, and you always want a kicker who gets plenty of opportunities. He also took advantage of many of those opportunities. He should continue to get many attempts. Catanzaro was impressive as a rookie last season, showing very good accuracy (he made his first 17 field goals). He has shown he could be a pretty good fantasy kicker.
Deep Sleepers/Keepers: Dustin Hopkins (Rookie)
& Sebastian Janikowski (19-22 FG (3-5 50+), 28-28 XP)
Hopkins is the best rookie kicker this year, drafted out of Florida State. He'll be the Saints' kicker, and he'll have the benefit of playing indoors with a good offense. SeaBass still has it, but he played with such a bad offense last season that he didn't get many opportunities. He still has a cannon leg, and Oakland should be better on offense this season.
G-Rex's Top 10:
1. Stephen Gostkowski, Patriots
2. Adam Vinatieri, Colts
3. Steven Hauschka, Seahawks
4. Connor Barth, Broncos
5. Justin Tucker, Ravens
6. Cody Parkey, Eagles
7. Matt Bryant, Falcons
8. Dan Bailey, Cowboys
9. Matt Prater, Lions
10. Dan Carpenter, Bills
Kickers should not be drafted until the last round in fantasy, as no one kicker blows away everyone else. You could pick any of these kickers and be just as well off. I'm not going to go through all of these guys. They're kickers. They kick field goals. I'm done... Okay, I'm not done. I'll go through them. These are almost all reliable veteran kickers who play for good offensive teams. Barth gets the benefit of the thinner air, Parkey was a Pro Bowler as a rookie last year, and Vinatieri, Bryant, and Prater play indoors.
G-Rex's Draft Strategy:
Now I'm going to give you some of my draft strategy. You can utilize this information however you would like. You could use it (or parts of it) in your fantasy football draft, disregard it since you are already a master fantasy football draft strategist and know all (although if that's the case, why are you reading this?), or, if you're in the same league as me, try to use it against me. Draft strategies vary depending on the type of league. I'm in a 10-team PPR (point(s) per reception) league (on ESPN.com) with a QB, two RB, two WR, a TE, two offensive position slots (usually filled by QBs), a D/ST, a K, and a head coach slot (I also usually try to find another league to be in too; if you need an extra guy for a league, let me know). If I'm picking first overall, I'm probably picking a running back (whether it be Jamaal Charles, Le'Veon Bell, Eddie Lacy, Adrian Peterson, etc.), but in a league like mine where you can start multiple quarterbacks, I may consider Aaron Rodgers. I would not draft a tight end in the first round, and Aaron Rodgers (or possibly Andrew Luck) is the only quarterback I would pick in round one. Mid-to-late first round I might draft a wide receiver, such as Antonio Brown, Dez Bryant, or Odell Beckham Jr., but most of the first round picks should be used on the top-heavy running back position. I want to get a running back and starting quarterback early (although you could maybe wait and still get a good QB), as well as at least one stud wide receiver. If I can't get Rob Gronkowski or Jimmy Graham, I will wait on a tight end, as there's a drop off after those two. I don't usually like to reach for a defense, although some people do. I usually reserve my last two picks (or two of my last three picks) for a defense and a kicker.
Top Pick is my number one rated player at that position heading into the season. "Safe" Picks are reliable and durable fantasy players who can consistently put up solid fantasy numbers. Boom/Bust are players who are the opposite of the safe picks, inconsistent fantasy performers who could break out one week and put up a dud the next week. Sleepers are players I believe could have breakout seasons and could provide value in the draft. Deep Sleepers/Keepers are players I believe could provide value in deeper leagues (or even normal leagues) and are good players to target in keeper/dynasty leagues. Dual-Threats are players who provide extra value in fantasy because of their involvement in the running game and passing game. Injury Risks are talented players who are injury prone, and are high-risk, high-reward picks.
Stats and information via ESPN.com
QB
Top Pick: Aaron Rodgers (2014 Stats: 341-520, 4381 yards, 38 TD, 5 INT)
Rodgers was the best quarterback in fantasy last year, and there is no reason he won't be again this year. Last year's MVP has elite quarterback skills and an array of weapons in Green Bay, and he can easily tear up any defense. He is the clear number one quarterback in fantasy this year.
"Safe" Picks: Drew Brees (456-659, 4952 yards, 33 TD, 17 INT)
& Matt Ryan (415-628, 4695 yards, 28 TD, 14 INT)
Brees has thrown for over 4,000 yards the past nine years (over 5,000 yards four of those years) and over 30 touchdowns the past seven years. I know he lost his top target (Jimmy Graham) and the Saints might not throw as much as in past years, but he'll still throw a lot. Ryan has thrown for over 4,000 yards the past four years, and still has Julio Jones and Roddy White, plus a new coach and offensive coordinator (Kyle Shanahan, who loves to throw the ball downfield).
Boom/Bust: Matthew Stafford (363-602, 4257 yards, 22 TD, 12 INT)
& Jameis Winston (Rookie)
There is no question Matthew Stafford has the arm talent (he has immense arm strength and the ability to throw from many different arm slots) and talented targets (Calvin Johnson, Golden Tate), but he's plagued by inconsistency and poor decision-making on many throws. Winston is said to be pro-ready, and he has numerous red-zone threats (The tall trio of Mike Evans, Vincent Jackson, and Austin Sefarian-Jenkins), but he's just a rookie, the interception number last year (18) concerns me, and Tampa's offense was awful last season.
Sleepers: Ryan Tannehill (392-590, 4045 yards, 27 TD, 12 INT)
& Derek Carr (348-599, 3270 yards, 21 TD, 12 INT)
Tannehill showed great improvement last season, and should improve even more this year. He is athletic and can get fantasy owners some extra points on the ground, and he now has a strong group of pass-catchers (Kenny Stills, Jarvis Landry, DeVante Parker, and Jordan Cameron). Carr put up decent stats as a rookie in a weak offense, and now he has a legitimate number one receiver in Amari Cooper.
Deep Sleepers/Keepers: Marcus Mariota (Rookie)
& Blake Bortles (280-475, 2908 yards, 11 TD, 17 INT)
I believed Mariota was the best quarterback in this year's draft, and I still believe that. However, Tennessee isn't the greatest place to succeed. He is, though, an athletic and intelligent dual-threat quarterback (I think of him as a bigger Russell Wilson), and he is a definite target in keeper/dynasty leagues. Bortles is also an athletic QB with talent (though not as much as Mariota), but he struggled with accuracy as a rookie, and, like Mariota, plays with a less-than-ideal supporting cast. If he can make a leap in his second year, he could provide some value.
Dual-Threats: Cam Newton (262-448, 3127 yards, 18 TD, 12 INT; 103 rushes, 539 yards, 5 TD)
& Colin Kaepernick (289-478, 3369 yards, 19 TD, 10 INT; 104 rushes, 639 yards, 1 TD)
Cam is always a good starting quarterback option in fantasy based solely on his legs. He wasn't quite as good last season (due to injuries and not running as much), but was still solid, and if he can improve his passing, he could become an elite fantasy option. Kaepernick got a lot of flak for San Francisco's struggles last year, but he actually put up decent numbers, and he has undeniable talent. With a new coach and the addition of Torrey Smith, he could be a big bounce-back candidate this season.
Injury Risks: Sam Bradford (Did Not Play)
& Carson Palmer (141-224, 1626 yards, 11 TD, 3 INT)
Sam Bradford has the arm and pocket presence to be a good quarterback, but he can't stay healthy. He tore his ACL (again) last year. Now with the up-tempo Eagles, if he can stay healthy (a huge if), he could be a top-10 fantasy QB. Palmer quietly did a good job of stabilizing the Cardinal offense (when healthy) before tearing his ACL (those darn Anterior Collateral Ligaments!) in Week 10. If healthy, he'll be a solid fantasy starter.
G-Rex's Top 10:
1. Aaron Rodgers, Packers
2. Andrew Luck, Colts
3. Russell Wilson, Seahawks
4. Peyton Manning, Broncos
5. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers
6. Drew Brees, Saints
7. Tony Romo, Cowboys
8. Cam Newton, Panthers
9. Matt Ryan, Falcons
10. Ryan Tannehill, Dolphins
Rodgers is the current king of fantasy quarterbacks, while Luck is probably the future king of fantasy quarterbacks. Wilson is a dual-threat playing for an elite team that just got an elite tight end. He could be even better this season. While Manning, Big Ben, and Brees aren't getting any younger, they'll continue to be among the best at the position. Newton running ability will always make him a good fantasy quarterback, and when he becomes a better passer, he could potentially vault into the top five. Ryan is consistent, has talented receivers, and will throw a lot, and Tannehill is a breakout candidate if he continues to improve, especially with Miami's offensive additions.
RB
Top Pick: Jamaal Charles (2014 Stats: 206 carries, 1033 yards, 5 yards per carry, 9 TD)
Running back is the hardest position to determine a number one at. You could pick Charles, Eddie Lacy, Le'Veon Bell, Adrian Peterson, Arian Foster, Marshawn Lynch, Matt Forte, LeSean McCoy, DeMarco Murray... I'm not even sure about my pick for the top back. I honestly like Peterson and Foster more, but they have more question marks than Charles. Bell would probably be the pick if he wasn't suspended two games, and Lacy (or any of the other backs I named) is ranked number one by others, which I can't argue with. Ok, back to Charles: he won't get the most carries in the league, but he's a great runner who averaged 5 yards-per-carry last season and plays for an offense that will continue to run the ball a lot. He also called himself the Lebron James of football, so now I have to rank him number one.
"Safe" Picks: Marshawn Lynch (280 carries, 1306 yards, 4.7 YPC, 13 TD)
& LeSean McCoy (314 carries, 1319 yards, 4.2 YPC, 5 TD)
"Safe" could also be used to define many running backs in fantasy, including Lacy, Bell, Forte, and Murray, but I went with Lynch and McCoy. Marshawn, despite pundits warning of his decline, keeps on chugging at 29 years old. He's run for over 2,400 yards (and double-digit touchdowns) the last four seasons, and plays in a talented offense that likes to run the ball. Shady didn't perform as well last year as he did in his marvelous 2013 campaign, but he still ran for over 1,300 yards. Now he's a Bill, which could be good (doesn't have to share carries with Darren Sproles, will run the ball a lot due to shaky quarterback play) or bad (has to share carries with Fred Jackson, is in a weaker offense). I think he'll do well, as he's still the most elusive back in the league.
Boom/Bust: Adrian Peterson (Did Not Play)
& C.J. Anderson (179 carries, 849 yards, 4.7 YPC, 8 TD)
Look who's back! The guy who was the clear number one back in fantasy last year, Adrian Peterson. He still could be the best back in the league, but who knows? He only played in one game last year, so people aren't sure what to expect. I expect more or less the same guy. He'll go back to being a top-five (and possibly top-one) fantasy running back. Anderson burst out from a crowded Denver backfield late last season, but Montee Ball and Ronnie Hilllman are still there, and we'll see if he can sustain his stellar play.
Sleepers: Carlos Hyde (83 rushes, 333 yards, 4 YPC, 4 TD)
& Melvin Gordon (Rookie)
I've been on the Carlos Hyde bandwagon for awhile (it helps that he went to The Ohio State University). He has a great blend of size and speed, but was stuck behind Frank Gore last season. Now Gore is in Indy, so Hyde will be the lead back in San Fran, and the only real threat to him for touches is injury-prone Reggie Bush. Gordon is expected by to be the first rookie back selected in many fantasy drafts this year, and for good reason. The 2014 Heisman finalist will be the Chargers' Day 1 starter (sorry Donald Brown) and has big-play ability.
Deep Sleepers/Keepers: Letavius Murray (82 carries, 424 yards, 5.2 YPC, 2 TD)
& Todd Gurley (Rookie)
Murray looked promising after taking over late last season, and he has the skills to succeed. The only big questions are his injury history and the talent around/in front of him. Gurley may be the best running back in this year's rookie class, but with him coming off ACL surgery and the presence of Tre Mason, he might not get the majority of the carries right away. But make sure to stash him for when he does.
Dual-Threats: Matt Forte (266 carries, 1038 yards, 3.9 YPC, 6 TD; 102 rec, 808 yards, 4 TD)
& Le'Veon Bell (290 carries, 1361 yards, 4.6 YPC, 8 TD; 83 rec, 854 yards, 3 TD)
Bell would probably be the top fantasy running back if he weren't suspended for the first two games of the season due to a DUI and marijuana possession. Even with the suspension, he's a first round pick thanks to his production on the ground and through the air. He was the number two fantasy running back last year, and will probably be at least top five this year. Forte has been among the best dual-threats out of the backfield for years, including last year, when he set the running back record for catches in a season (102). He could regress this year due to age (30) and a new coach, but he will still be a top-10 fantasy running back.
Injury Risks: Arian Foster (260 carries, 1246 yards, 4.8 YPC, 8 TD)
& Jonathan Stewart (175 rushes, 809 yards, 4.6 YPC, 3 TD)
Foster can look like the best running back in the league when healthy; the problem is staying on the field. He's played all 16 games twice in his six-year career. Last year he played 13 games, and, like he usually does, produced when healthy. Stewart is no longer handcuffed to DeAngelo Williams, and was very impressive after taking over late last season. He is injury-prone, though, so we'll see if he can stay healthy now that he has a full-time gig. If so, he's a good sleeper candidate.
G-Rex's Top 10:
1. Jamaal Charles, Chiefs
2. Eddie Lacy, Packers
3. Le'Veon Bell, Steelers
4. Adrian Peterson, Vikings
5. Arian Foster, Texans
6. Marshawn Lynch, Seahawks
7. Matt Forte, Bears
8. DeMarco Muray, Eagles
9. LeSean McCoy, Bills
10. C.J. Anderson, Broncos
This is the toughest position to rank. You could conceivably rank the top 10 in just about any order; they're all very close. Charles is a highly-skilled back who was number one in fantasy two years ago, and could be again this year. Lacy and Bell are nearly impossible to take down, and could just as easily claim the top spot. I personally like Peterson and Foster (as long as Foster stays healthy and Peterson picks up where he left off). Lynch has yet to wear down due to age and workload, so there's no reason to believe he will this year. Forte provides value thanks to his receiving role. McCoy and Murray, last season's best running back, have changed teams, so it remains to be seen how that works out, but they are both talented. Anderson gets to play with Peyton Manning in Denver's elite offense, and if he can hold off Ball and Hillman, he can be a top-10 (or top-five) back. Running back may be the most important position in fantasy, and there are many to choose from (but they'll be gone quickly).
WR
Top Pick: Antonio Brown (2014 Stats: 129 rec, 1698 yards, 13.2 yards per catch, 13 TD)
Brown was a beast last season, ruling the wide receiver position. He was highly productive week in and week out, and is Ben Roethlisberger's top target in Pittsburgh. Arguments can be made for Dez Bryant (who just got paid) and Odell Beckham Jr., who could be in this section for years to come, as well as Peyton's top target, Demaryius Thomas, but Brown is the preseason number one at receiver after ending the season at number one in 2014.
"Safe" Picks: Dez Bryant (88 rec, 1320 yards, 15 YPC, 16 TD)
& Jordy Nelson (98 rec, 1519 yards, 15.5 YPC, 13 TD)
Dez is a force of nature in a high-scoring offense in Dallas, and there is no need to worry about him not playing now that he's gotten a new contract. He's a touchdown machine (he led all receivers in touchdowns last season), and has over 1,000 yards (and double-digit touchdowns) in three straight seasons. Jordy is the face of reliability. He's Aaron Rodgers' favorite target, which is always a plus, and he's only missed seven games his entire career (which spans seven years).
Boom/Bust: DeSean Jackson (56 rec, 1169 yards, 20.9 TPC, 6 TD)
& Torrey Smith (49 rec, 767 yards, 15.7 YPC, 11 TD)
DeSean Jackson is the definition of boom or bust. He averaged over 20 yards-per-catch last season and had six games of over 100 yards receiving, but he also had seven games under 50 yards (one he did not play in). Smith is another deep threat who is now in San Francisco. The Niners don't throw a ton, but Colin Kaepernick has a great arm and Smith is his number one guy now.
Sleepers: Jordan Matthews (67 rec, 872 yards, 13 YPC, 8 TD)
& Amari Cooper (Rookie)
Matthews had a strong rookie season in Chip Kelly's offense, seeing plenty of targets. Now he's the top guy (Jeremy Maclin's gone), and while he won't get all of the looks (there are plenty of other options), he'll surely get a healthy number of opportunities and could improve in his second season. Amari Cooper is likely to step in as Oakland's number one right away. The Heisman Trophy runner-up should have a productive rookie season, and could win Rookie of the Year.
Deep Sleepers/Keepers: Kevin White (Rookie)
& Allen Robinson (48 rec, 548 yards, 11.4 YPC, 2 TD)
White is not too far behind Cooper in this year's rookie class. Remember OBJ last year? There could be another like him this season, whether it be Cooper, White, or someone else. The major difference between Cooper and White in fantasy is that White will not be the first option in Chicago (that would be Alshon Jeffery). He should, however, get lots of targets and be productive. Robinson has turned into Jacksonville's top receiver, and if Blake Bortles takes a step (or two, or seven) forward this year, Robinson could really benefit.
Dual-Threats: Julian Edelman (92 rec, 972 yards, 10.6 YPC, 4 TD; 299 return yards, 1 TD)
& Cordarrelle Patterson (33 rec, 384 yards, 11.6 YPC, 1 TD; 871 return yards)
Edelman, when he stays healthy, is a reliable slot receiver in the Wes Welker mold who also provides value in the return game. The questions are if he can stay healthy and if he can have the same production with Jimmy Garoppolo at quarterback the first four games. I had to reach for the second player in this section. Yes, I'm talking about a favorite of mine, Cordarrelle Patterson. Patterson took a step back last season when many (me included) expected him to take a step forward, leaving him as the third option in Minnesota's passing game now, but he can still be an electrifying return man, and he will certainly improve as a receiver.
Injury Risks: Calvin Johnson (71 rec, 1077 yards, 15.2 YPC, 8 TD)
& Brandin Cooks (53 rec, 550 yards, 10.4 YPC, 3 TD)
Megatron is still an elite talent and one of the best receivers in the NFL, but he took a (baby) step back last season and was bothered by injury. He's still a top-10 fantasy receiver (easily), and if he can stay healthy, possibly top-five. Cooks showed flashes in his rookie year, but missed his last six games due to a thumb injury. With Jimmy Graham and Kenny Stills gone, he may see more touches.
G-Rex's Top 10:
1. Antonio Brown, Steelers
2. Dez Bryant, Cowboys
3. Odell Beckham Jr., Giants
4. Demaryius Thomas, Broncos
5. Jordy Nelson, Packers
6. Julio Jones, Falcons
7. Calvin Johnson, Lions
8. A.J. Green, Bengals
9. Alshon Jeffery, Bears
10. Randall Cobb, Packers
Like the running backs, the wide receiver group could be ranked in several different orders. Any of the top three or four could be justified as the top fantasy receiver. Brown is a stud, Bryant's a force, Beckham is a human vacuum, Thomas has a lethal blend of size and speed, Nelson is strong, fast, and consistent, Jones is a supreme talent playing in a dome, Megatron is still Megatron, Green was hampered by injury last season, but is still among the best in the league, Jeffery is a red-zone threat free of Brandon Marshall, and Cobb is Aaron Rodgers' main deep threat.
TE
Top Pick: Rob Gronkowski (2014 stats: 82 rec, 1124 yards, 13.7 YPC, 12 TD)
This is a no-brainer. Gronk is among the best players at any position in the NFL. He is a monster (on the field and on the dance floor). While he is far-and-away the best tight end, he's probably not a smart first round pick (aside from deeper leagues) in fantasy due to his injury history, Tom Brady's suspension, and the the importance of other positions in fantasy relative to tight end.
"Safe" Picks: Greg Olsen (84 catches, 1008 yards, 12 YPC, 6 TD)
& Jason Witten (64 rec, 703 yards, 11 YPC, 5 TD)
These guys are as reliable as they come. Old Greg has at least five touchdowns in seven straight seasons (out of eight total) and continues to be a consistent target for Cam Newton. The sure-handed Witten slipped a little statistically last season, but still had over 700 yards for the 11th straight year (out of 12 total). Both guys are good bets for at least 700 yards and five touchdowns.
Boom/Bust: Travis Kelce (67 rec, 862 yards, 12.9 YPC, 5 TD)
& Julius Thomas (43 rec, 489 yards, 11.4 YPC, 12 TD)
Kelce burst on to the scene last season to become one of the best tight ends in fantasy for much of the year. The 25-year-old did not get playing time in the NFL before last season, so we'll see if he keeps this up. Thomas was a standout in Denver, but now the athletic tight end moves from Peyton Manning to Blake Bortles. The bright side is he becomes the top target in Jacksonville after being number two to Demaryius Thomas in Denver, but the Jaguars aren't the Broncos.
Sleepers: Austin Sefarian-Jenkins (21 rec, 221 yards, 10.5 YPC, 2 TD)
& Josh Hill (14 rec, 176 yards, 12.6 YPC, 5 TD)
I'm a fan of ASJ, a big, athletic tight end who has a much better quarterback this year than he did last year. He'll share targets with Vincent Jackson and fellow sophomore Mike Evans, but he could breakout this year with Jameis Winston at quarterback. Hill is the new starting tight end in New Orleans with Jimmy Graham gone. He's not Jimmy Graham, but someone has to replace all of those catches, and Hill showed promise in limited time last year. Drew Brees will throw him the ball a lot, and he could have a breakout season.
Deep Sleepers/Keepers: Eric Ebron (25 rec, 248 yards, 9.9 YPC, 1 TD)
& Maxx Williams (Rookie)
Ebron struggled as a rookie, playing behind Brandon Pettigrew. Rookies struggle sometimes, so the second year is key to players' development. Ebron has a strong quarterback and will get an opportunity to start this year. Williams was the first tight end drafted this year (out of Minnesota) and will be the primary tight end in Baltimore (with Owen Daniels gone and Dennis Pitta injured again). So the talented pass-catcher will get every opportunity to contribute right away.
Injury Risks: Kyle Rudolph (24 rec, 231 yards, 9.6 YPC, 2 TD)
& Dwayne Allen (29 rec, 395 yards, 13.6 YPC, 8 TD)
Many expected Rudolph to breakout last year under tight end-whisperer Norv Turner, but he couldn't stay healthy (a recurring problem for him). He was virtually nonexistent last season, but he has the ability and he could be a sleeper (if healthy) in 2015. Allen thrived with Andrew Luck last year, but missed some games with a high ankle sprain after missing 15 games due to injury the year before. Coby Fleener is also there, but if Allen doesn't get hurt, he'll get enough passes to be productive again and be a top-10 tight end.
G-Rex's Top 10:
1. Rob Gronkowski, Patriots
2. Jimmy Graham, Seahawks
3. Greg Olsen, Panthers
4. Travis Kelce, Chiefs
5. Martellus Bennett, Bears
6. Julius Thomas, Jaguars
7. Jason Witten, Cowboys
8. Zach Ertz, Eagles
9. Delanie Walker, Titans
10. Josh Hill, Saints
Gronk and Graham are in a class of their own, but the second tier of Olsen, Kelce, Bennett, Thomas, and Witten (and possibly Ertz) are very solid options if you don't get the top two. Walker is the best playmaker in Tennessee's option (although troubled rookie Dorial Green-Beckham is probably the most talented), so he benefits from plenty of action. Hill is a sleeper candidate who could be even higher in the rankings.
D/ST
Top Pick: Seahawks (2014 stats: 37 sacks, 13 INT, 10 fumble recoveries, 3 TD, 254 points allowed, 4274 yards allowed)
The Seahawks have held down the title of the top defense for the last few years now (although they did finish third in fantasy last season). That won't change in 2015. Their key pieces are still there, so there is no reason to think they won't still be an elite defense, both in real life and in fantasy (which is also real life) .
"Safe " Picks: Rams (40 sacks, 13 INT, 12 FR, 5 TD, 354 PA, 5626 YA)
& Texans (37 sacks, 20 INT, 14 FR, 6 TD, 307 PA, 5571 YA)
The Rams, like the Seahawks, started slow last season but finished strong. They have tons of playmakers, including a powerful defensive line that includes talented second-year tackle Aaron Donald, as well as talented ends Chris Long and Robert Quinn. The Texans are safe picks if only because of J.J. Watt, who is the Mike Trout of football (or is it the other way around?). 2014's fourth-ranked defense has other talented players around the NFL's best player.
Boom/Bust: Packers (41 sacks, 18 INT, 9 FR, 6 TD, 348 PA, 5541 YA)
& Eagles (49 sacks, 12 INT, 16 FR, 11 TD, 400 PA, 6009 YA)
The Pack have lost a bit of their luster, but they still can turn out huge fantasy outings. They are inconsistent, but have upside with a strong secondary and some skilled pass-rushers. The Eagles allowed a lot of points and yards last season, but were still the second-best defense in fantasy thanks to 11 touchdowns. That may not be repeatable, but then again, who knows? They did acquire talented linebacker Kiko Alonso and corner Byron Maxwell in the offseason.
Sleepers: Panthers (40 sacks, 14 INT, 12 FR, 3 TD, 374 PA, 5437 YA)
& Browns (30 sacks, 21 INT, 8 FR, 3 TD, 337 PA, 5857 YA)
The Panthers weren't nearly as good in 2014 as they were in 2013, but they were still solid, and still have the league's best tackler, Luke Kuechly, leading the squad. The Browns were good against the pass (thanks to Pro-Bowlers Joe Haden and Tashaun Gipson), but were dead-last against the run. They focused on fixing that by drafting nose tackle Danny Shelton and signing end Randy Starks. Look for them to improve against the run and be a solid streaming option depending on the matchup.
Deep Sleepers/Keepers: Chiefs (46 sacks, 6 INT, 7 FR, 3 TD, 281 PA, 5288 YA)
& Jaguars (45 sacks, 6 INT, 14 FR, 3 TD, 412 PA, 5932 YA)
No need to draft these defenses. But keep an eye on matchups, as they may be decent streaming options against certain teams. The Chiefs were good at limiting yardage and points last season, and they still have last year's sack leader Justin Houston. The Jags have improved, especially in the sack department, and will likely continue to get better.
G-Rex's Top 10:
1. Seahawks
2. Rams
3. Bills
4. Texans
5. Jets
6. Broncos
7. Ravens
8. Dolphins
9. Cardinals
10. Lions
After Seattle, two through four are pretty close, and all solid options, largely thanks to strong defensive lines. The Jets also have a strong defensive line and new additions Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie (welcome back!). They could be higher on the list, especially with new coach Bruce Arians (Arizona's former defensive coordinator). The Broncos have some strong pass rushers, The Ravens are a solid fantasy defense once again, the Dolphins signed Ndamakong Suh to pair with Cameron Wake and Olivier Vernon, the Cards lost some people (including their defensive coordinator), but are still a good play based on matchup, and while the Lions lost Suh, they did get Haloti Ngata to replace him.
K
Top Pick: Stephen Gostkowski (2014 stats: 35-37 FG (1-1 50+), 51-51 XP)
Gostkowski is once again the best fantasy kicker, thanks to the Patriots strong offense and his accuracy. Even though Tom Brady is out the first four games, Gostkowski should still be at or near the top of the fantasy kicker rankings.
"Safe Picks: Adam Vinatieri (30-31 FG (3-3 50+), 50-50 XP)
& Justin Tucker (29-34 FG (4-9 50+), 42-42 XP)
Vinatieri is still going strong, and there is no reason to think he'll stop all of the sudden. He was the most accurate kicker in the NFL last season, and the Colts play indoors, which always helps. Tucker is the most accurate kicker in NFL history so far in his career (89.8%), and he can also hit them from deep (4-9 from 50 yards or more last season).
Boom/Bust: Blair Walsh (26-35 FG (5-9 50+), 29-29 XP)
& Greg Zuerlein (24-30 FG (5-7 50+), 34-35 XP)
The Blair Walsh Project and Greg the Leg burst on to the scene as rookies three years ago. Walsh was a force, finishing first among all kickers in fantasy, and Zuerlein showed he had a rocket leg (he was 7-13 from 50 yards or more), earning nicknames such as Legatron and Young GZ (and earning the title of my favorite kicker). They haven't been quite that good since, but they are still both good young kickers with strong legs. If they play more like they did their rookie years, they are good kicking options.
Sleepers: Caleb Sturgis (29-37 FG (3-6 50+), 41-41 XP)
& Chandler Catanzaro (29-33 FG (2-3 50+), 27-27 XP)
Sturgis was a busy man last season, and you always want a kicker who gets plenty of opportunities. He also took advantage of many of those opportunities. He should continue to get many attempts. Catanzaro was impressive as a rookie last season, showing very good accuracy (he made his first 17 field goals). He has shown he could be a pretty good fantasy kicker.
Deep Sleepers/Keepers: Dustin Hopkins (Rookie)
& Sebastian Janikowski (19-22 FG (3-5 50+), 28-28 XP)
Hopkins is the best rookie kicker this year, drafted out of Florida State. He'll be the Saints' kicker, and he'll have the benefit of playing indoors with a good offense. SeaBass still has it, but he played with such a bad offense last season that he didn't get many opportunities. He still has a cannon leg, and Oakland should be better on offense this season.
G-Rex's Top 10:
1. Stephen Gostkowski, Patriots
2. Adam Vinatieri, Colts
3. Steven Hauschka, Seahawks
4. Connor Barth, Broncos
5. Justin Tucker, Ravens
6. Cody Parkey, Eagles
7. Matt Bryant, Falcons
8. Dan Bailey, Cowboys
9. Matt Prater, Lions
10. Dan Carpenter, Bills
Kickers should not be drafted until the last round in fantasy, as no one kicker blows away everyone else. You could pick any of these kickers and be just as well off. I'm not going to go through all of these guys. They're kickers. They kick field goals. I'm done... Okay, I'm not done. I'll go through them. These are almost all reliable veteran kickers who play for good offensive teams. Barth gets the benefit of the thinner air, Parkey was a Pro Bowler as a rookie last year, and Vinatieri, Bryant, and Prater play indoors.
G-Rex's Draft Strategy:
Now I'm going to give you some of my draft strategy. You can utilize this information however you would like. You could use it (or parts of it) in your fantasy football draft, disregard it since you are already a master fantasy football draft strategist and know all (although if that's the case, why are you reading this?), or, if you're in the same league as me, try to use it against me. Draft strategies vary depending on the type of league. I'm in a 10-team PPR (point(s) per reception) league (on ESPN.com) with a QB, two RB, two WR, a TE, two offensive position slots (usually filled by QBs), a D/ST, a K, and a head coach slot (I also usually try to find another league to be in too; if you need an extra guy for a league, let me know). If I'm picking first overall, I'm probably picking a running back (whether it be Jamaal Charles, Le'Veon Bell, Eddie Lacy, Adrian Peterson, etc.), but in a league like mine where you can start multiple quarterbacks, I may consider Aaron Rodgers. I would not draft a tight end in the first round, and Aaron Rodgers (or possibly Andrew Luck) is the only quarterback I would pick in round one. Mid-to-late first round I might draft a wide receiver, such as Antonio Brown, Dez Bryant, or Odell Beckham Jr., but most of the first round picks should be used on the top-heavy running back position. I want to get a running back and starting quarterback early (although you could maybe wait and still get a good QB), as well as at least one stud wide receiver. If I can't get Rob Gronkowski or Jimmy Graham, I will wait on a tight end, as there's a drop off after those two. I don't usually like to reach for a defense, although some people do. I usually reserve my last two picks (or two of my last three picks) for a defense and a kicker.
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